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US Charts Discussion - DWUW IMPACTS RADIO TODAY! (11/5)


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Arturo

Unconditionally : ~ 8.800/day with BANNER FOR ALBUM ON ITUNES, 40m AI, UNLOCKED LYRIC VIDEO, GREAT PROMO

DWUW              : ~ 7.200/day with NO BANNER, 6m AI, LOCKED AUDIO VIDEO, NO PROMO AT ALL

Yup. And it's already starting to stabilize in the #20-#30 range.

It might get out of the Top 30 with new releases but once they fall, it'll bounce back up.

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Dark Horse isn't a normal situation. Even Wrecking Ball fell harder pre-video.

Plenty of Rihanna smashes only rose with videoairplaybanners.

 

The pre-orders take Gaga's big itunes fans out of the game Day 1. Then it's like a post-album single.

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Unconditionally : ~ 8.800/day with BANNER FOR ALBUM ON ITUNES, 40m AI, UNLOCKED LYRIC VIDEO, GREAT PROMO

DWUW              : ~ 7.200/day with NO BANNER, 6m AI, LOCKED AUDIO VIDEO, NO PROMO AT ALL

I wouldn't call the promo for Unconditionally great. The banner for album on iTunes isn't supposed to do anything for the album, although it's weird that out of the 20~40 million people that hear it on radio only ~50k people are actually willing to buy it.

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Arturo

For the 4th Quarter I see big competition between DWUW, Unconditionally, and The Monster

Gaga, Katy, and Ri

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Paper Gangsta

More realistic (hopefully I am wrong) :

ARTPOP ERA PREDICTION

Title // Hot 100 peak // Total sales

1. Applause // #4 // 2.1m

2. DWUW // #3 // 2.5m

3. Gypsy // #8 // 2.0m

4. GUY // #5 // 3.0m

5. Venus // #10 // 1.8m

Well i was to delusional, but i think numbers are between yours and mine

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Oh well, I don't know. Maybe it was good to keep Venus for a later time, Interscope saw the future and thought that Venus needed more time to smash so they delayed it. Venus needs about 6 months  because it'll smash so hard :nails: while DWUW is only getting 2 months because it's a fast unmemorable radio hit :nails:

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DWUW is certainly a #3 single.But the thing is WILL THE TIMING BE GOOD in order to get that #1 position. In order to do that the song must have (my prediction)

 

- ~110 m AI 

- 200+k sales a week (possible)

-  Great streaming (first or second video week)

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VforVendetta

If Gaga releases a Venus video now, it will be a huge mistake lol. She must wait until the end of DWYW era and then release the video and make Venus the third single.

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Just A Holy Fool

ARTPOP ERA PREDICTION

Title // Hot 100 peak // Total sales

1. Applause // #4 // 3.1m

2. DWUW // #3 // 3.5m

3. Gypsy // #1 // 4m

4. GUY // #5 // 3.5m

5. Venus // #2 // 5.8m

A 5th single off of an album is never going to sell 6 million :laughga:

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So is Rihanna not releasing an album this year? :confused:

 

Nope. Would have announced already.

Knew it when they released Pour I Up as fall single from the old album.

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PatrickMonster

ARTPOP ERA PREDICTION

Title // Hot 100 peak // Total sales

1. Applause // #4 // 3.1m

2. DWUW // #3 // 3.5m

3. Gypsy // #1 // 4m

4. GUY // #5 // 3.5m

5. Venus // #2 // 5.8m

:flutter: it's very cute you are so optimist... 

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