Magoo 6 Posted August 30, 2012 Share Posted August 30, 2012 BB Hot 100 calculations so far for NEXT week based on 3 days of itunes bars, current airplay and a streaming estimate #position, sales (000's) + Mediabase airplay (A.I. millions) + streaming (Ks x 6%) = points, artist, song, (change on Hot 100) #1 260 + 97 + 5 = 249 Taylor Swift WANEGBT (=) #2 163 + 111 + 46 = 236 Flo Rida Whistle (=) #3 204 + 67 + 25 = 214 Maroon 5 OMN (+1) #4 73 + 155 + 49 = 212 Ellie Goulding Lights (-1) #5 168 + 71 + 44 = 208 Fun. SN (=) #6 99 + 95 + 45 = 181 Carly Rae Jepsen CMM (=) #7 70 + 148 + 29 = 180 Katy Perry WA (=) #8 64 + 125 + 38 = 173 Maroon 5 Payphone ft. Khalifa (=) #9 106 + 104 + 25 = 172 Neon Trees ET (+2) #10 127 + 68 + 35 = 169 Owl City + Carly Rae Jepsen GT (-1) #11 122 + 68 + 36 = 167 Justin Bieber ALAYLM (-1) #12 90 + 112 + 17 = 159 P!nk BM1LK (=) #13 63 + 112 + 30 = 154 David Guetta + Sia Titanium (=) #14 57 + 105 + 41 = 153 Gotye STIUTK ft Kimbra (=) #15 104 + 55 + 28 = 135 Cher Lloyd WUB (+1) #16 94 + 59 + 27 = 133 Alex Clare TooClose (+2) #17 48 + 108 + 18 = 130 Demi Lovato GYHAB (=) #18 33 + 113 + 19 = 124 Rihanna WHYB (-3) #19 58 + 64 + 37 = 123 Kanye West Mercy (=) #20 132 + 21 + 14 = 117 Phillip Phillips Home (+3) #21 81 + 45 + 22 = 109 Jason Mraz IWGU (+4) #22 87 + 56 + 7 = 106 Nicki Minaj PTA (-2) #23 42 + 94 + 8 = 106 Calvin Harris Let's Go (-2) #24 45 + 63 + 28 = 105 2Chainz No Lie (=) #25 81 + 62 + 5 = 104 Little Big Town Pontoon (-3) *points = 66% x sales/K + 74% x Mediabase airplay (A.I. millions) + 6% x on demand streaming/K averages at contributions 44% sales, 39% airplay, 17% streaming. Points between the top 5 are closing up. Approx week's sales for Gaga: PF 5.2K, TEOG 4.9K, Y+I 4.2K; JD 4.1K, BR 4.0K, BTW 4.0K. [1.5 months ago it was PF 6.2K, TEOG 5.4K, JD 5.0K, BTW 4.9K, BR 4.8K, Y+I 4.5K so they've dropped sowewhat but Y+I is holding up well] Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
craig 680 Posted August 30, 2012 Share Posted August 30, 2012 Neon Trees getting promo: http://www.rollingst...vealed-20120830 Owl City have #1 album in Canada as well as #1 single with Carly. #17 48 + 108 + 18 = 130 Demi Lovato GYHAB (=) Give it up radio, people just aren't into the song. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Magoo 6 Posted August 30, 2012 Share Posted August 30, 2012 Neon Trees getting promo: http://www.rollingst...vealed-20120830 Owl City have #1 album in Canada as well as #1 single with Carly. #17 48 + 108 + 18 = 130 Demi Lovato GYHAB (=) Give it up radio, people just aren't into the song. From my chart; Neon Trees should move up to #6 on the Hot 100 as the three above it fall #18 33 + 113 + 19 = 124 Rihanna WHYB (-3) has similar figures to GYHAB and overplayed on radio Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
boysboysboys 278 Posted August 30, 2012 Share Posted August 30, 2012 #18 33 + 113 + 19 = 124 Rihanna WHYB (-3) has similar figures to GYHAB and overplayed on radio I hope Troy Carter does as amazing as Jay Brown in arranging a lengthy radio deal. #1 260 + 97 + 5 = 249 Taylor Swift WANEGBT (=) #2 163 + 111 + 46 = 236 Flo Rida Whistle (=) #3 204 + 67 + 25 = 214 Maroon 5 OMN (+1) #4 73 + 155 + 49 = 212 Ellie Goulding Lights (-1) #5 168 + 71 + 44 = 208 Fun. SN (=) Wow, that's a huge slump for Taylor. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Magoo 6 Posted August 30, 2012 Share Posted August 30, 2012 Wow, that's a huge slump for Taylor. Taylor's song is soon going to suffer from now on due to its lack of streaming. By not making it available for streaming the first two weeks, it has pushed people to buy it instead which has boosted the digital sales, but once purchased the buyer will never stream it so damaging the song's longevity on the chart. When Gaga releases her lead single I hope Interscope make it immediately available for streaming and goes for many weeks on top rather than just a big first couple of weeks. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
