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General Charts Discussion - Taylor's 1989 is swiftly coming for 5M+


Mills

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Jjang

UK certifications (@bpi_music): @ArianaGrande Feat. @IGGYAZALEA, Problem Platinum (600,000).

Bang Bang 28k left to hit 3 million in the US.

 

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Arturo

Have we done a Pretty Girls prediction list? If so, then I'm late but I'll say 145k

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Gypsy Life

I think pretty girls will most likely debut in the top 10 because it's going to be selling more than most songs (actually all except SYA) and then with the music video it will surge and then with the performance, it will be number one 

Them high hopes :hunty:

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Week 16: Best-selling digital songs in 2015 so far, as of the week ending April 19, 2015

Songs selling 4,000,000 units or more this year so far = 1
Songs selling 2,000,000 units or more this year so far = 3
Songs selling 1,000,000 units or more this year so far = 12
Songs selling 500,000 units or more this year so far = 36

Note: Those digital songs which sales have not been released yet for TW and LW are accompanied with the week ending for their last reported YTD sales.

Rank / Title (Year of Release) / Artist / TW sales / LW sales / YTD sales (as of week ending)
1. Uptown Funk! (2014) - Mark Ronson ft. Bruno Mars - 128,000 / 145,000 / 4,133,000
2. Thinking Out Loud (2014) - Ed Sheeran - TBA / TBA / 2,769,000 (4/5/15)
3. Sugar (2014) - Maroon 5 - 112,000 / 143,000 / 2,206,000
4. Love Me Like You Do (2015) - Ellie Goulding - 83,000 / 102,000 / 1,843,000
5. FourFiveSeconds (2015) - Rihanna, Kanye West, Paul McCartney - 56,000 / 77,000 / 1,677,000
6. Take Me To Church (2013) - Hozier - TBA / TBA / 1,667,000 (4/5/15)
7. Blank Space (2014) - Taylor Swift - TBA / TBA / 1,328,000 (4/5/15)
8. Earned It (Fifty Shades Of Grey) (2014) - The Weeknd - 107,000 / 117,000 / 1,314,000
9. G.D.F.R. (2014) - Flo Rida ft. Sage the Gemini - 97,000 / 131,000 / 1,221,000
10. Lips Are Movin (2014) - Meghan Trainor -  TBA / TBA / 1,106,000 (4/5/15)

11. See You Again (2015) - Wiz Khalifa ft. Charlie Puth - 375,000 / 464,000 / 1,096,000
12. Style (2014) - Taylor Swift - TBA / TBA / 1,065,000 (4/5/15)
13. Time Of Our Lives (2014) - Pitbull & Ne-Yo -  TBA / TBA / 975,000 (4/5/15)
14. Centuries (2014) - Fall Out Boy - TBA / TBA / 945,000 (4/5/15)
15. Shut Up + Dance (2014) - Walk the Moon - 146,000 / 136,000 / 919,000
16. Shake It Off (2014) - Taylor Swift - TBA / TBA / 876,000 (4/5/15)
17. Trap Queen (2014) - Fetty Wap - 113,000 / 112,000 / 809,000
18. I’m Not The Only One (2014) - Sam Smith - TBA / TBA / 809,000 (4/5/15)
19. Take Your Time (2014) - Sam Hunt - 58,000 / 55,000 / 792,000
20. Chains (2014) - Nick Jonas - 83,000 / 111,000 / 763,000

21. Truffle Butter (2015) - Nicki Minaj ft. Drake, Lil Wayne - 41,000 / 46,000 / 753,000
22. I Don’t Mind (2014) - Usher ft. Juicy J - TBA / TBA / 718,000 (4/5/15)
23. The Hanging Tree (2014) - James Howard ft. Jennifer Lawrence - TBA / TBA / 717,000 (4/5/15)
24. All About That Bass (2014) - Meghan Trainor - TBA / TBA / 699,000 (4/5/15)
25. Ghost (2014) - Ella Henderson - TBA / TBA / 680,000 (4/5/15)
26. Somebody (2014) - Natalie La Rose ft. Jeremih - 61,000 / 67,000 / 680,000
27. Stay With Me (2014) - Sam Smith - TBA / TBA / 659,000 (4/5/15)
28. Jealous (2014) - Nick Jonas - TBA / TBA / 657,000 (4/5/15)
29. Animals (2014) - Maroon 5 - TBA / TBA / 582,000 (4/5/15)
30. Only (2014) - Nicki Minaj ft. Drake, Lil Wayne - TBA / TBA / 578,000 (4/5/15)

