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US Charts Discussion - Applause: 200K+ projection (Week 1)


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WarriorPrince

Bigger fanbases always get bigger debut numbers.

Aka Bieber, One Direction and Gaga.

 

Yet they usually lack the longevity.

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I think Applause is more likely to get to #1 within the first 2 weeks. Katy is more likely to get #1 later once radio starts overplaying her.

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Katy sold 30M of singles with TD in the US, that means more digital power, she haves more radio power and longevity, also she gains more youtube views than Gaga

still

 

California Girls - 5.4m

Teenage Dream - 4m

Firework - 6.2m

E.T - 5.5m

Last Friday Night - 3.3m

TOTGA - 2.3m

POM - 2.8m

Wide Awake - 3m

 

BTW - 3.9m

Judas - 900k

TEOG - 2.7m

Y&I - 2.1m

MTN - 500k

I'm not saying Gaga will flop or won't get a #1 and just saying Katy has better chance to get a #1. That's all

we dont know how radio will react to their singles this era. Lets wait and see.

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I think Applause is more likely to get to #1 within the first 2 weeks. Katy is more likely to get #1 later once radio starts overplaying her.

Basically. Assuming that it doesn't debut at #1 and that Applause blocks it, that means it won't reach #1 in the first 2 weeks of its chart performance. First 3 weeks if Applause gets another week at #1 due to the VMA's promo. But by the fourth or fifth week, I think if the video is out by then and radio support is strong enough, and digital sales, then #1 is possible. 

I want longevity rather than a month giant-smash

With a big name artist like Gaga, that's impossible. 

 

Impossible. 

 

Like don't even fathom that notion. You will be served a month long giant smash. 

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WarriorPrince

Chris has a point but with Blurred Lines the situation is very different now. Here is what will most likely happen:

 

First week: Katy releases her single (probably wont release the video in the same day)

The sales wont be enough to get the #1

Second week: Gaga debuts with great sales and hopefully good enough US streaming from the video and Spotify (nice chance at getting that #1 since 1D could have done it if it got +450K)

Katy's sales and streaming drop while it grows on radio

Third week: Gaga performs at the VMA's (boost on sales)

Katy might also perform (boost on sales but lower than Gaga's because Gaga's song is newer and we all know Gaga will get more exposure on the media)

Forth week and onwards: Blurred Lines keeps selling ~300K or >300K around the same as Katy and Gaga yet it will have more than a 260M AI radio lead over both of them.

 

And then Blurred Lines dies along with Applause and Roar. 

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Ozzy sis what is this :shocked: never heard about it

 

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TK9u9-NNGt8

 

Basically. Assuming that it doesn't debut at #1 and that Applause blocks it, that means it won't reach #1 in the first 2 weeks of its chart performance. First 3 weeks if Applause gets another week at #1 due to the VMA's promo. But by the fourth or fifth week, I think if the video is out by then and radio support is strong enough, and digital sales, then #1 is possible. 

With a big name artist like Gaga, that's impossible. 

 

Impossible. 

 

Like don't even fathom that notion. You will be served a month long giant smash. 

I know, sadly :(

 

You forgot to reply the post ^ :reductive:

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Ozzy sis what is this :shocked: never heard about it

 

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TK9u9-NNGt8

Old ass demo. 

 

I don't use. 

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Robotboy

a part of it leaked :noparty: she cant wait more than a week if it leaks can she?

Remember that you are unique. Like everyone else.
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WarriorPrince

Oh god cant her team just track the accounts that originally post the leaks  :crossed:

idk do something interscope 

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It's leaking bit by bit. 

 

Like Judas. 

 

Lord. :rip:

 

READY FOR APRIL 12 RELEASE TO GO HEAD 2 HEAD WITH KATY. :excited2:

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It's leaking bit by bit. 

 

Like Judas. 

 

Lord. :rip:

 

READY FOR APRIL 12 RELEASE TO GO HEAD 2 HEAD WITH KATY. :excited2:

Literally Judas 2.0  

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