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Will Gaga's next lead single debut in the top 10?


Born To Slay

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Am I the only one who thinks that the single will debut at #1 ?:saladga:

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What can I expect from Little Flopsters:v:

 

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Dominic

If the lead is unique then I can imagine a top 5. However if the lead is a mid-tempo track then it will face more competition as that style is pretty common right now. 

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Fiona Apple
14 hours ago, BloodyMonster said:

On a week like this, #6 is my prediction

I did the math using the Billboard Hot 100 formula with these stats:

120k downloads
8m youtube views (assuming she'll put the video out that week)
5m spotify streams
30m audience impressions

Those stats seems reasonable to me and it means she'll earn 270-280 points which will place her at #6. Of course it varies week to week due to competition

With applause she got 8m views in 1 day :emma: Why so low expectations

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Bradley

Yes if these are satisfied:

1. Sufficient promotion (obviously G.U.Y. lacked this)

2. Good song that has repeat value and that the public finds refreshing to listen to (I personally think G.U.Y. satisfies this element)

3. Good video that is not too long, so that people won't need to bother to find the exact time at which the song starts

4. Good timing of the release of the video

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Saeed
21 hours ago, Loyalty said:

yes, monsters will make it debut at #1 :queenga:

That is if her 40 million eggs would buy it.

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MaryJaneHolland
Just now, katykat said:

i think it will debut at #45 or smt

lol gurl bye

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6 hours ago, LM said:

Am I the only one who thinks that the single will debut at #1 ?:saladga:

you are the only one

 

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Bloody Matt
20 hours ago, BloodyMonster said:

On a week like this, #6 is my prediction

I did the math using the Billboard Hot 100 formula with these stats:

120k downloads
8m youtube views (assuming she'll put the video out that week)
5m spotify streams
30m audience impressions

Those stats seems reasonable to me and it means she'll earn 270-280 points which will place her at #6. Of course it varies week to week due to competition

I don't really know much about charts stuff, but if I had to make a prediction, this would be it.

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Arizona Sky
6 hours ago, Britney Spears said:

With applause she got 8m views in 1 day :emma: Why so low expectations

But that's worldwide views. Billboard only uses the US views. I assumed she would have 30m views in its debut week. YouTube is pretty global (i.e. Calvin's views are only 14% from the US). With Gaga, I'd say 25-30% seems about right. 8m US views it is

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