Magoo 6 Posted June 28, 2012 Share Posted June 28, 2012 BB Hot 100 calculations for NEXT week based on 3 days of itunes bars, current airplay and a streaming estimate #position, sales (000's) + airplay (A.I. millions) + streaming (20Ks) = points*, artist, song, (change on Hot 100) #1 244 + 177 + 55 = 348 Carly Rae Jepsen CMM (=) #2 235 + 176 + 46 = 333 Maroon 5 Payphone ft. Khalifa (=) #3 165 + 192 + 48 = 304 Gotye STIUTK ft Kimbra (=) #4 224 + 88 + 27 = 237 Katy Perry WA (=) #5 121 + 130 + 22 = 201 Rihanna WHYB (=) #6 149 + 81 + 33 = 190 Ellie Goulding Lights (=) #7 87 + 116 + 40 = 186 Fun. WAY ft. Monae (=) #8 97 + 108 + 33 = 180 Nicki Minaj Starships (=) #9 100 + 105 + 32 = 178 One Direction WMYB (=) #10 110 + 90 + 20 = 160 Usher Scream (=) #11 137 + 61 + 21 = 155 David Guetta + Sia Titanium (+1) #12 98 + 68 + 37 = 152 Justin Bieber Boyfriend (+5) #13 74 + 94 + 28 = 149 Flo Rida WO ft Sia (-2) #14 52 + 101 + 26 = 139 The Wanted GYC (-1) #15 91 + 55 + 31 = 131 Kanye West Mercy (=) #16 106 + 60 + 13 = 127 Pitbull BIT (-2) #17 81 + 64 + 16 = 117 Luke Bryan DOY (-1) #18 67 + 59 + 19 = 108 Karmin Brokenhearted (-1) #19 56 + 63 + 21 = 106 Train DB (=) #20 65 + 57 + 12 = 98 Eric Church Springsteen (=) *points = 62% x sales/K + 80% x airplay (A.I. millions) + 5% x on demand streaming/K It mainly just reflects the existing Hot 100 at the moment. Boyfriend's rise is just recovery from 'complete my album' effect. Approx weekly sales for Gaga: PF 7.4K, TEOG 7.0K, BTW 6.5K, JD 6.1K, BR 5.9K Y+I 5.8K Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Klou 2,414 Posted June 28, 2012 Share Posted June 28, 2012 Here's the Where Have You Been (Calvin Harris Extended Remix) that's causing the song to have a slight boost in sales at #307. I like this version better. http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Q_L-lrOBZf8 Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ozzy8923 9 Posted June 28, 2012 Share Posted June 28, 2012 (edited) would you want a gaga-britney single? what if it was performed live?? not sure if excited about what it would look like or scared of what it would turn out to be Well, if you think about it, Gaga can perform Telephone without Beyonce and she can easily do the same thing with Britney. Anyways, if they were to perform together I would imagine it being something along the lines of Rihanna and Britney's performance of S&M at the BBMA's 2011. Which I don't consider a necessarily amazing performance but it was by no means a disaster. Gaga will most likely do extensive promo for the song and since Britney doesn't seem too fond of promotion, Gaga can just perform live the parts of the songs that she sings and cut out the parts of the song that Britney sings. Edited June 28, 2012 by ozzy8923 Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Americano 31,061 Posted June 28, 2012 Author Share Posted June 28, 2012 Whistle about to go Top 10 on iTunes. Huge hit coming. TOP 20 1. GOTYE - Somebody That I Used To Know: 192.167 (- 1.673) 2. CARLY RAE JEPSEN - Call Me Maybe: 177.484 (+ 1.003) 3. MAROON 5 - Payphone f/Wiz Khalifa: 175.887 (+ 0.617) 4. RIHANNA - Where Have You Been: 130.327 (+ 2.547) 5. FUN. - We Are Young f/Janelle Monae: 115.576 (- 0.935) 6. NICKI MINAJ - Starships: 108.265 (- 0.425) 7. ONE DIRECTION - What Makes You Beautiful: 105.343 (- 2.119) 