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politics

2020 US Election Polls

LadariousGarage
10 minutes ago, PartySick said:

It definitely will :lolly: accusations of being biased will fly everywhere :lolly:

HELLO Y'ALL

I am your Pollmaster LadariousGarage

Welcome to the OFFICIAL 2020 US Election Polling thread

We will post the results of polls for y'all to be messy with

as PartySick said, the accusations of being biased will fly everywhere

Rules:

all posts should be discussing polls, please do not discuss anything off topic

Please keep debates civil, do not like threaten each other 

also like im kinda new too this so if I f*ck up at all plz tell me

I will try to update daily, but if I forget, or I am not able to for a few days, I will try to update them as much as I can

 

 

Edited by LadariousGarage
Lets do it baby I know the Law

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PartySick
1 minute ago, LadariousGarage said:

 

 

You're now the poll master :diane: make the OP yours :diane:

I'm dreaming of going somewhere else. Being human.

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LadariousGarage
1 minute ago, PartySick said:

You're now the poll master :diane: make the OP yours :diane:

thanks gurl

Lets do it baby I know the Law
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LadariousGarage

so this is my plan for this

Democratic Polls January 20, 2019

Iowa Democratic Presidential Caucus (FRA/David Binder) Biden 24%, Warren 18%, Buttigieg 16%, Sanders 14%, Klobuchar 11%, Steyer 4%, Yang 3%, Bloomburg 1%, Gabbard 1%

 

New Jersey Democratic Presidential Primary (Emerson) Biden 28%, Sanders 25%, Warren 15%, Bloomburg 9%, Buttigieg 6%, Yang 6%, Klobuchar 4%, Gabbard 3%, Delaney 2%

Lets do it baby I know the Law

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LadariousGarage

Trump Approval Rating 

Cnn 45% Approve 51% Disapprove

Gallup 44% Approve 54% Disapprove 

Lets do it baby I know the Law

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ItsTommyBitch

While I hate Nate Silver :green: 538 has pollster rankings that are still mostly reliable, and I would defer to those when polls "come out" and potentially mention them or if they are unranked, etc. so that viewers know that not all polls have the same weight, veracity, or reliability in the name of Transparency.

So like if I had to suggest a format it would be something compact like

(Location/Place Polled/Date)

Name of Pollster or Organization|Rank

-Horizontal or Vertical Results

(link to polling cross tabs if available)

 

Edited by ItsTommyBitch
私自身もこの世の中も誰もかれもが, どんなに華やかな人生でも, どんなに悲惨な人生でも, いつかは変貌し, 破壊され、消滅してしまう. すべてがもともとこの世に存在しない一瞬の幻想なのだから
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LadariousGarage
Just now, ItsTommyBitch said:

While I hate Nate Silver :green: 538 has pollster rankings that are still mostly reliable, and I would defer to those when polls "come out" and potentially mention them or if they are unranked, etc. so that viewers know that not all polls have the same weight, veracity, or reliability in the name of Transparency.

So like if I had to suggest a format it would be something compact like

Name of Pollster or Organization|Rank

-Horizontal or Vertical Results

(link to polling cross tabs if available)

 

Thanks!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Lets do it baby I know the Law

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ItsTommyBitch
Just now, LadariousGarage said:

Thanks!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

I would also suggest stickying (or w.e, i dont think that exists on here) a link to Real Clear Politics, which is an aggregator website - it combines the results of most all polls (even the bad ones, but I mean... we can only be so accurate, like these two recent Iowa polls aren't very reputable, but they will impact the averages of Biden favorably) 

私自身もこの世の中も誰もかれもが, どんなに華やかな人生でも, どんなに悲惨な人生でも, いつかは変貌し, 破壊され、消滅してしまう. すべてがもともとこの世に存在しない一瞬の幻想なのだから

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LadariousGarage

Democratic Polls January 21 2020

New Hampshire Democratic National Primary

Boston Globe/Suffolk

Sanders 16%

Biden 15%

Buttigieg 12%

Warren 10% 

Yang 6%

Klobuchar 5%

Gabbard 5%

Steyer 3%

Bennet 1%

Spread: Sanders 1%

Source:

 

 

Lets do it baby I know the Law

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LadariousGarage

Democratic Polls January 22 2020

Poll 1

Cnn

Sanders 27%

Biden 24% 

Warren 14%

Buttigieg 11%

Bloomburg 5%

Klobuchar 4%

Yang 4%

Steyer 2%

Gabbard 0%

Bennet 0%

Delaney 0%

 

Lets do it baby I know the Law

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LadariousGarage

Poll 2

Monmouth

Biden 30%

Sanders 23%

Warren 14%

Bloomberg 9%

Buttigieg 6%

Klobuchar 5%

Yang 3%

Gabbard 1%

Steyer 1%

Bennet 1%

Delaney 0%

 

Lets do it baby I know the Law

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LadariousGarage

Poll 3

Economist/YouGove

Biden 28%

Warren 21%

Sanders 18%

Buttigieg 8%

Bloomburg 6%

Klobuchar 4%

Yang 3%

Gabbard 3%

Steyer 2%

Bennet 0%

Delaney 0%

Edited by LadariousGarage
Lets do it baby I know the Law

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LadariousGarage

Poll 4

Morning Consult

Biden 29%

Sanders 24%

Warren 15%

Bloomburg 10%

Buttigieg 8%

Yang 4%

Steyer 3%

Gabbard 2%

Bennet 1%

Delaney 1%

Lets do it baby I know the Law

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ctherainbow

Yeah, definitely post crosstabs, because there are MANY trash polling companies.   :sweat: 

Great idea, though!

I'm talkin' 'bout forever, baby.

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Brainiac

New Siena/New York Times Upshot Poll! (Graded an A+ pollster by FiveThirtyEight)

https://scri.siena.edu/wp-content/uploads/2020/01/IADem0120_4891051654159.pdf

Iowa Caucuses

Bernie Sanders: 25%
Pete Buttigieg: 18%
Joe Biden: 17%
Elizabeth Warren: 15%
Amy Klobuchar: 8%
Steyer/Yang: 3%
Gabbard/Bloomberg: 1%

Edited by Brainiac
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