Do you think Gaga's next lead single will debut/peak at #1 on Billboard ?

[angelduuh 483]

It depends on a lot of factors but the song will be at least a top 5

[Echo 327]

Top 5

[Delete 258]

Debut? Not a chance. The only reason she debuted at number one with Born This Way because of the hype of her juggernaut era, "The Fame Monster". 

Now, do I believe her next lead single could EVENTUALLY reach number one? Of course! 

As long as she continues to stay active in the media, times the release correctly, and please the masses (like the Grammys + Oscars) I predict she'll debut in the top 10, and work her way up. 

 

[Alfonso 1,547]

SHE CAN. Shake it Off did it ! She just need a strong digital debut sales, the same date of music video release, and a radio deal.

 

This

[Bradley 59,023]

​She's no Taylor Swift though 

I'd love it if Gaga could open with 1m+ album sales but she is simpy not on that level

​I'm not saying that Gaga can do it with LG6 but did you know Born This Way opened with 1,100,000 copies first week in the US? Now stop if you are gonna reply me with the discount thing.

[Oscar 1,031]

if your b---h ass can do it gaga can too 

[Creyk 17,805]

​I'm not saying that Gaga can do it with LG6 but did you know Born This Way opened with 1,100,000 copies first week in the US? Now stop if you are gonna reply me with the discount thing.

​discount though

[Rainbow Unicorn 82]

Top 5

[monsterdreams 1,529]

Probably won't debut at 1 but could get there if everything goes well! I hope she gets it 

[Juanjo 2,139]

I wish I could be more optimistic, but I don't see her lead single reaching #1. It will be an event, for sure, and definitely a hit, but it'll only reintroduce her into the radio/pop scene. I do think, however,  she has a big chance of scoring at least one #1 if the singles are chosen correctly and her and her team play their cards right. It'll be a successful era, regardless. There's too much at stake. 

[Supersonic 49,376]

​discount though

​Still sold 700k without discount first week.

[BULATIO 1,635]

#2 or #3 

[Fiona Apple 13,006]

It's really bad that you changed the question because a lot of those people that voted for "top 5" DID think that the song will hit #1 eventually but they voted the third choice because the thread was about DEBUTING at #1 at first. So now the poll is irrelevant

[socotra 3,310]

It all hinges on how the song sounds imo. Applause was a phenomenal song for me personally and I have strong sentiment with it from what was going on in my life at the time of its release, but I can see how others might not have thought so. It could've been seen as pretentious, too "artsy," etc. 

If it's a great, catchy song I think the #1 summit is totally possible. either way tho she'll debut in the Top 5 somewhere. 

[Hello Mr. Radio 45]

Top 10 easily. Top 5 depends on the lyrics, the catchiness of the song, and if her team plans it right (i.e., lyrics video/music video the day the song comes out, releasing the song on a monday for a full week of sales, getting a radio deal)