Jump to content
The Evolution of Gaga
politics

Aug 4th Democratic Primary Results


PartySick
 Share

Featured Posts

LateToCult
39 minutes ago, PartySick said:

The way I woke from a dead sleep 'cause NBC came to me in my dreams :bradley: 

WAY closer than I thought it would be but the progressive Arab Muslim who ran a grassroots campaign just beat a woman who had $60 million of outsider cash dumped into her lap and still fumbled.

DAD

AP26215718061654.jpg

Now those same people gotta show up in November to keep Michigan blue :grr: 

We have a real shot at taking the senate by keeping Michigan and Georgia and flipping North Carolina, Maine, Ohio, Alaska, and Texas (and maybe Iowa too but eh) :grr:

Don't f*ck it up :grr: 

A bottle of Astroglide’s finest and some fvcking privacy please :hor:

  • LMAO 4
  • YAAAS 1
Link to post
Share on other sites

ALonelyNight
3 minutes ago, LateToCult said:

A bottle of Astroglide’s finest and some fvcking privacy please :hor:

It's 3 am, lemme delete Astroglide from my search history:messga:

  • LMAO 3
Link to post
Share on other sites

Stylor

So the race was much much closer than all the fake polls saying he’d win by 10-20% suggested. Mallory got 4% of the vote despite dropping out because her name was still on the ballot. She should’ve dropped out way earlier, Stevens would’ve easily won. 


Given that up to 50% of Stevens voters are saying they’ll sit out and refuse to vote for Abdul in November, Republicans will most likely win the general. Such a shame for this to happen during a blue wave, this is Maine 2.0.

 

  • Like 1
Link to post
Share on other sites

Magui

The way I open any thread about American politics more avidly then any pop news... just to have a glimpse of what might happen in November and I'm not even American. I'm just having faith in the American people , that hopefully can reduce this administration power and increase accountability on the actions and decisions that where and will be made. 

  • Like 2
Link to post
Share on other sites

Sizzily

Yay I'm glad he won and hopefully he wins the general. I have to live vicariously through elections like this because Marsha Blackburn is prolly gonna be my governor in November.:emma:

Inside my head I have the best time
  • Sad 1
Link to post
Share on other sites

Bronco
35 minutes ago, Stylor said:

So the race was much much closer than all the fake polls saying he’d win by 10-20% suggested. Mallory got 4% of the vote despite dropping out because her name was still on the ballot. She should’ve dropped out way earlier, Stevens would’ve easily won. 

The poll aggregates all had him between 46 to 52%. 

The final result saw him get 48% of the vote. So well within the median spot of the polls. 

If you look at specific final week polling.

Talvern Research had him at 48%. The Public Sentiment Institute also had him at 48%.

Mitchell Research & Communications had him at 52% with a 5% MoE. 48% is within the MoE. 

Zenith had him at 53% with a 4% MoE. So they were only slightly out. 

The only poll that had him scoring high & well beyond 48% with an MoE adjustment was a republican pollster. 

 

Now the polls did have Stevens sitting at a flat 40% average for the final week. And again this is with an average MoE of 4 to 5% in the polls - and we've seen a clear trend of the MoE being accurate in overestimating the Sayed vote by 4% so we should also recognise by the same measure her support without undecided may have been sitting at 44%. 

But they also had an average of 10% identifying as undecided. Very very common in final week political polling.

The polls didn't get the race wrong, they were pretty accurate. They showed where the decided voters were sitting and they showed us there was a potential kingmaker size undecided voting bloc as anyone with a basic understanding of psephology would expect. 

The undecideds predominantly fell into the Stevens camp in the final week. 

And since you bring up Maine. You totally misunderstood the psephology in play there the last time you tried to comment on that race as well. So please, stick to what you know. 

Especially as we are currently in a position where Stevens is still capable of winning the vote because the Detroit mail-ins are coming in heavily in her favour and you're currently assuming she's lost and trying to compare her to the Maine race you dont understand.