Bubbling Under:
Talking Body (2015) - Tove Lo - 62,000 / 60,000 / 510,000
Want To Want Me (2015) - Jason Derulo - 93,000 / 91,000 / 434,000
I Want You to Know (2015) - Zedd ft. Selena Gomez - 25,000 / 32,000 / 375,000
Bitch Better Have My Money (2015) - Rihanna - 53,000 / 65,000 / 359,000
Hey Mama (2015) - David Guetta ft. Nicki Minaj, Afrojack - 75,000 / 60,000 / 303,000

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Nielsen Music's best-selling digital songs by year of release:

Year / Title / Artist / RTD sales (as of week ending)
2004 - Yeah! - Usher ft. Lil Jon, Ludacris - 4 million (9/15/13)
2005 - Bad Day - Daniel Powter - 3.52 million (8/4/13)
2006 - Hey There Delilah - Plain White T's - 4.58 million (8/4/13)
2007 - Low - Flo Rida ft. T-Pain - 7 million (6/1/14)
2008 - Poker Face - Lady Gaga - 7.21 million (4/5/15)
2009 - I Gotta Feeling - The Black Eyed Peas - 8.67 million (4/5/15)
2010 - Firework - Katy Perry - 6.8 million (1/25/15)
2011 - Rolling In The Deep - Adele - 8.34 million (4/5/15)
2012 - Somebody That I Used To Know - Gotye ft. Kimbra - 7.84 million (4/5/15)
2013 - Blurred Lines - Robin Thicke ft. Pharrell, T.I. - 7.38 million (4/5/15)
2014 - Uptown Funk! - Mark Ronson ft. Bruno Mars - 5.507 million (4/19/15)
2015 - Love Me Like You Do - Ellie Goulding - 1.84 million (4/19/15)
 

2nd best-selling digital songs by year of release:

2004 - She Will Be Loved - Maroon 5 - 3.19 million (6/15/14)
2005 - Hollaback Girl - Gwen Stefani - 2.52 million (4/29/12)
2006 - SexyBack - Justin Timberlake ft. T.I. - 4.49 million (6/15/14)
2007 - Stronger - Kanye West - 5.11 million (8/4/13)
2008 - Just Dance - Lady Gaga ft. Colby O'Donis - 6.98 million (4/5/15)
2009 - Boom Boom Pow - The Black Eyed Peas - 6.82 million (4/5/15)
2010 - Love The Way You Lie - Eminem ft. Rihanna - 6.25 million (7/13/14) 
2011 - Party Rock Anthem - LMFAO ft. Lauren Bennett, Goonrock - 8.03 million (4/5/15)
2012 - Thrift Shop - Macklemore & Ryan Lewis ft. Wanz - 7.74 million (4/5/15)
2013 - Happy - Pharrell Williams - 6.89 million (4/5/15)
2014 - All About That Bass - Meghan Trainor - 5.05 million (4/5/15)
2015 - FourFiveSeconds - Rihanna, Kanye West, Paul McCartney - 1.67 million (4/19/15)

Within a month at the latest, SYA will become the best-selling digital song released this year so far. And with it likely topping at least 4M with a lengthy reign at #1, I guess only a new lead single from Katy Perry or Adele could topple it, or an unexpected summer smash from a breakthrough act.

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Dangerous Man

Arturo 145K

yanko 160K

Vancoop 100K

Jude 250K

"A little less conversation and a little more touch my body."
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Digital song sales debuts for this year have been the weakest so far since the boom of iTunes. We're nearing towards the 2nd half of the year and there are only 4 songs which debuted with at least 100k. The top two highest came from Kanye West and both were below 141k. The first full week of 45S also failed to top 141k. It needed the release of its MV to go above 141k when it sold 181k in its 3rd (and 2nd full) week. And given that Rihanna and Kanye West are by far the better digital song sellers than Iggy Azalea and Britney Spears based on their most recent releases, I'd give PG's first week at 140k, at the most. Anything dramatically above that will be a great surprise for me. It'd indicate that majority of Britney's core fanbase faithfully stayed with her even after Britney Jean.

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Jjang

Digital song sales debuts for this year have been the weakest so far since the boom of iTunes. We're nearing towards the 2nd half of the year and there are only 4 songs which debuted with at least 100k. The top two highest came from Kanye West and both were below 141k. The first full week of 45S also failed to top 141k. It needed the release of its MV to go above 141k when it sold 181k in its 3rd (and 2nd full) week. And given that Rihanna and Kanye West are by far the better digital song sellers than Iggy Azalea and Britney Spears based on their most recent releases, I'd give PG's first week at 140k, at the most. Anything dramatically above that will be a great surprise for me. It'd indicate that majority of Britney's core fanbase faithfully stayed with her even after Britney Jean.

​This is like 2012 all over again.

I assume major pop stars are saving their releases for the summer.

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