Dutch 88,642 Posted May 9 Author Share Posted May 9 Anyways, my pre-show prediction of this most unpredictable semi ever: 1. Switzerland (90%) 2. Netherlands (85%) 3. Armenia (80%) 4. Norway (75%) 5. Greece (70%) 6. X (70%) 7. Georgia (65%) 8. Austria (55%) 9. Belgium (50%) 10. San Marino (50%) NQ: 11. Estonia (50%) 12. Denmark (45%) 13. Malta (40%) 14. Czechia (35%) 15. Albania (25%) 16. Latvia (10%) Austria, Belgium and San Marino could easily be swapped with Estonia, Denmark, Malta or Czechia. 1 Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Micmaky 917 Posted May 9 Share Posted May 9 Kinda hilarious seeing everyone here explain how Croatia is not winning. I’ve said this for a while now, this is done and dusted. Croatia is winning and it won’t even be close 1 Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juanlittlem 39,516 Posted May 9 Share Posted May 9 9 minutes ago, Micmaky said: Kinda hilarious seeing everyone here explain how Croatia is not winning. I’ve said this for a while now, this is done and dusted. Croatia is winning and it won’t even be close We shall see, I can see him doing pretty well in televote but not getting a top 5 in juries, so that would hurt him Dejare de quererte cuando un pintor sordo pinte el sonido de un pétalo al caer en el suelo de cristal de un castillo que no existe. 2 Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Micmaky 917 Posted May 9 Share Posted May 9 (edited) 24 minutes ago, Juanlittlem said: We shall see, I can see him doing pretty well in televote but not getting a top 5 in juries, so that would hurt him Not sure why people think he won’t do well with the juries. There’s no Loreen this year and he is the odds on fav. Juries have never ever tanked the odds on fav. He won’t be first but he will be top 4 and the televote will be huge. Edited May 9 by Micmaky 1 Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
palma 7,213 Posted May 9 Share Posted May 9 28 minutes ago, Micmaky said: Kinda hilarious seeing everyone here explain how Croatia is not winning. I’ve said this for a while now, this is done and dusted. Croatia is winning and it won’t even be close Not to be a conspiracy theorist but the head of Croatian delegation became a member of EBU's Eurovision reference group upon invitation in late 2023 I'm not saying they are *giving* it to Croatia but I can foresee Croatia lobbying HARD with the national juries Is there some reason my LG7 isn't here? Has she died or something? 1 Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hyperobject 65,687 Posted May 9 Share Posted May 9 europapa... europapa... 1 1 Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Micmaky 917 Posted May 9 Share Posted May 9 45 minutes ago, palma said: Not to be a conspiracy theorist but the head of Croatian delegation became a member of EBU's Eurovision reference group upon invitation in late 2023 I'm not saying they are *giving* it to Croatia but I can foresee Croatia lobbying HARD with the national juries Croatia won the Reddit poll, OGAE, Eurovisionworld poll, INFE televote poll. Like why are people at GGD acting like some random song is now leading the odds. 2 Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
palma 7,213 Posted May 9 Share Posted May 9 2 minutes ago, Micmaky said: Croatia won the Reddit poll, OGAE, Eurovisionworld poll, INFE televote poll. Like why are people at GGD acting like some random song is now leading the odds. It's not a dance bop by a female diva so I too expected this year to be close but with literally everyone but Croatia fumbling Baby Lasagna has a clear path to victory. I hope Zagreb 2025 convinces the Balkan League to come back to the contest Is there some reason my LG7 isn't here? Has she died or something? 2 Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
SwissMonster 28,575 Posted May 9 Share Posted May 9 (edited) 1 hour ago, Micmaky said: Kinda hilarious seeing everyone here explain how Croatia is not winning. I’ve said this for a while now, this is done and dusted. Croatia is winning and it won’t even be close Well since you say „everyone“ is doing that here that shows you that there are people not liking it no? Also you always seem to come with „the Odds“ (which are called odds for a reason) and „Polls“. All we do is explain why we don’t think it will win on a performance level, disregarding the odds. So, disregarding the odds, why are you so sure its a landslide win for Croatia? And again, what makes it standout in comparison to ALL other countries? My take: Croatia will NEVER be above France, Italy, Switzerland and Ukraine in Jury. So 5th in Jury at BEST. He probably will win the Televote yes but never ever with a landslide, there are too much televote friendly songs such as ireland, netherlands, greece with the jury top 4 I just mentioned for sure also getting a good amount of televote points. I don‘t say it can‘t win, but in my eyes definitely not so sure like you portray it Edited May 9 by SwissMonster SwissMonster®️ - Creating controversy since 1999 2 Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
