Ladle Ghoulash 53,147 Posted November 5, 2024 Share Posted November 5, 2024 29 minutes ago, David Ward said: I refuse to believe these are actual names Okay David Ward (of the State) We have forgotten our public MANNERS Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Posted November 5, 2024 Share Posted November 5, 2024 3 minutes ago, sarahb said: Arizona is doing better now than in 2022 tbh, and who knows where those I's are gonna break 2022 Maricopa County @ 11am: 14.1% D 57.5% R 28.2% I 84.5k total votes 2024 Maricopa County @ 11am 20.2% D 41.6% R 38.2% I 93.9k total votes it's also weaker R's turnout than in 2022 but more Independents Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Posted November 5, 2024 Share Posted November 5, 2024 Are there any indications from Ohio? Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
LateToCult 41,861 Posted November 5, 2024 Share Posted November 5, 2024 9 minutes ago, chromaticainmyhead said: Why has Arizona been so difficult for Harris? It’s a border state with conservative roots. I have hope that Gallego can boost her. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ladle Ghoulash 53,147 Posted November 5, 2024 Share Posted November 5, 2024 Brb, lighting my Ann Selzer prayer candle 🕯️ We have forgotten our public MANNERS Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shadow 6,697 Posted November 5, 2024 Share Posted November 5, 2024 Democrats have a diversity problem — The GOP is gaining non-white support "Look at Latinos, Asians, and now, Black men. Latinos and Asians both had over 30 percent of each group vote for Donald Trump in 2020. Those numbers might rise for the 2024 election. And more polls have shown that Black men have been gravitating toward the GOP. How does this happen? Well, the American Dream is a big part of it. Republicans who were dreading the thought of white Americans becoming a majority-minority, saw that as Latinos, Asians, Black Americans and other groups have risen in socio-economic status over the last two generations, they have diversified their needs politically. As these groups have moved into upper middle class standing, they have developed needs that put them at odds with Democratic policies. Whether it is taxes, immigration, running a business or cultural values, there is no doubt that non-white groups have found some kinship with what the Republicans offer." I think this trend might explain why Democrats have a harder time in states like Arizona and Florida where minorities of higher socio-economic status tend to gravitate toward Republican policies. Stand in the light, cast your shadow. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morphine Prince 109,683 Posted November 5, 2024 Author Share Posted November 5, 2024 6 minutes ago, AndiGaga said: Turnout as in who they are registred for? I really have hope that Republican Women vote for Harris, secretly if they have to Yeah, there’s just no way she wins there. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
sarahb 17,188 Posted November 5, 2024 Share Posted November 5, 2024 2 minutes ago, Ladle Ghoulash said: Brb, lighting my Ann Selzer prayer candle 🕯️ Selzer when this is over Do you feel him sir? Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morphine Prince 109,683 Posted November 5, 2024 Author Share Posted November 5, 2024 If Selzer is correct they will build statues of her. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
27monster27 15,869 Posted November 5, 2024 Share Posted November 5, 2024 This transphobe is freaking out: https://x.com/charliekirk11/status/1853854715450212688?ref_src=twsrc^tfw|twcamp^tweetembed|twterm^1853854715450212688|twgr^e1e062a9842dce4b313c5b18b42afbeff0555b44|twcon^s1_c10&ref_url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.alternatehistory.com%2Fforum%2Fthreads%2Fus-pol-the-american-politics-chat-thread-ccxiii-one-day-more.558106%2Fpage-270 he/him/his Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
LateToCult 41,861 Posted November 5, 2024 Share Posted November 5, 2024 If Kamala wins Iowa, it kills Trump’s PA-NC-GA path. He would need to win NV or AZ as well. And that’s assuming there are no other surprises. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Posted November 5, 2024 Share Posted November 5, 2024 1 minute ago, LateToCult said: If Kamala wins Iowa, it kills Trump’s PA-NC-GA path. He would need to win NV or AZ as well. And that’s assuming there are no other surprises. I listened to Ann J. Selzer in an interview where she said that there is mostly women the age of 65 and older turning in favor of Harris and if that demographic really shows up in Iowa despite being a heavily Republican leaning state, it throws other red states also into play. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bronco 25,131 Posted November 5, 2024 Share Posted November 5, 2024 25 minutes ago, Morphine Prince said: I’m looking at turnout. Republicans are crushing it. I think you are right that Florida will stay red this cycle. But honestly we need to analyse tonight based on the gender gap in swing states or the peripheral swings like Florida/Texas/Iowa. The data we're looking at screams a "Roe Wave" to me. 17 minutes ago, sarahb said: Iowa is even Like look here - the gender gap in 2020 was +4% women over men at the final count in Iowa. A 6% uptick would fit that Selzer poll of Iowa flipping. https://x.com/RichardJG_/status/1853851974594085259 Add in the Nevada turnout figures for Clark County - Nevada has abortion related ballot initiatives on the ticket.... I truly believe there's a women's rights surge coming today The gays know how to party Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bronco 25,131 Posted November 5, 2024 Share Posted November 5, 2024 Also want to add this https://x.com/harris_wins/status/1853879448535498955 As the day goes on I'm seeing more reports of big young voter turnouts. Young voters always turn out later in my experience and it looks like Gen Z women won't back down without a fight The gays know how to party Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
LateToCult 41,861 Posted November 5, 2024 Share Posted November 5, 2024 Buying a brunette bob for my Halloween costume next year if she’s right btw. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
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