Harlequin now predicted to win Grammy nom

2025-12-04T20:50:41Z

According to Gold Derby, Harlequin is now the favorite to win for Best Traditional Pop Vocal Album at the 68th Annual Grammy Awards, to be celebrated on February 1, 2026.

Gaga is currently leading the predictions at over 46%, followed by Elton John and Brandi Carlile at 42% and Laufey at 8%. Out of all the nominees this year, Gaga has the most wins (2), but this is her first time being nominated without her dear friend Tony Bennett. On the other hand, Laufey is the only other nominee to have won this category previously (2024 with her album Bewitched). Barbra Streisand is currently at her 14th nomination with no wins yet. Elton, Brandi, Jennifer Hudson, and Laila Biali are all on their first nomination this year.

Prior to the announcement of the nominees, Elton John and Brandi Carlile's Who Believes in Angels? was the clear frontrunner due to its critical acclaim and predicted nomination for Album of the Year. However, after the album missed the final cut, and Gaga's chances increased after she was the most nominated female artist of the year and achieved major nominations including Album, Song and Record of the Year, and even a surprise nomination for Disease as Best Pop Solo Performance. Her momentum seems to be building up as the days go by as The Mayhem Ball just wrapped up its European leg to critical acclaim in every single stop, a lot of major magazines and newspaper have included her on their lists of the best albums and songs of 2025. Gaga also had significant appearances on the year end lists for Spotify, Deezer, Apple Music and YouTube Music.

Gaga is currently predicted to win all of her nominations, with the exception of Best Pop Solo Performance, where she's currently at 43%, behind Sabrina Carpenter's Manchild at 47%. Though predictions can be wrong and the Grammys are known for being unpredictable sometimes, this wouldn't be the first time Gaga pulls a win that no one saw coming, after she managed to win Best Pop Solo Performance for Joanne (Where Do You Think You're Going?) and Best Pop Duo/Group Performance for Rain on Me despite being third in the odds in both cases.