Magoo 6 Posted August 16, 2012 Share Posted August 16, 2012 BB Hot 100 calculations for NEXT week based on 3 days of itunes bars, current airplay and a streaming estimate #position, sales (000's) + Mediabase airplay (A.I. millions) + streaming (Ks x 6.5%) = points, artist, song, (change on Hot 100) #1 598 + 59 + 5 = 405 Taylor Swift WANEGBT (+71) #2 201 + 88 + 49 = 239 Flo Rida Whistle (-1) #3 95 + 163 + 54 = 233 Ellie Goulding Lights (-1) #4 102 + 163 + 34 = 213 Katy Perry WA (=) #5 121 + 119 + 51 = 211 Carly Rae Jepsen CMM (-2) #6 87 + 146 + 45 = 206 Maroon 5 Payphone ft. Khalifa (-1) #7 173 + 53 + 40 = 185 Fun. SN (+1) #8 62 + 120 + 47 = 169 Gotye STIUTK ft Kimbra (-2) #9 147 + 50 + 34 = 161 Justin Bieber ALAYLM (+3) #10 72 + 107 + 33 = 156 David Guetta + Sia Titanium (-3) #11 104 + 94 + 15 = 148 P!nk BM1LK (=) #12 134 + 57 + 23 = 147 Owl City + Carly Rae Jepsen GT (+1) #13 41 + 135 + 21 = 146 Rihanna WHYB (-3) #14 122 + 54 + 27 = 141 Cher Lloyd WUB (=) #15 154 + 41 + 16 = 140 Maroon 5 OMN (=) #16 176 + 16 + 14 = 133 Phillip Phillips Home (-7) #17 75 + 77 + 24 = 126 Neon Trees ET (=) #18 58 + 94 + 18 = 123 Demi Lovato GYHAB (-2) #19 62 + 64 + 37 = 122 Kanye West Mercy (+1) #20 48 + 93 + 20 = 118 Usher Scream (-2) #21 50 + 102 + 10 = 116 Calvin Harris Let's Go (-2) #22 83 + 40 + 28 = 108 Alex Clare TooClose (-1) #23 41 + 57 + 43 = 108 Fun. WAY ft. Monae (+1) #24 59 + 62 + 29 = 106 One Direction WMYB (+1) #25 100 + 44 + 5 = 99 Nicki Minaj PTA (+4) *points = 62% x sales/K + 75% x Mediabase airplay (A.I. millions) + 6.5% x on demand streaming/K multiplier for streaming increased from 5% to 6.5% to match actual chart positions better. averages at contributions 45% sales, 38% airplay, 17% streaming Approx weekly sales for Gaga: PF 5.5K, TEOG 4.6K, JD 4.5K, Y+I 4.2K, BR 4.1K, BTW 4.1K. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
hausofmike 127 Posted August 16, 2012 Share Posted August 16, 2012 you're gonna say I'm nuts but thats kinda low for Taylor. Gaga had +10.000 on her 7th day with Born This Way. well she had a 49.000+ updated yesterday lol Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Klou 2,414 Posted August 16, 2012 Share Posted August 16, 2012 Thanks Magoo!! #1 598 + 59 + 5 = 405 Taylor Swift WANEGBT (+71) CLEAN SWEEP! Just as I thought it would #7 173 + 53 + 40 = 185 Fun. SN (+1) :clap: #9 147 + 50 + 34 = 161 Justin Bieber ALAYLM (+3) Beiber with his second top 10 off the album :) #13 41 + 135 + 21 = 146 Rihanna WHYB (-3) THANK GOD! Finally out of top 10... Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Americano 31,061 Posted August 16, 2012 Author Share Posted August 16, 2012 #11 104 + 94 + 15 = 148 P!nk BM1LK (=) lol Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Innovative 2 Posted August 16, 2012 Share Posted August 16, 2012 Wow, No Doubt is flopping so hard. Almost as bad as bionic. These type of flops make me appreciate the BTW era so much. Yeah and I'm sure they don't give **** because its not about money and sales its about doing what you love and making music. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
jhonyguy04 3 Posted August 16, 2012 Share Posted August 16, 2012 BB Hot 100 calculations for NEXT week based on 3 days of itunes bars, current airplay and a streaming estimate #position, sales (000's) + Mediabase airplay (A.I. millions) + streaming (Ks x 6.5%) = points, artist, song, (change on Hot 100) #1 598 + 59 + 5 = 405 Taylor Swift WANEGBT (+71) #2 201 + 88 + 49 = 239 Flo Rida Whistle (-1) #3 95 + 163 + 54 = 233 Ellie Goulding Lights (-1) #4 102 + 163 + 34 = 213 Katy Perry WA (=) #5 121 + 119 + 51 = 211 Carly Rae Jepsen CMM (-2) #6 87 + 146 + 45 = 206 Maroon 5 Payphone ft. Khalifa (-1) #7 173 + 53 + 40 = 185 Fun. SN (+1) #8 62 + 120 + 47 = 169 Gotye STIUTK ft Kimbra (-2) #9 147 + 50 + 34 = 161 Justin Bieber ALAYLM (+3) #10 72 + 107 + 33 = 156 David Guetta + Sia Titanium (-3) #11 104 + 94 + 15 = 148 P!nk BM1LK (=) #12 134 + 57 + 23 = 147 Owl City + Carly Rae Jepsen GT (+1) #13 41 + 135 + 21 = 146 Rihanna WHYB (-3) #14 122 + 54 + 