8. THE WANTED - Glad You Came: 100.579 (- 2.001) 9. FLO RIDA - Wild Ones f/Sia: 93.621 (- 1.275) 10. USHER - Scream: 90.250 (+ 1.297) 11. KATY PERRY - Wide Awake: 88.800 (+ 1.867) 12. ELLIE GOULDING - Lights: 81.094 (+ 3.053) 13. KELLY CLARKSON - Stronger (What Doesn't Kill ...: 77.619 (+ 0.300) 14. JUSTIN BIEBER - Boyfriend: 67.890 (- 1.902) 15. LUKE BRYAN - Drunk On You: 63.649 (- 0.349) 16. TRAIN - Drive By: 63.151 (- 0.570) 17. DAVID GUETTA - Titanium f/Sia: 60.794 (+ 0.493) â–² 18. ELI YOUNG BAND - Even If It Breaks Your Heart: 60.465 (+ 0.135) â–¼ 19. BRANTLEY GILBERT - You Don't Know Her Like I Do: 59.922 â–² 20. PITBULL - Back In Time: 59.756 (- 0.513) OUTRAS KARMIN - Broken Hearted: 59.107 (- 1.218) CALVIN HARRIS - Let's Go f/Ne-Yo: 55.616 (+ 0.753) KANYE WEST - Mercy f/Big Sean/Pusha T...: 55.273 (+ 0.414) DEMI LOVATO - Give Your Heart A Break: 52.918 (+ 0.950) CA$H OUT - Cashin' Out: 51.503 (+ 0.125) TREY SONGZ - Heart Attack: 46.244 (+ 0.511) GYM CLASS HEROES - The Fighter f/Ryan Tedder: 41.040 (- 0.008) HAVANA BROWN - We Run The Night f/Pitbull: 40.743 (+ 0.754) USHER - Lemme See f/Rick Ross: 38.630 (- 0.037) JASON MRAZ - I Won't Give Up: 36.510 (+ 0.241) ONE DIRECTION - One Thing: 29.752 (+ 0.836) RITA ORA - How We Do (Party): 25.686 (- 0.052) CHER LLOYD - Want U Back: 23.400 (+ 1.022) LINKIN PARK - Burn It Down: 21.132 (- 0.182) B.O.B - Both Of Us f/Taylor Swift: 19.646 (+ 0.352) KELLY CLARKSON - Dark Side: 18.599 (+ 0.899) THE WANTED - Chasing The Sun: 18.553 (- 0.128) MATCHBOX TWENTY - She's So Mean: 15.037 (+ 0.533) FUN. - Some Nights: 13.476 (+ 0.420) FLO RIDA - Whistle: 12.954 (+ 0.626) NICKI MINAJ - Beez In The Trap f/2 Chainz: 31.235 CHRIS BROWN - Don't Wake Me Up: 6.974 PITBULL - Get It Started f/Shakira: 0.178 (+ 0.103) Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
saltface 177 Posted June 28, 2012 Share Posted June 28, 2012 It would be quite awks though with Gaga singing her arse off and Britney miming next to her But I'm definitely here for a collaboration, though :) Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Oyemiamor 40 Posted June 28, 2012 Share Posted June 28, 2012 (edited) Singles sales numbers for the week 1. Carly Rae Jepsen, “Call Me Maybe†– 263k 2. Katy Perry, “Wide Awake†– 221k 3. Maroon 5 f/Wiz Khalifa, “Payphone†– 217k 4. Gotye f/Kimbra “Somebody That I Used to Know†– 176k 5. Ellie Goulding, “Lights†– 148k 6. David Guetta f/Sia, “Titanium†– 126k 7. Rihanna, “Where Have You Been†– 121k 8. Usher, “Scream†– 118k 9. Pitbull, “Back in Time†– 113k 10. Nicki Minaj, “Starships†– 101k Edited June 28, 2012 by Oyemiamor Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Klou 2,414 Posted June 28, 2012 Share Posted June 28, 2012 Singles sales numbers for the week 1. Carly Rae Jepsen, “Call Me Maybe†– 263k 2. Katy Perry, “Wide Awake†– 221k 3. Maroon 5 f/Wiz Khalifa, “Payphone†– 217k 4. Gotye f/Kimbra “Somebody That I Used to Know†– 176k 5. Ellie Goulding, “Lights†– 148k 6. David Guetta f/Sia, “Titanium†– 126k 7. Rihanna, “Where Have You Been†– 121k 8. Usher, “Scream†– 118k 9. Pitbull, “Back in Time†– 113k 10. Nicki Minaj, “Starships†– 101k Single sales lower overall compared to the first half of the year. Wish Gaga would debut a song right now because it would easily go #1 with no song completely dominating in sales. