Gagaloo911 12,959 Posted June 8, 2020 Share Posted June 8, 2020 Lockdowns had a dramatic impact on the spread of coronavirus in Europe with strict controls on people’s movements preventing an estimated 3.1m deaths by the beginning of May, with 470,000 deaths averted in the UK alone, researchers say. Outbreak modellers at Imperial College London said that lockdown slashed the average number of people that contagious individuals infected by 81% and lowered the reproduction number, R, of the epidemic below 1 in all countries they observed. When R is less than 1 the epidemic is in decline because on average, each infected person transmits the infection to less than one other. As countries ease out of their lockdown, scientists are watching R closely: if it rises and remains above 1, the epidemic will grow exponentially. The Imperial team pooled data on Covid-19 deaths from 11 European countries including the UK, Italy, France, Spain and Germany, and worked backwards to calculate the extent of transmission several weeks earlier, to account for the time lag between infections and deaths. Lockdown at the end of March reduced the reproductive number of the UK epidemic from 3.8 to 0.63, they calculate. https://www.theguardian.com/world/live/2020/jun/08/coronavirus-live-news-global-cases-near-7-million-as-saudi-infections-pass-100000?page=with:block-5ede38108f083999a26dc3e9#block-5ede38108f083999a26dc3e9 Here's for that user or 2 on here who likes to spread alternative facts about the lockdown and who clearly missed the entire point of what the lockdown was meant to achieve Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chromatography 10,186 Posted June 8, 2020 Share Posted June 8, 2020 would love to see the arguments against this now Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
flyaway 15,350 Posted June 8, 2020 Share Posted June 8, 2020 Of course. Less contact, less contagion rates. It's logical. It's like kissing. If you kiss a bunch of people, you can get infected... Spoiler Bu if you don't, there's a minor risk Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
xoxo Craig 55,649 Posted June 8, 2020 Share Posted June 8, 2020 And if countries locked down sooner, we could have been further down the road and closer to having a covid 19 free world End Racism Now Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ghost Face 6,236 Posted June 8, 2020 Share Posted June 8, 2020 6 minutes ago, xoxo Craig said: And if countries locked down sooner, we could have been further down the road and closer to having a covid 19 free world but still full of racism and riots It's an honor. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
LGMonster95 13,704 Posted June 8, 2020 Share Posted June 8, 2020 I mean it makes sense that the lockdowns worked, without lockdowns not only more would have died but also the economy would not have been much better either since a lot of people would have been infected and ending up at home or in hospital. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bt1 5,213 Posted June 8, 2020 Share Posted June 8, 2020 Imperial College? how do we know if they are wrong or not? In march they were wrong with 1000% in some cases. They predicted 100000 deaths for sweden. They have 5000. No one denies that the lockdown had an impact. It's clear however that it didnt have this kind of impact. The discussions should be how effective they were? Anyway, no one here will change his opinion. Only in one or two years we will know for sure who was right, so anyone can believe what he wants. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
TOSK 640 Posted June 10, 2020 Share Posted June 10, 2020 Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Vicixs 3,559 Posted June 10, 2020 Share Posted June 10, 2020 @Florin Religion is a product to sell. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bonkers 30,860 Posted June 10, 2020 Share Posted June 10, 2020 true, but I just walked by my washing machine and thought I saw Lady Gaga in there, so the lockdowns had other unwanted effects. Although, I admit it was nice to see her, if only for a moment. Remember to like and subscribe, and click on the bell icon to get the latest updates Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
dynamite 66,672 Posted June 10, 2020 Share Posted June 10, 2020 7 minutes ago, Bonkers said: true, but I just walked by my washing machine and thought I saw Lady Gaga in there, so the lockdowns had other unwanted effects. Although, I admit it was nice to see her, if only for a moment. Username checks out Like a poem said by a neydy in red Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
GregJA 5,536 Posted June 10, 2020 Share Posted June 10, 2020 16 minutes ago, dynamite said: Username checks out - Mr. No Award Winner 2020 Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bt1 5,213 Posted June 10, 2020 Share Posted June 10, 2020 53 minutes ago, Grigio Guy said: @Florin I responded to this days ago. If it is the imperial college study, they were wrong sometimes by 2000% in march. How do we know they are right or wrong this time? You can find all the criticism for this "study" online, a lot of other studies that criticises lockdowns and you can decide who has the stats and who doesnt. Other than that, I have nothing else to say because I cant fight anymore on this subject here. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Twitter 14 Posted June 10, 2020 Share Posted June 10, 2020 Reasons why we should continue the lockdowns. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
HorusRa2 5,005 Posted June 10, 2020 Share Posted June 10, 2020 3 hours ago, Florin said: I responded to this days ago. If it is the imperial college study, they were wrong sometimes by 2000% in march. How do we know they are right or wrong this time? You can find all the criticism for this "study" online, a lot of other studies that criticises lockdowns and you can decide who has the stats and who doesnt. Other than that, I have nothing else to say because I cant fight anymore on this subject here. do you enjoy being wrong about everything Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
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