Economy 52,881 Posted July 9, 2015 Share Posted July 9, 2015 http://www.cbc.ca/m/news/business/shadow-mortgage-lending-on-the-rise-as-house-prices-soar-1.3144317 http://www.theglobeandmail.com/globe-investor/personal-finance/mortgages/canadas-hot-housing-markets-clearly-detached-from-reality/article25373618/?service=mobile Even as data suggests Canada may have entered a technical recession in the first half of 2015, the 15 year old housing boom that has seen home prices rise nearly 140% since the year 2000 refuses to let up Housing starts rise to 202,000 units in June and prices rose yet again even all other sectors of the economy struggle The only explanation economists can come up with is that the housing bubble is self-feeding a vicious cycle where people worry if they dont buy a hous now ASAP, they will never be able to afford one so people buy one immediately creating unsustainable demand. Low interest rates helps sustain prices also As banks are more likely to deny mortages now due to tighter lendig standards, people are resorting to shadow lending from private 3rd parties. In some cases people have dipped into home equity to lend a downpayment to someone else at shark-loan rates which are not only illegal, but also dangerous to financial system. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Miker 5,683 Posted July 9, 2015 Share Posted July 9, 2015 I wouldn't accept any checks from Greece unless they are certified. . Shady loans have been a way of life for a very long time. This doesn't change the fact that houses are a good investment especially when interest rates are low. Mars..........or bust! Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Economy 52,881 Posted July 9, 2015 Author Share Posted July 9, 2015 I wouldn't accept any checks from Greece unless they are certified. . Shady loans have been a way of life for a very long time. This doesn't change the fact that houses are a good investment especially when interest rates are low. well the government tried to cool the housing market by tighning lending rules and instead that resulted in more shadow lending and shady loans as well now this might not be such a big deal if home prices didnt rise faster than incomes for so many years... Or if home construction wasnt above population growth for so long if ppl are dipping into house value (equity) to finance downpayments for others to buy homes thats some real speculation and dangerous lending going on there... if the housing bubble finally pops, it aint gonna be pretty plus the economy has been stalling for some time and ever since oil prices collapsed even worse. There is no reason realestate should still be so red hot. Low interest rates obviously is a factor but then that vicious cycle they talk about may be part of it too! Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Miker 5,683 Posted July 9, 2015 Share Posted July 9, 2015 well the government tried to cool the housing market by tighning lending rules and instead that resulted in more shadow lending and shady loans as well now this might not be such a big deal if home prices didnt rise faster than incomes for so many years... Or if home construction wasnt above population growth for so long if ppl are dipping into house value (equity) to finance downpayments for others to buy homes thats some real speculation and dangerous lending going on there... if the housing bubble finally pops, it aint gonna be pretty plus the economy has been stalling for some time and ever since oil prices collapsed even worse. There is no reason realestate should still be so red hot. Low interest rates obviously is a factor but then that vicious cycle they talk about may be part of it too!The tendency has been for people to buy homes and rebuild or refurbish them and sell them for much more than they are worth. There are people that will pay big money for larger rebuilt homes since they can house more than one family per dwelling. This reduces the costs per person. Mars..........or bust! Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Economy 52,881 Posted July 9, 2015 Author Share Posted July 9, 2015 The tendency has been for people to buy homes and rebuild or refurbish them and sell them for much more than they are worth. There are people that will pay big money for larger rebuilt homes since they can house more than one family per dwelling. This reduces the costs per person.i know the new home the build (not counting condos) are big at least in my city... Although if they fit more people then a larger number of u its being built than pop growth is an rven bigger issue... but existing homes are not generally rebuilt larger. They may be renovated yes but the prices are rediculous. In Toronto average home prices of a regular detatched house is well over $1 Million, in Vancouver even worse... The National Average is over $410,000 for the average unit even tho median household incomes (counting everyones income in a household) are only $66,000 as of last year i believe. That gives Canada one of the highest price-income ratios globaly... its dangerous, housing bubbkes and housing busts arent rare. Big ones have happened in the US, Japan, Spain, Switzerland to name a few if home prices consistantly rise faster than incomes, and construction is above what demographic growth requires, then it is not sustainable of course not all bubbles burst. If a combination of right factors are in place some bubbles deflate, as in theres a gradual correction. Im hoping that happens here Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
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