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Apparently, its only a problem when Gaga's material is discounted, then they have to change rules.

BYE
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This is such a perfect time for Gaga to release a single. Nothing is dominating at all... Would easily go #1.

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NOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO!!!

It's not written in stone...we'll just have to wait and see....

84OYN.jpg

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Monster Helper

It's not written in stone...we'll just have to wait and see....

84OYN.jpg

:lmao: love this gif and together with your words :hug:

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I suppose this is relevant to the US Charts Discussions (:toofloppy:):

'YOUR BODY' WILL MAKE ITS DEBUT DURING THE BLIND AUDITIONS

A fellow fighter went to a taping of 'The Voice: Season 3' Battle Rounds today and got the opportunity to bring us back some long awaited news about Christina's new single. Read what she had to say:

Hey guys! I was going to write my review first, but I have fresh tea for you guys! I went to the 3:30pm taping and my group was the last to leave the audience. This became a blessing in disguise because little did we know, our section was picked to be in the background for when Carson Daily announces the WORLD PREMIERE of Christina's anticipated new single "Your Body." I almost died when he said this. Then afterwards, he said that you can buy the song on iTunes after the performance and "now back to the blind auditions."

With this said, it is safe to say that Your Body WILL be performed first on The Voice during the blind auditions. Therefore, this rules out a possible VMA performance and it also verifies a September release of the song on iTunes (since that is when the blind auditions are aired). I couldn't wait to get home and share this information with you guys. A lot of people have been beating around the bush and even have been secretive, but once I got my hand on this tea, I am spilling it all over this damn board! I love you guys and I want to share this with you guys.

September is going to see three big releases The Truth About Love, Kiss, and now Your Body.

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RabbitHeart

I heard Mariah's new album is slated for a March release? If Gaga does release ARTPOP in March, do you think Mariah will be any competition?

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boysboysboys

I heard Mariah's new album is slated for a March release? If Gaga does release ARTPOP in March, do you think Mariah will be any competition?

I thought about this. Hopefully not.

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The calculation below shows only 5 points between #1 and #4 for the t BB Hot 100 so essentially a dead heat for those positions, since the accuracy of this method is only around plus or minus 10 points.

Wide Awake would show at #4 without the extra 10-15K sales due to its discount, but my guess is it will show a fall in streaming to give Lights an advantage.

CMM is rapidly losing airplay so may fall out of contention while Whistle's airplay rise is too slow.

My odds for #1 are Lights 35%, Wide Awake 30%, Whistle 20%, CMM 15%

BB Hot 100 calculations for NEXT week based on 6 days of itunes bars, current airplay and a streaming estimate7

#position, sales (000's) + airplay (A.I. millions) + streaming (20Ks) = points, artist, song, (change on Hot 100)

#1 136 + 165 + 29 = 237 Katy Perry WA (+3)

#2 115 + 160 + 44 = 235 Ellie Goulding Lights (=)

#3 154 + 128 + 41 = 233 Carly Rae Jepsen CMM (-2)

#4 218 + 82 + 35 = 232 Flo Rida Whistle (-1)

#5 100 + 155 + 36 = 214 Maroon 5 Payphone ft. Khalifa (=)

#6 66 + 124 + 38 = 172 Gotye STIUTK ft Kimbra (=)

#7 150 + 48 + 28 = 157 Fun. SN (+4)

#8 81 + 104 + 27 = 155 David Guetta + Sia Titanium (=)

#9 47 + 143 + 16 = 152 Rihanna WHYB (-2)

#10 107 + 90 + 8 = 142 P!nk BM1LK (=)

#11 202 + 14 + - = 136 Phillip Phillips Home (-1)

#12 129 + 46 + 20 = 135 Justin Bieber ALAYLM (+3)

#13 120 + 54 + 15 = 130 Owl City + Carly Rae Jepsen GT (+1)

#14 115 + 53 + 18 = 129 Cher Lloyd WUB (-1)

#15 50 + 103 + 16 = 124 Usher Scream (-3)

#16 62 + 90 + 14 = 120 Demi Lovato GYHAB (+2)

#17 62 + 63 + 30 = 116 Kanye West Mercy (-1)

#18 52 + 100 + 8 = 115 Calvin Harris Let's Go (-1)

#19 67 + 71 + 19 = 114 Neon Trees ET (=)

#20 129 + 34 + 5 = 110 Maroon 5 OMN (+10)

#21 40 + 62 + 33 = 104 Fun. WAY ft. Monae (-1)

#22 49 + 66 + 24 = 104 One Direction WMYB (-1)

#23 90 + 54 + 5 = 101 Little Big Town Pontoon (=)

#24 44 + 59 + 26 = 98 Nicki Minaj Starships (-2)

#25 85 + 32 + 17 = 94 Alex Clare TooClose (-1)

*points = 62% x sales/K + 75% x Mediabase airplay (A.I. millions) + 5% x on demand streaming/K

averages at contributions 44% sales, 42% airplay, 14% streaming

Comment on sources of errors in this calculation:

Sales. Estimated from itunes popbars, but sales can be due to other vendors like Amazon which can skew the figures

Airplay. Mediabase airplay used does not always accurately reflect the Nielsen figure used by Billboard

Streaming. Figures are based on current On-Demand Chart positions but changes during this week are not known

Weighting of the above. Billboard may change it at any time on a whim.

Approx weekly sales for Gaga: PF 5.8K, TEOG 4.6, JD 4.6K, Y+I 4.2K, BR 4.2K, BTW 4.2K.

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Come on Interscope, discount the hell out of Lights to cockblock Katy Perry's Wide Awake. :teehee:

Jk, I don't want Ellie to hit #1 because of a petty discount. If she won't be able to hit #1, that's fine, as long as the buzz that Lights created will pave the way for her upcoming album. :)

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Come on Interscope, discount the hell out of Lights to cockblock Katy Perry's Wide Awake. :teehee:

I guess Interscope doesn't believe in discounting - you never see them doing it for Gaga or for artists a hair from getting #1. You see discounts more in the UK.

Also, EMI companies (like Capitol) do it for artists beside Katy. For example, Coldplay was discounted to get #1 UK.around last Xmas.

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Why doesn't Home have any streaming points?

Can give it 5 pts if you like then the Table will read

#11 202 + 14 + 5 = 141 Phillip Phillips Home (-1)

It usually takes a few weeks before steaming builds up and it's not yet in the BB On-Demand Streaming Chart (Top 50) as far as I can see (#50 would mean around 220K streams and 11 Hot 100 points)

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boysboysboys

Can give it 5 pts if you like then the Table will read

#11 202 + 14 + 5 = 141 Phillip Phillips Home (-1)

It usually takes a few weeks before steaming builds up and it's not yet in the BB On-Demand Streaming Chart (Top 50) as far as I can see (#50 would mean around 220K streams and 11 Hot 100 points)

Oh okay, I just thought it was weird since it's been there for almost a week now.

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