The Democratic Nominee

[SharkmanthaC 115,047]

In an effort to consolidate the topic, we'll be merging most (not all) topics about the presumptive Democratic nominee, Kamala Harris, here, as well as any "challenges" she has.

We'll likely do the same for the US election in general at a later point, probably after the Democratic convention. If any of you political nerds would like to volunteer to be the OP of it, by all means make the thread then. The first to do it will be kept.

Breaking news and major updates still get their own threads but polls and general discussions about the not-primary can be had/sent here.

And if anyone has a better idea of what to call this thread, we're all ears.

Xoxo, Party possessing Sam's appearance.

[Morphine Prince 109,683]

In NBC News’ latest national poll, conducted more than a week after Biden’s dismal debate performance but before the assassination attempt on Trump, both the president and Harris trailed Trump by 2-point margins among registered voters, though the actual percentages for each candidate were slightly different. Trump led Biden 45%-43%, while he took 47% to Harris’ 45% in their matchup. Both ballot tests fell within the poll’s margin of error.

Similarly, a post-debate national Fox News poll found Trump ahead by 1 point against both Biden (Trump 49%, Biden 48%) and Harris (Trump 49%, Harris 48%) among registered voters.

But other polls have shown Harris slightly outperforming Biden by 1 or 2 points — though, critically, still trailing Trump at this point in some key matchups.

A national CBS News/YouGov poll of likely voters conducted after the assassination attempt found Trump leading Biden by 5 points among likely voters, 52% to 47%, while it showed Harris trailing by 3 points, 51% to 48%.

Harris slightly outperformed Biden among Black voters, leading Trump among this demographic by 64 points (78% to 14%). That compares with Biden’s 57-point lead among Black voters (69%-12%).

Among other demographics — by age, by gender, among Latino voters — there was almost no difference between Biden or Harris.

Trump and Biden were virtually tied with these third-party-interested voters in a head-to-head matchup. Trump took 32% and Biden took 31%, with a plurality declining to make a two-way choice, saying they were undecided, would pick another candidate, or something else.

But when Harris was the choice against Trump, more of those respondents made a pick in the two-way ballot test. The vice president went ahead of Trump among these “other” voters, 46% to 39%, suggesting a higher upside with voters currently considering a third-party candidate.

Source: https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2024-election/kamala-harris-trump-2024-polls-biden-rcna162934

 

[AndiGaga 7,233]

Keep in mind that if Biden would have stayed, there would be a lot more mistakes and horrible speeches etc.

[sarahb 17,188]

I expect things to improve for her once campaigning starts. Imo the current numbers are Biden's ceiling and Harris' floor. 

[Economy 52,861]

Just now, AndiGaga said:

Keep in mind that if Biden would have stayed, there would be a lot more mistakes and horrible speeches etc.

Its a risk changing candidate... but it was a bigger risk not to when he was nearly guaranteed to loose

 

So i feel the democrats dont have much to loose by trying

 

This way the new candidate (most likely Harris) even if her polling isnt any better... she has more attention now and she has a few months to try to convince the American ppl shes the one

[River 127,527]

She just needs to capture that progressives and the undecideds

[ROHKEUS 677]

As I said on another topic, I’m not hopeful that choosing Harris will make a winning ticket, but it will certainly prevent the landslide that was coming if Biden had stayed. 

I think they need to chose Josh Shapiro as VP, to secure a safer position in Pennsylvania. And they should push for a debate, Kamala should perform way better.

[JohnnyVersace 9,277]

We need some public/televised addresses and a debate

 

[Controversiaga 16,103]

Let’s get her in a debate asap

she will get ppl talking !!!

[Togekiss 3,124]

36 minutes ago, River said:

She just needs to capture that progressives and the undecideds

The fact that there exist undecided voters at this point is CUCU FOR COCOPUFFS

[4th Time Around 5,059]

I am very skeptical about her chances of beating Trump, she is not popular at all

Then again, the democrat party had nothing to lose because Biden meant certain defeat and she might be able to convince some independents

[Bronco 25,131]

That she was pulling equal to Biden, without the exposure suggests that she has the potential to pull her numbers up. 

Trump will try to pin Biden to her, but the Biden team spent the last 4 years arguably trying to minimise her as much as possible as they saw her as a threat  

[monstertoronto 11,748]

This also means the Republicans ongoing pursuit of arresting  Hunter Biden will have less of an impact on the election. 

[StarstruckIllusion 53,565]

While both are in the margin of error, here’s a CBS poll that says Kamala actually does have a better chance winning than Biden does

 

[Morphine Prince 109,683]