Charts Discussion - Yes it’s going Top 5, more likely than not Top 3

[Mirrion Rizzons 11,771]

The UK's leading hit radio station, Capital FM, has played stupid love 7 times today! (as of 6:35pm), with a play every 2 hours or so. Expecting at least 2-3 more plays before midnight, so should end the day with around 10 Plays

2 plays on BBC Radio one though

Capital FM is promising though, to put into perspective, the current #1 song in the UK, blinding lights has received 8 plays on  this station, so SL is doing great!  Physical, which is growing in popularity fast in the UK has received 10 plays today  

in summary, SL is getting good exposure on UK Pop radio

[TheCureinMalibu 45,913]

Just now, Arturo said:

Whew 23 million streams would be amazing. That’s like #8 on Streaming Songs, higher than Shallow after the Oscars (#9)

Yeah but Shallow had 27,3m which was higher (thanks to the performance at the oscar)  

anyway 23m is definitely a big win 

[Miracle 14,068]

Just now, Drin Lon said:

Will the cd/cassette/vinyl bundles count for this week’s chart?

Yes but only from people in the US who claimed their digital download. I think 5-10K from the bundles is reasonable. 

[DonnieDarko 10,186]

1 minute ago, Drin Lon said:

Will the cd/cassette/vinyl bundles count for this week’s chart?

Only the digital downloads that came with them.

[malazam 15,710]

Just now, Mirrion Rizzons said:

The UK's leading hit radio station, Capital FM, has played stupid love 7 times today! (as of 6:35pm), with a play every 2 hours or so. Expecting at least 2-3 more plays before midnight, so should end the day with around 10 Plays

2 plays on BBC Radio one though

Capital FM is promising though, to put into perspective, the current #1 song in the UK, blinding lights has received 8 plays on  this station, so SL is doing great!  Physical, which is growing in popularity fast in the UK has received 10 plays today  

in summary, SL is getting good exposure on UK Pop radio

She's giving them an interview so they bettah

[Drin Lon 7,875]

5 minutes ago, Arturo said:

55k sales / 500 = 110

24m airplay / 800k = 30

12m paid streams /160k = 75

5m free streams / 260k = 19
 

That’s what #4-5 looks like. All numbers are being lowballed even without bundles

Have you taken in consideration the fact that only the airplay starting from either Sunday or Monday (I’m not sure about that, somebody pls clear that up) counts for the debut week right?

[MrDaniel 14,666]

Lady Gaga is the second artist with the most points earned yesterday on European iTunes Song Chart Artist Totals with 42k points.

 

1. Billie Eilish - 45,647

2. Lady Gaga - 42,773

[Drin Lon 7,875]

Just now, Miracle said:

Yes but only from people in the US who claimed their digital download. I think 5-10K from the bundles is reasonable. 

Oof hopefully people were smart enough to claim the digital download

[Swallow 12,052]

Spotify : 7m
Youtube  8m
AM : 4m
other : 4m

= 23m

it actually looks quite possible.

[Arturo 40,746]

Just now, Drin Lon said:

Have you taken in consideration the fact that only the airplay starting from either Sunday or Monday (I’m not sure about that, somebody pls clear that up) counts for the debut week right?

Yes, Ms. Gypsy Life is predicting 30m  

[Miracle 14,068]

Just now, Drin Lon said:

Have you taken in consideration the fact that only the airplay starting from either Sunday or Monday (I’m not sure about that, somebody pls clear that up) counts for the debut week right?

Yeah but the song won't debut with only airplay. 

PI did 22M airplay the week it debuted. I expect SL to do similar numbers on radio

[OnionGirl 6,089]

We definitely need to spread the word about the physical/cassette bundles. Why do I feel like no one’s buying them? 

Gaga not saying a word about them doesn’t help either 

[malazam 15,710]

1 minute ago, Miracle said:

Yes but only from people in the US who claimed their digital download. I think 5-10K from the bundles is reasonable. 

I think you don't need to claim the digital download and since it's from a US based store every copy should count.

[TheCureinMalibu 45,913]

Just now, Swallow said:

Spotify : 7m
Youtube  8m
AM : 4m
other : 4m

= 23m

it actually looks quite possible.

it could be higher.

[BuzzcutSeason 3,307]

I've been searching trying to figure out the baseline estimate for Bundles.

 

EDIT: Shawn's If I Can't Have You went top two due to bundles, but interestingly billboard never reported the physical sales figure.