Trump May Become First Republican In 60 Years To Lose White College Grads

[LebaneseDude 6,146]

Via fivethirtyeight

Donald Trump does really well among white voters without a college degree. Indeed, he is on track to carry that group by a wider margin than Mitt Romney did over President Obama four years ago. But there’s another side to that coin: While Trump is outperforming your run-of-the-mill Republican among whites without a college degree, he’s underperforming among white voters with a college degree. In fact, he is on a track to lose white college graduates.

That’s really unusual for a Republican, and it means that among white voters overall, he’s probably not holding a winning hand.

If you look at seven live interview polls taken since Trump wrapped up the nomination in May, he has trailed among whites with a college degree by an average of 6 percentage points. The same polls have him losing among the overall electorate by an average of 5 percentage points. (That’s about where the race stands now.)

At first glance, it shouldn’t be too surprising that Trump faces a deficit with whites with a college degree. He struggled with them tremendously compared to whites without a college degree during the GOP primaryseason, and you can easily imagine how his nativist appeals have less resonance among those who have more education.

On the other hand, Trump’s performance is downright shocking from a historical perspective. Romney won whites with a college degree by 6 percentage points over Obama, according to the American National Elections Studies. In fact, the American National Elections Studies showsRepublicans carrying that group in every election from 1956 to 2012.

What makes this year’s turn of events even more interesting is how Hillary Clinton is doing this well among whites with a college degree even as she isn’t blowing Trump out. Lyndon Johnson couldn’t carry whites with a college degree in 1964 when he was defeating Barry Goldwater by 23 percentage points overall. That is, there has been a big leftward shift among white voters with a college degree without the rest of the electorate following along.

In terms of the national vote, Clinton’s strength with white voters with a college degree could win her the presidency. Even using relatively conservative estimates for how well Obama did among whites with at least a college degree in 2012, Clinton expands her overall margin by 3 percentage points compared to Obama because of how well she is doing among white voters with at least a college degree. For now, that’s making up for her lack of support compared to Obama among white voters without a college degree. We’ll see if that’s enough in the months to come.

[HEARTHUNTER 7,611]

THAT PIC

[LebaneseDude 6,146]

Just now, HEARTHUNTER said:

THAT PIC

[BlondeQueenOfGGD 25,454]

SEETHE Donald duck. 

 

[DiamondAngel 5,044]

4 minutes ago, Majora said:

SEETHE Donald duck. 

 

This looks like something you can make with the ARTPOP gif maker app. 

[ItsTommyBitch 12,640]

Really tempted to make accurate points about "white college grads" but alas, I'll be shredded even if they are true  

[Born To Slay 10,996]

36 minutes ago, ItsTommyBitch said:

Really tempted to make accurate points about "white college grads" but alas, I'll be shredded even if they are true  

Post them, I'm curious 

[AJH219 4,448]

I don't know what to make of this information  I assume this is speaking about white college graduates who align with the R party? Or white college grads in general? 

[Luc 4,776]

Why are white college grads in the US so rightist anyways? Usually the well-educated are more progressive and slightly more leftist on economic matters (at least that's the case in many kther countries and the general atmosphere at most university cities).

[Goosey 3,017]

1 hour ago, Luc said:

Why are white college grads in the US so rightist anyways? 

Because as you said, they are better educated 

[Sudarshana 581]

1 hour ago, Luc said:

Why are white college grads in the US so rightist anyways?

Maybe they studied history and know what happens to countries that turn left?

[MonsterOfSpain 8,331]

3 minutes ago, Sudarshana said:

Maybe they studied history and know what happens to countries that turn left?

 

[Luc 4,776]

12 minutes ago, Sudarshana said:

Maybe they studied history and know what happens to countries that turn left?

Probably not the case, considering that in the rest of the world, those with the best education typically vote parties such as Labour and the Greens. This is also very true for the US. In Cambridge, US, where Harvard is - where the smartest of the smartest are, only 5% of registered voters are Republicans. There are 9 times more Democrats than Republicans in that city. If we look at Cambridge in the UK, we see that 36% voted Labour, 34.9% Liberal Democrat and 7.9% for the Greens. These three progressive parties garnered five times more votes than the UK's two right-wing parties (conservatives 15% and UKIP 5%).

Apparently the cities with the people who had the best education, are also the cities with the most progressive left-wing voters and the least conservatives or right-wing voters. Surprising? No. If your argument, that smart people make better decisions because they know more about history, politics, etc. is true, it would lead to a way different conclusion: the smartest people are by far more likely to support progressive and left-wing parties.

[RAMROD 117,019]

Univ. grades does not mean anything.

If someone's personality is bad from the get go, being well educated only make them more systematic and dangerous on doing their evil plans.

I hate that opinion, that well educated people are better than people without Univ grades and more tolerant. Not always the case. Many people went to uni just to get better pay rates for their aimed profession than anything.

[Sudarshana 581]

Just now, Luc said:

Probably not the case, considering that in the rest of the world, those with the best education typically vote parties such as Labour and the Greens. This is also very true for the US. In Cambridge, US, where Harvard is - where the smartest of the smartest are, only 5% of registered voters are Republicans. There are 9 times more Democrats than Republicans in that city. If we look at Cambridge in the UK, we see that 36% voted Labour, 34.9% Liberal Democrat and 7.9% for the Greens. These three progressive parties garnered five times more votes than the UK's two right-wing parties (conservatives 15% and UKIP 5%).

Apparently the cities with the people who had the best education, are also the cities with the most progressive left-wing voters and the least conservatives or right-wing voters. Surprising? No. If your argument, that smart people make better decisions because they know more about history, politics, etc. is true, it would lead to a way different conclusion: the smartest people are by far more likely to support progressive and left-wing parties.

Yes, I've heard about it, but isn't a man allowed to dream?