Countries With Heaviest Population Declines For Next 30 Years

[skedaddleBItCh 2,821]

I was expecting my country

[ItWasntLaauv 6,392]

YEEEEESS, LET’S GOOOOOOO!! 

[Economy 53,162]

2 hours ago, mr.peter said:

Team planet earth 👏🏼

Earths entire population is forecast to peak within our lifetimes anyway

[Economy 53,162]

1 hour ago, skedaddleBItCh said:

I was expecting my country

I only put the top 10. There's more on the list on the article 

 

And considering #20 starts at -10% I'm sure there's even more countries

[Economy 53,162]

2 hours ago, Postboy said:

What is the real impact of population decline to an economy? Sure their GDP will go down, but does that mean that people will be suffering? I honestly can’t imagine a country like Japan ever becoming a third world country just because of pop decline 

 

2 hours ago, D0P3 said:

@Economy is the the best suited member to answer this and all global economy and politics questions on this cult site but I can instantly think that their labor cost will significantly go higher due to scarcity. or they will have to either import or outsorce it and it makes the economy more volatile. thus creating some sort of inflation too. but this is me guessing most of these countries with the exception of Japan aren’t global commerce players and have more closed markets. but I honestly don’t know if I’m right or wrong. it’s just a random guess. lol

@Economy sis what’s the tea? 

 

2 hours ago, Gogo Yubari said:

It'll mean budget changes/borrowing, higher taxes, potentially desperate pushes for immigration from poorer countries. This is to pay for the ageing population and their social care and needs, and also to pay for the education of children who they hope will balance out the age gap. They won't get demoted to a 3rd world country though. 

Countries in the EU will benefit from freedom of movement, making immigration more likely as people return to or settle in Bulgaria, Lithuania etc.

Japan will have a harsher ageing crisis, so expect to see government increasing taxes or borrowing. Nations like Japan have been anti-immigration for centuries, so it will be a major change in the country. Japan will lose its status as a world economic power due not keeping up with GDPs from other growing nations, but it'll remain a stable economic power in Asia. 

It's going to be rough for young and middle-aged adults who will have to support the older and younger populations.

Japan is probably the best example to look at because the have the world's oldest demographics (they became the world's first "Super Aged Society" some years ago when 20% of their population was 65 or older. Now it's over 26%)

 

Japan chronically deals with on and off deflation (despite Central Bank doing money printing via Quantitative Easing) as demand for all types of goods and services falls

 

Japan has a lot of dead money. The population has high savings but they don't invest much because businesses don't grow. Since real estate and stocks are generally bad investments there, people either have to invest in foreign investments or they just hoard cash or buy Government Bonds for super low returns (hence why despite the world biggest debt burden Japan still borrows money for under 1% interest)

 

Productivity stalls due to a lack of investment as well

 

Japan has serious issues with revenue as an ever ageing population means skyrocketing healthcare costs as well as pension and old age security costs

 

At the same time that those costs surge their tax base is shrinking as the young workforce that pays taxes is shrinking even faster than the general population

 

Japans deficits are huge and they can't raise enough revenue and their debt to GDP Ratio already exceeds 230% of GDP meaning the Government already owes over twice their annual economic output... and frankly they are a financial crisis time bomb waiting to happen i don't know how they can even ever get out of that hole at this point

 

This is part of the reason I get upset when ppl complain when governments talk about things like reforming old age security and raising retirement age (as some Countries already have done)

 

That fact that it sucks to work another 2-3 years past 65 doesn't make the problem go away and in the long run the consequences of doing nothing and kicking the can down the road are far worse

 

Japan did not plan for their ageing population and now are in trouble... The rest of the developed world is not as advanced in ageing demographics yet and we can learn from their mistakes and failure to take measures sooner!

 

My Country Canada still refuses to raise the 65 retirement age and social security and I worry about the pressure that will put on the system as the boomers now retire in mass

[Economy 53,162]

Guys the OP. First time I ever saw 1 reaction of each 

[Economy 53,162]

2 hours ago, PoggersFace said:

Too bad that none of these are developing countries, not surprised tho

Makes sense.... Developed Nations had things like women go into careers (instead of just being a mother), birth control was available here first and also the way modern society works raising a family is more expensive and that too started in the developed world first

 

As a result birth rates collapsed in developed Nations first... In fact if you search up the birth rate per woman, in almost every developed nation now the birth rate is below the replacement rate which means more people will die going forward than births (although immigration can and does partially offset this in much of the developed world)

 

But now birth rates have been falling in the developing lands as well for some time as the social and economic factors that caused birth rates to fall in rich countries are starting to become a reality in less developed Nations as well

 

Forecasts vary but generally earths population should peak this century with some estimates saying as early as 2050 while others place it at as late as 2070

 

But later this century it's expected that Africa will be the only continent still growing in natural population (excluding artificial impacts of migration). Even Asia in the not too distant future will have birth rates drop below replacement rate

[Henri Bardot 3,990]

2 hours ago, PoggersFace said:

Too bad that none of these are developing countries, not surprised tho

these are developing countries 

only japan isnt

[peto flex 2,641]

Not my country being first 

[JustTea 6,987]

7 minutes ago, Henri Bardot said:

these are developing countries 

only japan isnt

Spoiler

Meant these: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Least_Developed_Countries

Didn't translate it correctly, I see.

 

[Guest Adarsh]

My overpopulated country can’t relate  We have the world’s youngest population 

[Economy 53,162]

20 minutes ago, Adarsh said:

My overpopulated country can’t relate  We have the world’s youngest population 

I don't know what the youngest Country is... Is it Saudi Arabia?

 

I know like 2/3 of their population is under 30

 

Edit: it's Niger... And the rest of the top 10 are mostly African nations as well due to low life expectancy and high death rates

 

Over 50% of Niger's population is under 15

[Conservative Mom 655]

whera my great motherland china? whera ???

[Economy 53,162]

3 minutes ago, MissWing said:

whera my great motherland china? whera ???

I think they are supposed to drop in the coming decades but I guess not agressively enough over next 30 years to make top 10 list

 

Edit: searched it. China is expected to start declining in 2031

[ltlmnstr 2,771]

I’m curious as to why the majority of the countries listed are white. Here in america, white men are increasing in numbers of infertility. 

Is it because of high consumption of processed food?