DWAS and BOAF to tie eachother on the same day for 4B

[LGAte 1,033]

This is absurdly close now. Close enough that the answer has changed from what it would have been a few months ago.

As of Kworb's latest update (Aug. 26):

BIRDS OF A FEATHER: 3,939,903,907 (+2,217,69160.10M)

Die With A Smile: 3,932,471,193 (+2,521,46567.53M)

So Billie currently has a 7.43M-stream lead, but Gaga/Bruno are currently gaining about 304K more streams per day. 

And importantly, this isn't just a one-day fluke. The previous update had:

BOAF: +2.108M

DWAS: +2.377M

gap: 7.736M

Then the newest update had:

BOAF: +2.218M

DWAS: +2.521M

gap: 7.433M

So DWAS shaved another ~304K off the lead in one day, while both songs actually increased. 

Here's where it gets crazy:

If we simply freeze today's rates:

BIRDS
60.096M ÷ 2.218M/day = 27.10 days

DWAS
67.529M ÷ 2.521M/day = 26.78 days

That projects Die With A Smile reaching 4B only ~0.32 days ~ about EIGHT HOURS before Birds of a Feather.

That's basically a statistical photo finish.

And the trend slightly favors DWAS. Kworb's recent chart history shows DWAS continuing to pull enormous weekly numbers. It did about 17.60M charted streams for the week ending Aug. 13, versus 14.87M for BOAF that week. BOAF fell to about 13.55M the following week. 

Spotify itself also confirms the historical significance here: it has described BIRDS OF A FEATHER as the most-streamed song by a solo female artist in Spotify history, while DWAS was Spotify's most-streamed track of 2025. 

My prediction: Die With A Smile… by a hair. But at current pacing they both will reach the historic 4 Billion Club Milestone for women on the same exact day.

We are plausibly heading toward something like:

~Sept. 20: BOAF still ahead
~Sept. 21: BOAF still ahead
~Sept. 22: DWAS catches it
~Sept. 23: DWAS moves ahead
~Sept. 24: DWAS hits 4,000,000,000
hours later / same reporting cycle: BOAF hits 4,000,000,000

The exact dates will move because weekend streaming, playlist changes, viral moments, releases, etc. affect the daily numbers.

And there's one semantic wrinkle in the "first female 4B song" record: BOAF would be the first 4B song by a solo female artist, whereas DWAS is a Lady Gaga/Bruno Mars collaboration. So if DWAS wins this race, Gaga would be the first female artist on a 4B track; Billie could still shortly afterward become the first woman to have a solo 4B track.

This may genuinely come down to one Spotify daily update. One viral video. One post from either Gaga or Billie. 
 

Regardless, it would be really cool if they both shared this feat with eachother. I think that would actually be a really cool scenario that they both won. 

[dynamite 67,285]

Great to hear that the will tie each other* 

[Amidana 4,322]

Gaga blocks billie

manifesting

 

[FATCAT 60,902]

Get to streaming sisters!!

 

[TheOriginalOne 11,622]

Every time I see BOAF I think bofa dees nutz

[ALGAYDO 35,259]

1 hour ago, TheOriginalOne said:

Every time I see BOAF I think bofa dees nutz

I’m so glad I’m not the only one 

 

Edited 3 hours ago by ALGAYDO

[weed 79,179]

very cool

hope Gaga makes it a full day earlier but either way congrats to all 3

[mlmc1995 126]

Icl it’s nice that it’s Billie that’s up against her for this. I’m mixed opinion on her music, but she’s clearly talented (I’ve been especially impressed with her live performances) and her interaction with Gaga at the Grammys was really sweet. Also her fans seem chill within this whole thing (& vice versa with LMs), which is a damn relief because the toxicity of Stan wars when it comes to female pop artists is exhaustingggg

[ThisGuyTony 35,200]

Oh CollabGa 

[Lextyr97 20,827]

1 hour ago, TheOriginalOne said:

Every time I see BOAF I think bofa dees nutz

I think of a stinky burp 

[Anderson123 42,794]

My personal Record and Song of the Year winners of 2024. 

[VTV 14,066]

not me thinking BOAF is SOAW

[LGAte 1,033]

2 hours ago, mlmc1995 said:

Icl it’s nice that it’s Billie that’s up against her for this. I’m mixed opinion on her music, but she’s clearly talented (I’ve been especially impressed with her live performances) and her interaction with Gaga at the Grammys was really sweet. Also her fans seem chill within this whole thing (& vice versa with LMs), which is a damn relief because the toxicity of Stan wars when it comes to female pop artists is exhaustingggg

I agree. Surprisingly our fanbases could have really hated eachother but weirdly we actually have a very US-UK type of relationship. Subtle shade but no real beef anymore. Probably even talk positively of eachother at times.

[candydarling 1,996]

4 hours ago, TheOriginalOne said:

Every time I see BOAF I think bofa dees nutz

i think black oesus amen fashion