GregJA 5,536 Posted July 23, 2024 Share Posted July 23, 2024 Don’t get too confident - he’s far above MOE Mr. No Award Winner 2020 Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpadesToStart 3,808 Posted July 23, 2024 Share Posted July 23, 2024 23 minutes ago, GregJA said: Don’t get too confident - he’s far above MOE This is old data. The most recent Quinnipiac released today showed only 2% difference, within MOE. And even that poll was conducted 7-19 to 7-21, so it still doesn’t reflect the reality of her being the nominee, it was still just a hypothetical at the time of polling. however, the big thing to remember is that everything we’ve see thus far likely Kamala’s basement as far as polling numbers, because it’s all pre-campaigning, pre-advertising, pre-debates and town halls. we really won’t have polls worth a damn for a week or two yet (and that’s if you think they’re worth a damn to begin with) Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpadesToStart 3,808 Posted July 23, 2024 Share Posted July 23, 2024 Ooops, posted twice Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
FATCAT 60,888 Posted July 23, 2024 Share Posted July 23, 2024 52 minutes ago, elijahfan said: I knew Charli XCX was influential, but never in a million years would I have thought she'd literally help seal the 2024 American election and save democracy in the process We saved the UK from fascists and now they've helped save us! This kitten over here (meow) Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bronco 25,131 Posted July 23, 2024 Share Posted July 23, 2024 46 minutes ago, GregJA said: Don’t get too confident - he’s far above MOE Are these polls pre-drop out when its a hypothetical or a post-drop out? It'd be very unusual for someone in Harris' position to not get a honeymoon bounce in the first polls. The gays know how to party Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
bionic 50,111 Posted July 23, 2024 Share Posted July 23, 2024 8 minutes ago, Bronco said: Are these polls pre-drop out when its a hypothetical or a post-drop out? It'd be very unusual for someone in Harris' position to not get a honeymoon bounce in the first polls. The source says the poll was taken the same day Biden dropped out- including immediately before or after the announcement (at neither point had Kamala been endorsed)- but its from a garbage UK newspaper https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-13663027/polls-Biden-dropped-reveals-race-Kamala-Trump.html The Forbes/HarrisX poll was based on hypotheticals before Biden dropped out https://finance.yahoo.com/news/harrisx-forbes-poll-trump-gains-221600608.html The Morning Consult poll is from 6 July https://www.bloomberg.com/news/features/2024-07-06/biden-narrows-trump-s-election-lead-in-key-states-after-debate-poll Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAsUnic0rn 2,247 Posted July 23, 2024 Share Posted July 23, 2024 People have to remember, the Harris VP pick literally won Biden the election. After Biden won crowds in the streets were blasting feminist hymns because Harris was elected VP! Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ladle Ghoulash 53,175 Posted July 23, 2024 Share Posted July 23, 2024 1 hour ago, InTheCloset said: ‘Right to self defence’ yeah sure. That’s not a particularly controversial stance insofar as it is applied in good faith We have forgotten our public MANNERS Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mars 2,658 Posted July 23, 2024 Share Posted July 23, 2024 1 hour ago, SimonBaetens said: imagine if Joe had made way for her sooner I think the timing is perfect though, now the Dems are energised fully and people are inspired, lets hope this momentum stays. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bronco 25,131 Posted July 23, 2024 Share Posted July 23, 2024 4 minutes ago, bionic said: The source says the poll was taken the same day Biden dropped out- including immediately before or after the announcement (at neither point had Kamala been endorsed)- but its from a garbage UK newspaper https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-13663027/polls-Biden-dropped-reveals-race-Kamala-Trump.html The Forbes/HarrisX poll was based on hypotheticals before Biden dropped out https://finance.yahoo.com/news/harrisx-forbes-poll-trump-gains-221600608.html That makes more sense that the closest poll is a post announcement one. And it was broadly in line with the avg of the pre drop out hypothetical polls. That said, Daily Mail is trash & the pollster raiting for Morning Consult on FiveThirtyEight leaves a lot to be desired. I'd trust a polling company like Ipsos way more personally just based on personal experience. https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/pollster-ratings/ The gays know how to party Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
LOVEDRUG 11,269 Posted July 23, 2024 Share Posted July 23, 2024 just ordered a kamala campaign flag to hoist up outside my house, and i don't even live on the same side of the atlantic "through all the tears and all the lies, i'm gonna dance until i feel alright" Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
SlowLoris 1,204 Posted July 23, 2024 Share Posted July 23, 2024 1 hour ago, SimonBaetens said: imagine if Joe had made way for her sooner I wonder though if holding off for so long and making people feel desperate has played into the excitement though Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
sarahb 17,188 Posted July 23, 2024 Share Posted July 23, 2024 New Reuters poll shows Kamala leading Trump 44% to 42%. It was conducted on Monday and Tuesday after Biden ended his campaign https://www.reuters.com/world/us/harris-leads-trump-44-42-us-presidential-race-reutersipsos-poll-finds-2024-07-23 Do you feel him sir? Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
PartySick 172,545 Posted July 23, 2024 Share Posted July 23, 2024 2 hours ago, GregJA said: Don’t get too confident - he’s far above MOE Jesus you have the most bleak, pessimistic, and doomer outlook on things, it's exhausting. She's been the nominee for less than a week and these polls are almost certainly based on previously hypothetical situations. We can talk about polling in September. Whimsical bitch Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
CameronSpears 2,129 Posted July 24, 2024 Share Posted July 24, 2024 6 hours ago, GregJA said: Don’t get too confident - he’s far above MOE This is old data. Please keep up. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
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