 

 

The gays know how to party
  • Like 1
  • Thanks 2
Link to post
Share on other sites

SavetheEarthNow
9 hours ago, Stylor said:

El-Sayed is unelectable. He’ll lose in November. Moderates and indies in Michigan won’t vote for someone who campaigned with Hasan ‘America deserved 9/11’ Piker. 

He made the entire race about Israel. That works well with the Palestine-first far-left wing of the party, but it won’t work in a general. Hopefully that will stop the DSA takeover of the Democratic Party and Dems will start listening to black voters, the base of the party, again.

 

Enough calling people who are against the genocide Netanyahu is committing against Gaza "the far left". Netanyahu has been deliberately starving, targeting and killing innocent civilians including children across Gaza. It shouldn't be considered "far left" to expect a person not to commit war crimes during war and to abide by international laws regarding war.  And also I believe the base of the Democratic voting electorate are not just black people, a large amount of Democratic voters come from various ethnicities, more Democratic voters are also more educated than republican voters, I don't mean that negatively, I just mean Democratic voters typically have higher levels of college, university, etc, a lot more urban residents also tend to vote Democratic, suburbs as well, and then there are also a large amount of both young voters and old voters who make up the base. 

Edited by SavetheEarthNow
  • Thanks 6
Link to post
Share on other sites

Bronco
2 minutes ago, Morphine Prince said:

AIPAC lost. Americans won.

Hold the party.

Wayne County is still counting & its breaking around roughly 60/40 to Stevens. 

Until they've finished counting and certified the race isn't decided, there's definitely potential for her to flip it still. 

The gays know how to party
Link to post
Share on other sites

Ladle Ghoulash
5 hours ago, Stylor said:

So the race was much much closer than all the fake polls saying he’d win by 10-20% suggested. Mallory got 4% of the vote despite dropping out because her name was still on the ballot. She should’ve dropped out way earlier, Stevens would’ve easily won. 


Given that up to 50% of Stevens voters are saying they’ll sit out and refuse to vote for Abdul in November, Republicans will most likely win the general. Such a shame for this to happen during a blue wave, this is Maine 2.0.

 

Yada yada yada Stevens set $60M on fire to lose by 2% and Jackson and El-Sayed can absolutely win in Nov. Cope. Also realistically if Stevens had to spend $60M to have only won a primary by around 2-3% (assuming she would have gotten all or most of McMarrow’s vote share if McMarrow had endorsed) she’s be cooked in the general. Not to mention that AIPAC likely wouldn’t help her against Rogers, so she wouldn’t have the same war chest she had and needed here.

But maybe Stevens could’ve gotten an endorsement from McMarrow if islamaphobic Gillibrand and Zionist Schumer (read: the coastal elites behind her stilted campaign) hadn’t sabotaged her because they wrongfully accused her of being DSA. Hoist by their own petard.

Edited by Ladle Ghoulash
We have forgotten our public MANNERS
Link to post
Share on other sites

Bronco
2 minutes ago, ****oDanceFight said:

USA Today declares El-Sayed the winner.

https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/politics/elections/2026/08/05/michigan-senate-primary-results-el-sayed-wins/91177446007/

They’re the only publication to do so so far.

NBC projected him as the winner hours ago. This article cites that.

The gays know how to party
  • Like 2
Link to post
Share on other sites

PornoDanceFight
1 minute ago, Bronco said:

NBC projected him as the winner hours ago. This article cites that.

I just woke up and won’t be fully literate for another hour :Cautious:

Lmaoo ok I’m now more hopeful than I was 15 minutes ago :vegas:

  • Like 1
Link to post
Share on other sites

Ladle Ghoulash
4 minutes ago, Nenifir said:

Do we stan or unstan in pop terms? 

Abdul is a progressive who supports Medicare for All, ending corporation corruption in politics, expanding access to education, and ending military aide to Israel, so I’m personally rooting for him

We have forgotten our public MANNERS
  • Thanks 1
Link to post
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Restore formatting

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.

 Share


×
×
  • Create New...