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Americano 31,061 Posted June 28, 2012 Author Share Posted June 28, 2012 (edited) Single releases are slowing down for the summer season, will pick up again soon as lead singles begin coming out from holiday-albums. Edited June 28, 2012 by Americano Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Klou 2,414 Posted June 28, 2012 Share Posted June 28, 2012 Damn they aren't waiting any time. Good Time at #40 on the Pop Radio chart. Summer hit right there :coffee: Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Just A Holy Fool 2,447 Posted June 28, 2012 Share Posted June 28, 2012 (edited) WHYB is top 5 now? Not bad. It appears it will peak at #1 on Top 40 radio. Payphone got to #1 today, but it will be shortlived as their spins are decreasing rapidly. WHYB got a +195 spin update today Go out with a hit Rihanna, and then take a LONG break. :nails: Edited June 28, 2012 by Just A Holy Fool Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Arturo 40,746 Posted June 28, 2012 Share Posted June 28, 2012 I seriously didn't know that Completing My Album didn't count as purchasing the full album. That is sooo dumb Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Klou 2,414 Posted June 28, 2012 Share Posted June 28, 2012 It appears it will peak at #1 on Top 40 radio. Payphone got to #1 today, but it will be shortlived as their spins are decreasing rapidly. WHYB got a 200+ spin update today Go out with a hit Rihanna, and then take a LONG break. Lights and Wide Awake getting consistant heavy updates as well. I really hope Lights gets #1 :giveup: Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Just A Holy Fool 2,447 Posted June 28, 2012 Share Posted June 28, 2012 Lights and Wide Awake getting consistant heavy updates as well. I really hope Lights gets #1 Yeah, it will be a fight. If WHYB does get to #1, it will be for a week probably. I really hope Wide Awake gets cockblocked by Lights :) I don't want to see her get another #1 for a while. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
craig 680 Posted June 28, 2012 Share Posted June 28, 2012 I seriously didn't know that Completing My Album didn't count as purchasing the full album. That is sooo dumb Who said it didn't? The thing is they also count it as -1 for whatever singles were previously bought, so sales for a single like Boyfriend or Payphone come in lower than expected album release week. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Oyemiamor 40 Posted June 28, 2012 Share Posted June 28, 2012 Maroon 5 is closing in but HDD thinks they have it on lock *Linkin Park (Warner Bros.) 230-250k *Maroon 5 (A&M/Octone) 200-220k Justin Believe (Island/IDJ) 130-140k| *MMG Presents, Vol. 2 (Maybach Music Group) 80-90k Kenny Chesney (Blue Chair/Columbia Nashville) 65-70k *R. Kelly (RCA) 63-68k Adele (XL/Columbia) 40-45k One Direction (Syco/Columbia) 37-42k Usher (RCA) 35-40k Rock of Ages (WaterTower) 30-35k Fiona Apple (Epic) 24-27k *Offspring (Columbia) 21-24k Luke Bryan (Capitol Nashville/EMI) 20-23k Let It Shine (Walt Disney) 17-20k Now 42 (Capitol/EMI) 17-20k Smashing Pumpkins (Martha's Music/ELS) 17-20k *Pentatonix (Madison Gate) 17-20k Alan Jackson (Capitol Nashville/EMI) 17-20k Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
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