boysboysboys 278 Posted August 30, 2012 Share Posted August 30, 2012 Taylor's song is soon going to suffer from now on due to its lack of streaming. By not making it available for streaming the first two weeks, it has pushed people to buy it instead which has boosted the digital sales, but once purchased the buyer will never stream it so damaging the song's longevity on the chart. When Gaga releases her lead single I hope Interscope make it immediately available for streaming and goes for many weeks on top rather than just a big first couple of weeks. Ditto! You're so smart, Magoo :) You know what to do, Troy. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Americano 31,061 Posted August 30, 2012 Author Share Posted August 30, 2012 The Taylor song is just so bad too, not gonna lie I don't know anyone that actually likes it lol It won't be a long hit. She'll probs have another single before we know it. The VMAs next week are gonna bring a big reshuffling on charts too, which probably won't help her if another song gets the spotlight. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Americano 31,061 Posted August 30, 2012 Author Share Posted August 30, 2012 I heard Usher's new single "Numb" on the radio today. I really like it! Also: http://www.allaccess.com/top40-mainstream/future-releases October is on the future music schedule now. I hope Gaga appears on that list soon. :giveup: Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jjang 2,262 Posted August 30, 2012 Share Posted August 30, 2012 The Taylor song is just so bad too, not gonna lie I don't know anyone that actually likes it lol It won't be a long hit. She'll probs have another single before we know it. The VMAs next week are gonna bring a big reshuffling on charts too, which probably won't help her if another song gets the spotlight. The song is stupid and the lyrics are really not helping it,I feel embarrassed listening to the song itself. I really don't understand whats so special about Taylor Swift. I hope Gaga gains the record she broke before,again. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
craig 680 Posted August 30, 2012 Share Posted August 30, 2012 Taylor Swift seems to be growing more immature (blog): http://www.kentucky.com/2012/08/23/2308383/taylor-swift-seems-to-be-growing.html Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Americano 31,061 Posted August 30, 2012 Author Share Posted August 30, 2012 Pound the Alarm down to #20 :rofl: Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jjang 2,262 Posted August 30, 2012 Share Posted August 30, 2012 Pound the Alarm down to #20 I thought it was going to smash Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
hausofmike 127 Posted August 30, 2012 Share Posted August 30, 2012 No if she was smart she would release VVV with a good video. But she's not. So... Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Americano 31,061 Posted August 30, 2012 Author Share Posted August 30, 2012 No if she was smart she would release VVV with a good video. But she's not. So... Nicki? Good video? Are we speaking a new language? :derpga: Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
kupo 201 Posted August 30, 2012 Share Posted August 30, 2012 Pound the Alarm's problem is it's just Starships all over again. It'd be like if Gaga released Bad Romance and Judas back to back. And we all already know how Judas fared with some distance. Except, y'know, Judas is like a really cool forward-thinking update, where Pound the Alarm just has a ****tier chorus than its predecessor. LAME. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
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