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AOTY: Mayhem and its realistic chances


andy232000
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Anderson123

I think Kendrick has a great shot at winning now that they have those 13k Recording Academy members. It's going to be like Beyoncé with a win that they owe to him for so many other albums he should've won for.

Mayhem will be lucky to even be nominated for Album of the Year, look at A Star Is Born.

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thetorturedlovers
6 hours ago, CharlieCashmere said:

What are the odds of Gaga also winning Record *and* Song of the Year?

Those odds are negative I fear

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hijadeputa

Don’t underestimate the power of Gaga guys. Some say here that they pick the most commercially successful album for AOTY, but look at Bey with CC, that album didn’t have a big commercial success. Everything can happen and I think everything is possible. Gaga and her team should focus on keep building longevity with MAYHEM and Abra. Abra is doing more than fine still top 20 on Spotify worldwide and with copacabana and Coachella coming up we should be safe.

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andy232000
1 hour ago, hijadeputa said:

Don’t underestimate the power of Gaga guys. Some say here that they pick the most commercially successful album for AOTY, but look at Bey with CC, that album didn’t have a big commercial success. Everything can happen and I think everything is possible. Gaga and her team should focus on keep building longevity with MAYHEM and Abra. Abra is doing more than fine still top 20 on Spotify worldwide and with copacabana and Coachella coming up we should be safe.

Yes it all comes down to wether Mayhem becomes a well felt era. It doesn’t need more hits (although they are obviously welcomed), but just a big presence. Something that everyone and their mother can say “oh yeah Gaga was EVERYWHERE this year!”. 

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hijadeputa
5 hours ago, andy232000 said:

Yes it all comes down to wether Mayhem becomes a well felt era. It doesn’t need more hits (although they are obviously welcomed), but just a big presence. Something that everyone and their mother can say “oh yeah Gaga was EVERYWHERE this year!”. 

Yes and she is on a very good way being already everywhere this year so far. I’d love another single being a hit from the album tho. We will see what happens :giveup:

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Sepsami
On 3/16/2025 at 2:39 PM, tlittlemonster said:

Would you say Cowboy Carter is AOTY material for you then?

Because the album is anything but memorable, and it has only one moderate hit and it is far from being one of the best selling albums of the year. Yet, it still won AOTY

Which let's be real made no sense. :awkney: Billie was right there and I'm not a Billie fan, but he had a huge year and Birds Of A Feather is immaculate. 

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Celloo Deng

Considering Love for Sale was nominated for AOTY, anything could happen 

she/her 👹🖤 | MJ King of Pop 🎶
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andy232000
1 hour ago, Sepsami said:

Which let's be real made no sense. :awkney: Billie was right there and I'm not a Billie fan, but he had a huge year and Birds Of A Feather is immaculate. 

Billie (and any other pop album) lost because there were four other pop albums in the mix. The Pop voters split between her, Taylor, Chappell, Sabrina and Charlie XCX. It caused her to lose enough votes to not be the front runner. Sometimes the mix of nominees can already tell you how things are gonna go down based on how many albums of each genre are nominated. 

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tlittlemonster
On 3/17/2025 at 2:53 AM, Anderson123 said:

I think Kendrick has a great shot at winning now that they have those 13k Recording Academy members. It's going to be like Beyoncé with a win that they owe to him for so many other albums he should've won for.

Mayhem will be lucky to even be nominated for Album of the Year, look at A Star Is Born.

A Star is Born had 5 amazing songs and the rest was very mid

I think Mayhem is a much better body of work, definitely worthy of an AOTY nomination and potentially a win (depending on other releases this year)

Let's be honest, Grammy's Awards are a lot about politics and genre groups. For example, if there are 3 different rap/hip hop nominated albums but there is little pop competition, it wouldn't be shocking that Mayhem won the award

There are so many variables... We need to wait and look at album longevity, the next singles, promo, the tour and general "aura" of the era up until the end of the year 

Yes, Kendrick Lamar's album is the frontrunner for now, but let's see... Voters already heavily rewarded him this year so they might be less inclined to vote again for him, especially if there are other rap albums nominated 

 

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James Gibson
1 hour ago, Celloo Deng said:

Considering Love for Sale was nominated for AOTY, anything could happen 

that was a very weak year, they released strategically right next to voting while pushing many tony supporters to vote for his last record, besides its known nomination phase has a very low turnout of votes. it was def very well coordinated campaign from tony's team which payed off.

lets see how gaga's camp promotes her for grammy voters nearer the season, but considering how many gigs she has lined up and how pop is not shaping up to be competitive this year she has a shot for a nomination, I believe.

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James Gibson
On 3/16/2025 at 11:53 PM, Anderson123 said:

I think Kendrick has a great shot at winning now that they have those 13k Recording Academy members. It's going to be like Beyoncé with a win that they owe to him for so many other albums he should've won for.

Mayhem will be lucky to even be nominated for Album of the Year, look at A Star Is Born.

My theory is ASIB got nominated for AOTY on straight vote but then the committee that existed back then blocked it and gave Gaga a SOTY nod as a consolation prize

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Anderson123
15 minutes ago, James Gibson said:

My theory is ASIB got nominated for AOTY on straight vote but then the committee that existed back then blocked it and gave Gaga a SOTY nod as a consolation prize

They've added Kanye's Donda and Taylor's Evermore to Album of the Year just for ratings when those 2 albums didn't have enough votes to be there so there's some manipulation. Not sure about ASIB, I think it just went by voters' head and didn't make it for real but it was a surprise.

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andy232000
Posted (edited)
1 hour ago, James Gibson said:

My theory is ASIB got nominated for AOTY on straight vote but then the committee that existed back then blocked it and gave Gaga a SOTY nod as a consolation prize

Honestly this sounds possible too. Similar to how Fortnight got a ROTY nom and DWAS did not. Because an artist cannot be nominated more than one in the Pop Duo categories, and they nominated Post Malone with Beyonce, they gave TSwift a consolation price by nominating Fortnight in ROTY and probably removed DWAS, which was the last song to be released and has not peaked at that time. It was easier to exclude 

although my unpopular opinion is that ASIB is not aoty worthy lol. It just has Shallow, ARUTW and Is That Alright. Everything else is just normal movie music. 

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andy232000
Posted (edited)
1 hour ago, James Gibson said:

that was a very weak year, they released strategically right next to voting while pushing many tony supporters to vote for his last record, besides its known nomination phase has a very low turnout of votes. it was def very well coordinated campaign from tony's team which payed off.

lets see how gaga's camp promotes her for grammy voters nearer the season, but considering how many gigs she has lined up and how pop is not shaping up to be competitive this year she has a shot for a nomination, I believe.

This year is shaping up to be incredibly weak in Pop fields. If they can replicate a similar LFS Campaign we should be golden. Its almost impossible that no Pop records are nominated for aoty, and even with Miley Cyruses and Ed Sheeran imminent releases, out of sheer name Gaga is still pulling up ahead in Pop, 

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bionic
On 3/16/2025 at 5:46 PM, thetorturedlovers said:

These are the albums that woudl get my vote (“alt” is my very close second choice)

2016: 1989 

2017: 25 (alt: Lemonade)

2018: Melodrama 

2019: Golden Hour 

2020: When We All Fall Asleep, Where Do We Go? (alt: Norman F****** Rockwell)

2021: folklore (alt: Future Nostalgia)

2022: SOUR (alt: evermore)

2023: RENAISSANCE 

2024: Midnights (alt: SOS)

2025: HIT ME HARD AND SOFT (alt: Short n’ Sweet)

2026: GNX

thank god you aren't in charge of the recording academy

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