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US Charts Discussion (Part 2)


Americano
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BB Hot 100 calculations for next week based on 5 days of itunes bars, current airplay and a streaming estimate

#position, sales (000's) + airplay (A.I. millions) + streaming (20Ks) = points*, artist, song, (change on Hot 100)

#1 247 + 189 + 60 = 369 Gotye STIUTK ft Kimbra (=)

#2 311 + 108 + 49 = 335 Carly Rae Jepsen CMM (=)

#3 268 + 112 + 50 = 311 Maroon 5 Payphone ft. Khalifa (=)

#4 143 + 167 + 48 = 273 Fun. WAY ft. Monae (=)

#5 155 + 131 + 35 = 239 Nicki Minaj Starships (=)

#6 135 + 141 + 34 = 233 Flo Rida WO ft Sia (=)

#7 125 + 108 + 41 = 207 One Direction WMYB (=)

#8 146 + 71 + 45 = 196 Justin Bieber Boyfriend (+1)

#9 79 + 128 + 33 = 186 The Wanted GYC (-1)

#10 291 + 0 + -- = 186 Phillip Phillips Home (New)

#11 98 + 85 + 25 = 156 Train DB (-1)

#12 139 + 69 + 10 = 154 Rihanna WHYB (+1)

#13 59 + 103 + 21 = 141 Kelly Clarkson Stronger (-2)

#14 129 + 66 + 5 = 140 Usher Scream (+1)

#15 150 + 48 + -- = 135 Pitbull BIT (+1)

#16 97 + 50 + 15 = 117 Karmin Brokenhearted (+7)

#17 28 + 83 + 28 = 112 Drake Take Care ft Rih (=)

#18 52 + 59 + 31 = 112 Calvin Harris FSC (-6)

#19 81 + 56 + 12 = 109 Eric Church Springsteen (+1)

#20 46 + 81 + 13 = 107 Katy Perry POM (-6)

*points = 64% x sales/K + 80% x airplay (A.I. millions) + 5% x on demand streaming/K

Still no change of the top 5 yet.

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boysboysboys

BB Hot 100 calculations for next week based on 5 days of itunes bars, current airplay and a streaming estimate

#position, sales (000's) + airplay (A.I. millions) + streaming (20Ks) = points*, artist, song, (change on Hot 100)

#1 247 + 189 + 60 = 369 Gotye STIUTK ft Kimbra (=)

#2 311 + 108 + 49 = 335 Carly Rae Jepsen CMM (=)

#3 268 + 112 + 50 = 311 Maroon 5 Payphone ft. Khalifa (=)

#4 143 + 167 + 48 = 273 Fun. WAY ft. Monae (=)

#5 155 + 131 + 35 = 239 Nicki Minaj Starships (=)

#6 135 + 141 + 34 = 233 Flo Rida WO ft Sia (=)

#7 125 + 108 + 41 = 207 One Direction WMYB (=)

#8 146 + 71 + 45 = 196 Justin Bieber Boyfriend (+1)

#9 79 + 128 + 33 = 186 The Wanted GYC (-1)

#10 291 + 0 + -- = 186 Phillip Phillips Home (New)

#11 98 + 85 + 25 = 156 Train DB (-1)

#12 139 + 69 + 10 = 154 Rihanna WHYB (+1)

#13 59 + 103 + 21 = 141 Kelly Clarkson Stronger (-2)

#14 129 + 66 + 5 = 140 Usher Scream (+1)

#15 150 + 48 + -- = 135 Pitbull BIT (+1)

#16 97 + 50 + 15 = 117 Karmin Brokenhearted (+7)

#17 28 + 83 + 28 = 112 Drake Take Care ft Rih (=)

#18 52 + 59 + 31 = 112 Calvin Harris FSC (-6)

#19 81 + 56 + 12 = 109 Eric Church Springsteen (+1)

#20 46 + 81 + 13 = 107 Katy Perry POM (-6)

*points = 64% x sales/K + 80% x airplay (A.I. millions) + 5% x on demand streaming/K

Still no change of the top 5 yet.

Thanks :)

Magoo, when do you think Starships will go down?

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Thanks :)

Magoo, when do you think Starships will go down?

Starships (sales + airplay + streaming pts = billboard pts)

2 weeks ago 149 + 126 + 38 = 234

1 week ago 171 + 132 + 38 = 253

this week 155 + 131 + 35 = 239

so it effectively peaked last week, but it will probably hang around ages like SuperBass did.

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Americano

Wide Awake is taking off huge on radio, that's surprising to me.

ONE DIRECTION - One Thing: 8.826 (- 0.043)

Flop?

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Klou

Starships (sales + airplay + streaming pts = billboard pts)

2 weeks ago 149 + 126 + 38 = 234

1 week ago 171 + 132 + 38 = 253

this week 155 + 131 + 35 = 239

so it effectively peaked last week, but it will probably hang around ages like SuperBass did.

Yeah, Starships has definitely been reminding me of SuperBass... I remember it took a long time for that song to peak at #3.
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Klou

Hey guys you HAVE to check out the "Dorothy" clip in this thread. On my iPhone, otherwise I'd post the clip here. It's just another speculation for the whole DOT crap and I think it's actually something from DJWS's mix tape, but it sounds soooooo amazing. I'd be happy if Gaga sounded like this on her next album :)

http://gagadaily.com/index.php/topic/22190-dotthe-truth/page__pid__1304791__st__20#entry1304791

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boysboysboys

Yeah, Starships has definitely been reminding me of SuperBass... I remember it took a long time for that song to peak at #3.

I guess that's how easy it is to get records when you play the mainstream way.

Wide Awake is taking off huge on radio, that's surprising to me.

ONE DIRECTION - One Thing: 8.826 (- 0.043) Flop?

Surprises all around. Wide Awake is still doing nothing for me. Meanwhile, I actually like One Thing, it's a huge hit here :P

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i can't believe Wide Awake will smash ¬Â¬

No surprise. US radio can never get enough Katy. Especially if the song is bland and forgettable.

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boysboysboys

I can't believe how fast Scream dropped :fail: Bieber and Starships also suffered huge losses post-Idol.

Wide Awake down to #18.

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Klou

I can't believe how fast Scream dropped :fail:

I know that was kind of sad lol. I don't care because I don't like the song :P
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