Brainiac 11,171 Posted January 26, 2020 Share Posted January 26, 2020 10 minutes ago, PoshLife said: Why can't Bernie Bros talk without lying? FiveThirtyEight gives Sanders a 29% likelihood of winning Iowa and Biden a 25% chance. That's twice as likely? You guys are seriously deluded. https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-primary-forecast/iowa/ Don't call me a Bernie Bro, thanks. https://electionbettingodds.com/Iowa2020.html And you were saying? Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sanju 1,504 Posted January 26, 2020 Share Posted January 26, 2020 @PoshLifeCalling people Bernie bros pretty much cancels whatever you say after tbh. Even though your points are valid in some manner, and encouraged to have a healthy argument with the other side, the way you approach it pretty much ends the argument as you come off pretty mysogynistic to actual women voters, and PoC who support Bernie. I stand by this the other way around too, but I don't really see much people here categorizing other candidates voters in such a pointless and meaningless smear. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
lego 44,165 Posted January 26, 2020 Share Posted January 26, 2020 plus: FreePalestine Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
derpmonster 22,412 Posted January 26, 2020 Share Posted January 26, 2020 Interesting that CNN is giving him any time of the day honestly Check out iTunes data & graphs at CHARTPOP.live Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
PoshLife 17,019 Posted January 26, 2020 Share Posted January 26, 2020 Another day, another example of Bernie Bros cherry-picking data. Bernie Sanders is most assuredly not "climbing everywhere." In Nevada - the third state to vote in our primary - his 19% polling average is statistically unchanged from his 18% average in August. (Source) In South Carolina - the fourth state to vote - his paltry 15% polling average is the same as it's always been. (Source) Those are polling averages. Every single poll of those states - the ones you like, and the ones you don't - are baked in. No cherry-picking, just actual trendlines. It's entirely possible he wins in both Iowa (where he'll do very well because it's a white caucus state) and New Hampshire (where he'll do well because he basically has the home-state advantage). I'd even argue that his "surge" in New Hampshire is actually a regression towards the mean after various other candidates, including Buttigieg and Biden, experienced their own surges there over the past few months. (Source) And to the Twitter user who thinks winning Iowa means winning the nomination: ask Ted Cruz in 2016 or Rick Santorum in 2012 whether they won the nomination. Winning Iowa doesn't mean you'll win the nomination, because Iowa increasingly doesn't reflect the diversity of our party across the country. Nate Silver has written extensively that Biden is the one candidate best-positioned to win the nomination even if he loses both Iowa and New Hampshire because of his strong support in Nevada, South Carolina, and most of the Super Tuesday states. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
lego 44,165 Posted January 26, 2020 Share Posted January 26, 2020 1 minute ago, derpmonster said: Interesting that CNN is giving him any time of the day honestly Some say this guy didn’t even like Bernie, but something changed. FreePalestine Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
lego 44,165 Posted January 26, 2020 Share Posted January 26, 2020 Just now, PoshLife said: Another day, another example of Bernie Bros Another day, another sexist, misogynistic post from poshlife. Time to report this for flamebait. FreePalestine Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
derpmonster 22,412 Posted January 26, 2020 Share Posted January 26, 2020 6 minutes ago, PoshLife said: Another day, another example of Bernie Bros cherry-picking data. Bernie Sanders is most assuredly not "climbing everywhere." It's literally a CNN article, not a Bernie supporter thing Check out iTunes data & graphs at CHARTPOP.live Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
derpmonster 22,412 Posted January 26, 2020 Share Posted January 26, 2020 The truth is Biden and Bernie are tied nationally and Bernie has been closing the little gap they had. Check out iTunes data & graphs at CHARTPOP.live Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harris Walz 2024 1,451 Posted January 26, 2020 Share Posted January 26, 2020 I believe that there's an uptick which would explain why Obama was weary of a Sanders win. Not quite sure if it's over a point or two nationally. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
PartySick 173,481 Posted January 26, 2020 Share Posted January 26, 2020 10 hours ago, Brainiac said: Bernie Sanders: 25% Elizabeth Warren: 15% Goddammit This binch had to go and play games, now she's 10 points behind. Well, "feel the Bern" I guess. I'm not contributing a vote towards a Biden win Whimsical bitch Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
PartySick 173,481 Posted January 26, 2020 Share Posted January 26, 2020 5 minutes ago, derpmonster said: The truth is Biden and Bernie are tied nationally and Bernie has been closing the little gap they had. If it's that close to being a two way race between Biden and Sanders, I know who I'd pick Whimsical bitch Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brainiac 11,171 Posted January 26, 2020 Share Posted January 26, 2020 16 minutes ago, PoshLife said: In Nevada - the third state to vote in our primary - his 19% polling average is statistically unchanged from his 18% average in August. (Source) In South Carolina - the fourth state to vote - his paltry 15% polling average is the same as it's always been. (Source) There haven't been polls conducted in either of those states for several weeks now. I guarantee if you poll both of those states right now Bernie would be leading in Nevada and the gap would be much closer in SC. Heck, the last poll in Nevada taken directly from your source has them within a point of each other and that was almost 3 weeks ago. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
FATCAT 60,901 Posted January 26, 2020 Share Posted January 26, 2020 Exciting! They say that late surges close to the polling date are pretty normal for Iowa, and it's usually election day that defines these surges (like 08' with Obama). If Bernie has both states by good margins he's got my vote when he gets to SC! This kitten over here (meow) Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
ode 1,534 Posted January 26, 2020 Share Posted January 26, 2020 Get off the pollercoaster! And trust in MAMA: Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
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