27 = 141 Cher Lloyd WUB (=) #15 154 + 41 + 16 = 140 Maroon 5 OMN (=) #16 176 + 16 + 14 = 133 Phillip Phillips Home (-7) #17 75 + 77 + 24 = 126 Neon Trees ET (=) #18 58 + 94 + 18 = 123 Demi Lovato GYHAB (-2) #19 62 + 64 + 37 = 122 Kanye West Mercy (+1) #20 48 + 93 + 20 = 118 Usher Scream (-2) #21 50 + 102 + 10 = 116 Calvin Harris Let's Go (-2) #22 83 + 40 + 28 = 108 Alex Clare TooClose (-1) #23 41 + 57 + 43 = 108 Fun. WAY ft. Monae (+1) #24 59 + 62 + 29 = 106 One Direction WMYB (+1) #25 100 + 44 + 5 = 99 Nicki Minaj PTA (+4) *points = 62% x sales/K + 75% x Mediabase airplay (A.I. millions) + 6.5% x on demand streaming/K multiplier for streaming increased from 5% to 6.5% to match actual chart positions better. averages at contributions 45% sales, 38% airplay, 17% streaming Approx weekly sales for Gaga: PF 5.5K, TEOG 4.6K, JD 4.5K, Y+I 4.2K, BR 4.1K, BTW 4.1K. Wow, Yuyi selling more than born this way. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Math 92 Posted August 16, 2012 Share Posted August 16, 2012 #1 598 + 59 + 5 = 405 Taylor Swift WANEGBT (+71) that's what i call snatchin' Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Americano 31,061 Posted August 16, 2012 Author Share Posted August 16, 2012 All of the pop girls are out of the Top 10. Katy's on a media blackout now too, along with Rihanna's era being an underwhelming close. Nicki Minaj sits outside of the Top 10 still. Pound the Alarm will eventually make it I'm sure, but definitely not gonna be a mega-sales hit like expected. P!nk continues to disappoint sales wise. Taylor Swift is actually the first artist all year to MEET expectations commercially, Gaga may be next with her lead single to also make it. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Arturo 40,746 Posted August 16, 2012 Share Posted August 16, 2012 A 2nd Top 10 hit for JB next week? Good for him :coffee: Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
hausofmike 127 Posted August 16, 2012 Share Posted August 16, 2012 3rd ever right? :toofunny: Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Arturo 40,746 Posted August 16, 2012 Share Posted August 16, 2012 3rd ever right? EDIT: I was reading the Canadian chart :toofloppy: My bad Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
hausofmike 127 Posted August 16, 2012 Share Posted August 16, 2012 5?!? Since when Baby Boyfriend Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Arturo 40,746 Posted August 16, 2012 Share Posted August 16, 2012 My bad He only has Baby #5 Never Say Never #8 Boyfriend #2 Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
_Lam 597 Posted August 16, 2012 Share Posted August 16, 2012 Are you implying that I pompously post my blog in here like it's the Bible and one day my overinflated ego will be the death of me? Not according to my blog! I want the link of dat blog noaw ! "Like, ever". Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ozzy8923 9 Posted August 16, 2012 Share Posted August 16, 2012 Taylor is snatching weaves with her new single, 598K is a SPECTACULAR number and it will be crossing the million mark in 2 or 3 weeks tops. Here is a list of Taylor's single releases in the US and their current sales and peaks: Tim McGraw: 1,366,000. #40. Teardrops on My Guitar: 2,642,000. #13. Our Song: 3,000,000. #16. Picture to Burn: 1,395,000. #28 Should've Said No: 1,000,000. #33. Love Story: 5,375,000. #4. White Horse: 1,678,000. #13. You Belong With Me: 4,110,000. #2. Fifteen: 1,199,000. #23. Fearless: 848,000. #9. Mine: 2,000,000. #3. Back to December: 1,536,000. #6. Mean: 1,592,000. #11. The Story of Us: -----. #41. Her first single not to peak in the top 40 of the Billboard Hot 100. Sparks Fly: 598,000. #17. Ours: 1,000,000. #13. Eyes Open: 1,000,000. #19. Taylor Swift has amassed a total of 16 million-selling singles (Soon to be 17). This is what I call consistent. Her singles, even though they don't peak very high, sell very well. :golfclap: Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
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