andy232000 13,211 Posted March 10, 2020 Share Posted March 10, 2020 Welp...there goes my trip to Italy in late May Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Killa 18,817 Posted March 10, 2020 Share Posted March 10, 2020 3 hours ago, dynamite said: Oh god! Btw how does lockdown even work, what does it mean? Like I can't imagine there are police on every corner ordering you back into your homes Unfortunately no, its impossible to patrol streets. Basically what i got frm today is that if you have normal police stop you need permission, lets say for work. My boy takes highway for verona and tells me no one is controlling. You may get out. Restaurants are closed after 18h but theres delicery possible also for supermakets. You have a limit of people that can enter and should maintain some distance. Tho honestly ill waste 2h tomorrow understanding if its still everything like today, cause the document is very short Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Adakam 2 Posted March 10, 2020 Share Posted March 10, 2020 2 hours ago, Karl said: I understand that it's a brand new virus without a vaccine and that it is obviously dangerous to older people, but at the same time, so is the Flu, and we don't close borders every year when that happens. Just all seems a bit extreme to me for the amount of deaths that have occurred which is very few. If we move fast, if the right precautions are taken, if we get lucky with the treatments that are close to being confirmed, if the virus slows down with warm weather as many predict, and if everyone takes their own precautions like washing hands/not touching your face/avoid crowds, etc. We'll forget it by the end of the year and the death toll will stay low, probably similar to the H1N1 flu. If we fail to slow its spread, if the treatments fail, if hospitals get overcrowded, if the weather doesnt affect the virus, etc, things can become very grim. Just do your part, listen to experts, avoid fake news and fearmongering, and take your personal precautions, and you should be fine. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Posted March 10, 2020 Share Posted March 10, 2020 6 hours ago, Whispering said: They don’t know if this will react like the regular flu or not, in being seasonal: Marc Lipsitch, DPhil Professor of Epidemiology and Director, Center for Communicable Disease Dynamics, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health “Several people, including the US president, have suggested that the novel coronavirus SARS-CoV-2 and the disease it causes, COVID-19, will go away on its own in the warmer weather that will come in the Northern Hemisphere in coming months. Some have even suggested that the experience with SARS in 2003 provides evidence for this assertion. The short answer is that while we may expect modest declines in the contagiousness of SARS-CoV-2 in warmer, wetter weather and perhaps with the closing of schools in temperate regions of the Northern Hemisphere, it is not reasonable to expect these declines alone to slow transmission enough to make a big dent.” Most Caronaviruses in the past declined in hot weathers, but yes we still dont know about this specific one. But there is a chance it will hopefully happen. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Economy 52,838 Posted March 10, 2020 Share Posted March 10, 2020 11 hours ago, Varys said: I wonder why the death toll in italy is so high compared to other countries 11 hours ago, FlopSlurper said: they have the second largest aging population in the world after japan That and could they have a stronger outbreak of the stronger strain? Since one strain going around is worse than the other, presumably which ever one outbreaks stronger in a nation will also impact it's death rate Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Luc 4,776 Posted March 10, 2020 Share Posted March 10, 2020 7 minutes ago, Economy said: That and could they have a stronger outbreak of the stronger strain? Since one strain going around is worse than the other, presumably which ever one outbreaks stronger in a nation will also impact it's death rate Don't think so, because the rest of Europe got the virus from northern Italy (coincidentally, we had pre-spring holidays for a week when it was spreading) and it's not been as deadly in the rest of Europe. There's probably Italy-specific reasons for this. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Daylight Jokers 14,958 Posted March 10, 2020 Share Posted March 10, 2020 I'm trying to stay calm. I'm not from Italy, but there's already one recorded case of COVID19 at a street that's like 20 meters away from us. Wash your hands and stay at home. Wear facial masks when going out. Try not to touch your faces as much as possible. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Secret 2,320 Posted March 10, 2020 Share Posted March 10, 2020 39 minutes ago, Luc said: Don't think so, because the rest of Europe got the virus from northern Italy (coincidentally, we had pre-spring holidays for a week when it was spreading) and it's not been as deadly in the rest of Europe. There's probably Italy-specific reasons for this. That it is not true. There was a case in Jenuary in Germany that went undercover. Italy just did control more and was unfortunate. however Italian culture may be a thing that helped its spreading: we hug, we have a close relationship with our grandparents, the population is quite old etc Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
voidfigure 1,612 Posted March 10, 2020 Share Posted March 10, 2020 2 hours ago, Luc said: Don't think so, because the rest of Europe got the virus from northern Italy (coincidentally, we had pre-spring holidays for a week when it was spreading) and it's not been as deadly in the rest of Europe. There's probably Italy-specific reasons for this. Patient 1 was a German man visiting Italy or something like that. Plus, Asian communities (the first cases) in Italy are quite big, though they remarkably locked themselves at home once the virus began to spread. The "Italian reason" is that many citizens underestimated the spreading rate of the virus, and continued to avoid quarantines and specific safety measures until like yesterday. Now we are in lockdown because of that Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Luc 4,776 Posted March 10, 2020 Share Posted March 10, 2020 8 hours ago, voidfigure said: Patient 1 was a German man visiting Italy or something like that. Plus, Asian communities (the first cases) in Italy are quite big, though they remarkably locked themselves at home once the virus began to spread. The "Italian reason" is that many citizens underestimated the spreading rate of the virus, and continued to avoid quarantines and specific safety measures until like yesterday. Now we are in lockdown because of that 9 hours ago, Secret said: That it is not true. There was a case in Jenuary in Germany that went undercover. Italy just did control more and was unfortunate. however Italian culture may be a thing that helped its spreading: we hug, we have a close relationship with our grandparents, the population is quite old etc I'm not denying that the first patient was in Germany, what I'm saying is that, if Italy had a virus mutation that was more deathly than the 'normal' virus from China, that same mutation would also have been in for example the Netherlands (all our cases can be traced back to Italy), leading to a similar high death rate in the Netherlands, which is not the case. I'm also not trying to say that there's anything specific to Italy that led to a high amount of number infected, I think that Italy is very similar to the rest of Europe when it comes to (initial) stubbornness about the virus. What I'm getting at is the relatively high death rate in Italy, which I argued cannot have been caused by a mutation in the virus. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rio 5,088 Posted March 10, 2020 Share Posted March 10, 2020 22 hours ago, Tayko said: France is next girls 1412 infected and our health Minister just said we will test way more people tommorow cause the virus is spreading hard. Since today we can't be more than 1000 people in the same place and all the French schools are slowly closing. 😢 Does this mean my date at Stade de France will be cancelled? Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tayko 1,203 Posted March 10, 2020 Share Posted March 10, 2020 7 minutes ago, Rio said: Does this mean my date at Stade de France will be cancelled? For the moment no every event are cancelled till April 15 but if the virus is getting worse there's big chance yes our president is ready to do everything even lock our country later if this is needed we will see Update : 1784 infected / 33 death and counting 🇫🇷 My english sucks Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
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