How Confident Are You That ROM Will Go #1?

[BlondeKingOfGGD 1,998]

Definitely #1-#3 in the U.K. 

[Prada 1,200]

it all depends on the song.

I think fans can take it to top 5,

but 1 needs GP. 

[FFXIV WhiteMage 5,919]

For some reason, Trap music is the hit thing in the US right now so my predictions are:

Scenario 1 = Not a banger

Chart: 6-10 or even go lower like 15ish 

Longevity: Low

*It will still chart high because of the hype and front loadedness. Solely fan driven performance.

 

Scenario 2 = Average banger

Chart: 3-5

Longevity: Low to mid

*The performance will be fan driven until the GP catches up. Its lifespan will depend on the marketing strategy and radio support.

 

Scenario 3 = Smash Hit Banger

Chart: 1-2 

Longevity: High

*Lady Gaga and Ariana are very popular and have big fan bases. Therefore if the song is a banger then it will surely explode in all metrics and given the hype of Gaga's album, it will have a good run on charts.

 

Unexpected factors: Sudden release of big names (like Adele, Rihanna, Drake, etc); collabs of big trap artists/rappers or some trending tiktok artists/songs  

[Economy 49,535]

2 minutes ago, TottoLand said:

it all depends on the song.

I think fans can take it to top 5,

but 1 needs GP. 

Very true. With fans (including casual fans) that will only do so much

 

But again that's why I said "if the song is good"

 

I realize if perception is bad and the GP doesn't jump on it, the names attached to the song and fan base will only do so much

[HeavyCapiLover 3,554]

If the song is a real bop then yes it's probably going 1, if not we should except a top 3 

[Economy 49,535]

2 minutes ago, PoCHEMist said:

For some reason, Trap music is the hit thing in the US right now so my predictions are:

Scenario 1 = Not a banger

Chart: 6-10 or even go lower like 15ish 

Longevity: Low

*It will still chart high because of the hype and front loadedness. Solely fan driven performance.

 

Scenario 2 = Average banger

Chart: 3-5

Longevity: Low to mid

*The performance will be fan driven until the GP catches up. Its lifespan will depend on the marketing strategy and radio support.

 

Scenario 3 = Smash Hit Banger

Chart: 1-2 

Longevity: High

*Lady Gaga and Ariana are very popular and have big fan bases. Therefore if the song is a banger then it will surely explode in all metrics and given the hype of Gaga's album, it will have a good run on charts.

 

Unexpected factors: Sudden release of big names (like Adele, Rihanna, Drake, etc); collabs of big trap artists/rappers or some trending tiktok artists/songs  

I love how u broke it down like that by scenarios. Economists do that all the time for forecasts

 

I'm hoping for ur last scenario!!!!

[StupidLoveBis 1,363]

29 minutes ago, Economy said:

Someone mentioned a rumour of a Drake and Weeknd collab release

 

If that were true id be even more concerned with that than Taylor Swift

 

And here in Canada Drake & The Weeknd dominate charts even stronger than in US because people like their Canadian artists (there's been times I flipped stations and 5 radio stations were playing Drake at the same time, it's insane)

 

No way in my Country even Gaga and Ariana could beat a Drake song (even without a Weeknd collab)

Blade said it wasn't true about the rumor.

[Economy 49,535]

1 minute ago, HeavyCapiLover said:

If the song is a real bop then yes it's probably going 1, if not we should except a top 3 

I hope it's #1 tho

 

The thing is whether a song is #2 like Bad Romance or low top 10s like Judas either way they count the same as top 10s as far as artist career achievements go when they are looked back on

 

But #1s also get their seperate mention which is why they are so sought after

 

If u don't hit #1... Whether it's a #2 or a #10 either way they are considered top 10 hits and doesn't make a big difference

 

Of course either way a #2 is better than #10 but I'm just saying for artist legacy sakes and achievement they both would count simmilarly 

[Economy 49,535]

1 minute ago, StupidLoveBis said:

Blade said it wasn't true about the rumor.

Thankgod

 

I was about to say we're screwed 

[Azor Ahai 18,861]

100%

[FlopSlurper 34,336]

i think it depends how good the song/video are going to be

[hpmcmill 1,990]

cautiously optimistic 

[Economy 49,535]

1 minute ago, hpmcmill said:

cautiously optimistic 

Same

 

But not gonna lie super hopeful. I stan hard with charts cuz I wanna see my fav build a big legacy of success and be remembered as one of the biggest legends

 

Stanning for charts may seem superficial but for me that's the main reason why

 

There's also the fact that commercial success also means more likely record label and promoters will continue to allow commercial budgets longer or plan tv interviews longer too

 

Artists get a lot less of that once they are seen as no longer relevant in general public

[LateToCult 40,896]

Not confident about going #1 on debut week but I think it could climb with radio support.

[River 116,210]

I'm not trusting LM to make this song go top 5, they are a disappointment.

Our only hope is Ari's fans.