Morphine Prince 110,228 Posted October 18 Share Posted October 18 Texas early voting starts tomorrow. There is no party registration, ignore anyone giving exact numbers based on parties. Texas has open primaries. Not even that data can be as accurate. 3 Quote Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bronco 29,176 Posted October 18 Share Posted October 18 12 minutes ago, Morphine Prince said: CBS/YouGov poll | 10/8-10/16 LV US Senate Texas 2026 🟦James Talarico 51% 🟥Ken Paxton 49% Not that surprising tbf Would have been crazy if the race didnt close nearer the day. The gays know how to party Quote Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morphine Prince 110,228 Posted October 18 Share Posted October 18 23 minutes ago, Bronco said: Not that surprising tbf Would have been crazy if the race didnt close nearer the day. This specific poll was weighed on a R+14 scale (2024 results) so if accurate this is actually bad for Paxton. This election will probably not be R+14 2 Quote Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bronco 29,176 Posted October 18 Share Posted October 18 13 minutes ago, Morphine Prince said: This specific poll was weighed on a R+14 scale (2024 results) so if accurate this is actually bad for Paxton. This election will probably not be R+14 I think it may end up being the closest to the on the night score. I do think Talarico will win at this point, but I'll be shocked if its bigger than a 4% lead. Like. Its Texas. The gays know how to party 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
sarahb 17,276 Posted October 18 Share Posted October 18 I'm gonna be glued to this thread come midterms eventhough I've been scarred twice from polls Do you feel him sir? 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
bowlcutchris 219 Posted October 18 Share Posted October 18 Early voting starts tomorrow in Alaska as well and I already am prepared to do my part in (hopefully) flipping the state blue🤞🤞🤞 3 Quote Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morphine Prince 110,228 Posted October 18 Share Posted October 18 50 minutes ago, Bronco said: I think it may end up being the closest to the on the night score. I do think Talarico will win at this point, but I'll be shocked if its bigger than a 4% lead. Like. Its Texas. Granted, we are in unprecedented territory. This Senate seat hasn't had a Democrat since the 1960's before the ideological shift of the modern parties. And the other Texas Senate seat hasn't had a Democrat since 1993, and the one who held it was pretty conservative. I am not going to stop telling people that a Democrat being consistently ahead in polling in Texas IS different. Will Paxton win? I wouldn't be surprised. But we have to BELIEVE it can happen for Talarico. It's a "now or never" moment. 2 Quote Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morphine Prince 110,228 Posted October 18 Share Posted October 18 (edited) Reminder: Beto O'Rourke was NOT consistently ahead in polling. Ted Cruz in 2018 was fairly unpopular. Ted Cruz only won by 2% Paxton is more unpopular than Cruz and this is Trump's second non-consecutive term where his approval is collapsing and Paxton is only here because of Trump. I genuinely believe we have a chance to flip this Senate seat. We can't be so overly pessimistic when the data we have is completely different from the past. BELIEVE Edited October 18 by Morphine Prince 4 Quote Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
PartySick 175,750 Posted October 18 Author Share Posted October 18 1 hour ago, Morphine Prince said: Reminder: Beto O'Rourke was NOT consistently ahead in polling. Ted Cruz in 2018 was fairly unpopular. Ted Cruz only won by 2% Paxton is more unpopular than Cruz and this is Trump's second non-consecutive term where his approval is collapsing and Paxton is only here because of Trump. I genuinely believe we have a chance to flip this Senate seat. We can't be so overly pessimistic when the data we have is completely different from the past. BELIEVE I mean, experts and poli-junkies are seriously talking about Kansas, South Carolina, Nebraska, and Florida. Texas is absolutely gonna flip before Florida does Whimsical bitch 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morphine Prince 110,228 Posted October 18 Share Posted October 18 8 minutes ago, PartySick said: I mean, experts and poli-junkies are seriously talking about Kansas, South Carolina, Nebraska, and Florida. Texas is absolutely gonna flip before Florida does I’m just so tired of the defeatist attitude I am already seeing online when not a single vote has been cast. 2 Quote Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bronco 29,176 Posted October 18 Share Posted October 18 18 minutes ago, PartySick said: I mean, experts and poli-junkies are seriously talking about Kansas, South Carolina, Nebraska, and Florida. Texas is absolutely gonna flip before Florida does Hell, some are even talking about house pickups in Mississippi That's through the looking glass **** The gays know how to party 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morphine Prince 110,228 Posted October 18 Share Posted October 18 I will say with all confidence that Abbott will be re-elected. No way he loses. 2 Quote Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
bxr 3,574 Posted October 18 Share Posted October 18 16 minutes ago, Bronco said: Hell, some are even talking about house pickups in Mississippi That's through the looking glass **** “You gotta be brave to come out in Mississippi … I don’t even tell people I’m Black in Mississippi.” 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
PartySick 175,750 Posted October 18 Author Share Posted October 18 50 minutes ago, Morphine Prince said: I’m just so tired of the defeatist attitude I am already seeing online when not a single vote has been cast. It's kinda what Democrats always do. They ride the hopium train during the Summer and then crash out in October. Meanwhile, this is about the time Republicans start beating their chest I'm almost positive that you're gonna have a Democratic senator next January And if Nixon somehow wins here, I'll have a Democratic senator immediately Whimsical bitch 2 Quote Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
PartySick 175,750 Posted October 18 Author Share Posted October 18 @Morphine Prince @Bronco @LateToCult please tell me y'all have seen that guy ask Abdul if he'd disavow the Muslim Brotherhood Tommy is gonna be waking up in a cold sweat thinking about that interaction for the rest of his life Whimsical bitch 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
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