Sanders leading Nevada by double digits

[HorusRa2 5,005]

For reference here are the data progress polls for NH and IA

Iowa actuals per RCP

Bernie - 24.7 -2.1% var

Pete - 21.3 - +6.3 var

Warren - 18.5 - -2.5 var 

Biden - 14.9 - -.1 var

Klobuchar - 12.7 - +4.7 var

 

New Hampshire actuals per RCP

Bernie - 25.9 - -2.1 var 

Pete - 24.4 - -1.6 var 

Klobuchar - 19.8 - +6.8 var

Warren - 9.3 - -4.7 var

Biden - 8.4 - -.6 var

 

I included the actuals from real clear politics and added the variance between the last data progress poll and the actual results. This pollster has done very well overall and definitely makes this Nevada poll look very good for Sanders. 

[Morphine Prince 109,683]

Great but don’t get complacent. 

Vote and get your family and friends to vote like your lives depend on it. 

[HorusRa2 5,005]

Just now, Morphine Prince said:

Great but don’t get complacent. 

Vote and get your family and friends to vote like your lives depend on it. 

YES! Absolutely! It’s not over until Election Day!

 

 

 

[Emvee 8,838]

 

[FATCAT 60,888]

I remember a time not so long ago when the DCCC spokesperson on MSNBC used to talk about SC and Nevada being Biden's backstop

At least we won't have to worry about Biden in the general, but I'm worried about Bloomberg buying Super Tuesday.  Let's hope this next debate can really tank his national numbers.

[Morphine Prince 109,683]

3 minutes ago, FATCAT said:

I remember a time not so long ago when the DCCC spokesperson on MSNBC used to talk about SC and Nevada being Biden's backstop

At least we won't have to worry about Biden in the general, but I'm worried about Bloomberg buying Super Tuesday.  Let's hope this next debate can really tank his national numbers.

Biden still has a path forward. He can afford to lose Nevada. If he wins SC by a significant margin the media will plaster him everywhere as a frontrunner. 

Then it could give him a Super Tuesday boost. 

It isn’t over yet for Biden. 

 

[FATCAT 60,888]

Just now, Morphine Prince said:

Biden still has a path forward. He can afford to lose Nevada. If he wins SC by a significant margin the media will plaster him as a frontrunner. 

Then it could give him a Super Tuesday boost. 

It isn’t over yet for Biden. 

Not that it's over, just that it's not looking good for him.

[HorusRa2 5,005]

1 minute ago, FATCAT said:

Not that it's over, just that it's not looking good for him.

If the election was held today and if the recent polling is anywhere near accurate, Biden winning by 6.5 pts isn’t going to be the blowout victory he needs to keep pushing forward. 

[ItsTommyBitch 12,640]

Thank you for posting other data for comparison!

Wow, Biden not being viable in 1/2 of his firewall states would be iconic  

This fits in with that story today about other camps looking at 2nd/3rd as a victory, and the flurry of attack ads against Bernie('s supporters - because they have nothing to say about him personally other than he's old  )

[ItsTommyBitch 12,640]

25 minutes ago, FATCAT said:

I remember a time not so long ago when the DCCC spokesperson on MSNBC used to talk about SC and Nevada being Biden's backstop

At least we won't have to worry about Biden in the general, but I'm worried about Bloomberg buying Super Tuesday.  Let's hope this next debate can really tank his national numbers.

Bloomberg wont be in the debate I'm pretty sure.

Let's hope Bernie/Warren decide to team up one last time to take him down, because we are NOT electing a racist oligarch as our nominee   (Though tbh, Warren is desperate atm and will probably attack Bernie and his bros for being divisive again even though it cost her several points in the polls last time she went after him  )

[Brainiac 11,171]

Damn. Imagine if he wins ALL the delegates in Nevada?

[JusKeepBreathin 19,311]

Joe needs to drop out. It's sad. He was the VP and has more name recognition than all the others and this is what he is polling? A mayor from Nowhere, USA  is polling higher. 

Go home be with your wife and family bro. Stop embarrassing yourself. 

[FATCAT 60,888]

This is a caucus state, so it's possible (just like Iowa) that even with a big lead for Sanders in the popular vote, he does worse or on par with other candidate with delegates. These are really strong numbers tho, let's hope they solidify before the big day!

[Ziggy 14,051]

1 hour ago, JusKeepBreathin said:

Joe needs to drop out. It's sad. He was the VP and has more name recognition than all the others and this is what he is polling? A mayor from Nowhere, USA  is polling higher. 

Go home be with your wife and family bro. Stop embarrassing yourself. 

Personally, I think he sees it as his duty to be doing this. He’s a statesman through and through even if you don’t agree with his politics (I know I don’t). I think he genuinely believes he needs to save the country from Trump and that things can go back to how they were.