538 Predicts Sanders To Win Almost Every Dem Primary/Caucus

[Marilyn MonHoe 11,011]

Source: https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-primary-forecast/iowa/

 

The only two states that they predict Sanders would "lose" are Alabama (tied at 46%) and Delaware (loses by 1% to Biden)

If y'all don't believe me, you can go through each state/territory yourself 

[Marilyn MonHoe 11,011]

@HorusRa2 @OG Gaga Stan @ItsTommyBitch @M Monstre @Morphine Prince @Gov Hooka

Nothing is set in stone, but this looks pretty promising 

[Lion Heart 15,041]

Okay, but still go out and vote in large numbers. 

[APPLAUSE4YOU 454]

Good! Go Bernie!!!

 

Edit: RIP,  I live in AL.  I'll be voting for Bernie to help!

[REALITY 80,184]

19 minutes ago, Marilyn MonHoe said:

@HorusRa2 @OG Gaga Stan @ItsTommyBitch @M Monstre @Morphine Prince

Nothing is set in stone, but this looks pretty promising 

I'm honored that you think I'm one of the "Bernie bros" (I mean that in a good way, by the way!).

A few months ago, I definitely wouldn't have been, but now I feel the Bern! 

[Marilyn MonHoe 11,011]

12 minutes ago, M Monstre said:

I'm honored that you think I'm one of the "Bernie bros" (I mean that in a good way, by the way!).

A few months ago, I definitely wouldn't have been, but now I feel the Bern! 

Yes I remember your past stances on Bernie but I'm happy that you came around! That's all that matters 

Welcome! 

I'm working on getting @PartySick to join us but it might take a little more time 

 

[Eighteen 5,430]

yeah but looking at the forecasts this site made, so far the results in iowa hasn't even come out the way the statistics/simulations here leaned.  this site says that buttigieg was not a favorite to win the most votes, that biden was supposed to come in second, and  that bernie was supposed to come in first. it could be right that bernie comes in first, but it was pretty off regarding biden and buttigieg. i mean biden is in 4th place rn that's a pretty big discrepancy 

[weed 79,087]

33 minutes ago, Marilyn MonHoe said:

@HorusRa2 @OG Gaga Stan @ItsTommyBitch @M Monstre @Morphine Prince

Nothing is set in stone, but this looks pretty promising 

ok I'm offended I'm not included in obsessed bernie stans club

[Marilyn MonHoe 11,011]

1 minute ago, weed said:

ok I'm offended I'm not included in obsessed bernie stans club

I'm sorry 

I'll make sure to include you from now on 

[ItsTommyBitch 12,640]

I *do not* believe this for Missouri, the last poll has Biden @ 39% and this place is a neoliberal HELLHOLE lol

Obviously doing my job to try to change it for the Sanders campaign by volunteering where I can though :3 

[REALITY 80,184]

8 minutes ago, Marilyn MonHoe said:

Yes I remember your past stances on Bernie but I'm happy that you came around! That's all that matters 

Welcome! 

I'm working on getting @PartySick to join us but it might take a little more time 

 

Well, it’s also that I never disliked Bernie. I liked Bernie, A LOT, but at that time I just liked Liz more. 

Glad to be a part of this political revolution though

[weed 79,087]

1 minute ago, Marilyn MonHoe said:

I'm sorry 

I'll make sure to include you from now on 

God bless

honestly so many pics of him smiling are so cute lmfaoaoao

Spoiler

 

[PartySick 173,169]

11 minutes ago, Marilyn MonHoe said:

Yes I remember your past stances on Bernie but I'm happy that you came around! That's all that matters 

Welcome! 

I'm working on getting @PartySick to join us but it might take a little more time 

 

Not sure I'll ever be a Bernie Bro

But I don't hate the guy, never have, so I'm happy to be included

[Marilyn MonHoe 11,011]

4 minutes ago, Eighteen said:

yeah but looking at the forecasts this site made, so far the results in iowa hasn't even come out the way the statistics/simulations here leaned.  this site says that buttigieg was not a favorite to win the most votes, that biden was supposed to come in second, and  that bernie was supposed to come in first. it could be right that bernie comes in first, but it was pretty off regarding biden and buttigieg. i mean biden is in 4th place rn that's a pretty big discrepancy 

Yes but this site also said that Bernie would win 28% of the Iowan vote while in reality he won 26% of the vote.  (Besides, the current results released by the IDP still aren't completely accurate )

Pete isn't viable past NH due to his abysmal support among people of color, so I believe this website still has merit 

[Marilyn MonHoe 11,011]

1 minute ago, PartySick said:

Not sure I'll ever be a Bernie Bro

But I don't hate the guy, never have, so I'm happy to be included

Close enough, I'll take it!