SwissMonster 28,575 Posted May 9 Share Posted May 9 (edited) 29 minutes ago, Micmaky said: Croatia won the Reddit poll, OGAE, Eurovisionworld poll, INFE televote poll. Like why are people at GGD acting like some random song is now leading the odds. Its getting boring. First of all others won other Polls too, if you wanna go by that. I already listed them in a comment before. And again, did you look at the numbers he won these polls with? Thats not a landslide thats called a reallyyyy close result when you compare it with other years polls. Which supports my point form above again. Not saying he won‘t win, but its so unsure like any other country winning Edited May 9 by SwissMonster SwissMonster®️ - Creating controversy since 1999 Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
SwissMonster 28,575 Posted May 9 Share Posted May 9 1 hour ago, palma said: Not to be a conspiracy theorist but the head of Croatian delegation became a member of EBU's Eurovision reference group upon invitation in late 2023 I'm not saying they are *giving* it to Croatia but I can foresee Croatia lobbying HARD with the national juries Oh they will get that 20th spot in that finale by producers choice then SwissMonster®️ - Creating controversy since 1999 Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juanlittlem 39,516 Posted May 9 Share Posted May 9 2 minutes ago, SwissMonster said: Its getting boring. First of all others won other Polls too, if you wanna go by that. And again, did you look at the numbers he won these polls with? Thats not a landslide thats called a reallyyyy close result when you compare it with other years polls. Which supports my point form above again. Not saying he won‘t win, but its so unsure like any other country winning They mention INFE poll, but Switzerland won that? Eurovision World Poll is still open and even with Croatia being the fave they're at 15%, while Switzerland and Italy sit behind with 11%. Then for OGAE, they wont but it isnt a landslide + look at Belgium being 4th (and he will struggle to qualify) and Spain being 9th (coming for a top 20 in the final). This poll doesnt really mean that much. Dejare de quererte cuando un pintor sordo pinte el sonido de un pétalo al caer en el suelo de cristal de un castillo que no existe. 2 Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hyperobject 65,687 Posted May 9 Share Posted May 9 8 minutes ago, SwissMonster said: And again, what makes it standout in comparison to ALL other countries? that's my biggest concern, personally. this year there's many songs that have this "quirky" fan appeal, like Finland, Ireland, Croatia (ofc), The Netherlands, Greece seems to be loved by the fans as well. Finland had almost no competition in that field last year (Czechia was the only one that comes to mind rn), hence the televote lead was so huge. so imo, televote will be a bloodbath this time! 2 Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
palma 7,213 Posted May 9 Share Posted May 9 22 minutes ago, Ororo Munroe said: that's my biggest concern, personally. this year there's many songs that have this "quirky" fan appeal, like Finland, Ireland, Croatia (ofc), The Netherlands, Greece seems to be loved by the fans as well. Finland had almost no competition in that field last year (Czechia was the only one that comes to mind rn), hence the televote lead was so huge. so imo, televote will be a bloodbath this time! Inb4 France or Ukraine wins Spoiler I do believe this may happen if Croatia flops with the juries Is there some reason my LG7 isn't here? Has she died or something? 1 Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hyperobject 65,687 Posted May 9 Share Posted May 9 29 minutes ago, palma said: Inb4 France or Ukraine wins Reveal hidden contents I do believe this may happen if Croatia flops with the juries i wouldn't be surprised if the latter won tbh, their staging is great, the jury will probably love it, fan support will be decent! France... well, we will see how good it actually is tonight. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
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