US Election Voting Tracker

[TylerMedeiros 850]

3 hours ago, Morphine Prince said:

Anyone else need Xanax to get through the next 2 weeks? 

Why yes, Morphine Prince. I’m glad I am prescribed it. That will be all. Mommala has **** to do brb 

[Morphine Prince 109,649]

Please GOD 

[Guest]

6 hours ago, Ladle Ghoulash said:

So I just saw this from the NYT and thought it was interesting:

So basically, if the polls are currently undercounting Dems like they did in 2022, Harris would be on track to win 303 EV and comfortably win the election.

But ofc, not of that happens w/o y’all mf’ers in the swing states showing up and voting!! Let’s do it bby 

this is also what Lichtman has been saying. According to him polls even predicted a special 2024 race (when the George Santos seat was vacant) on the day of its election going red in a district that wasn't very easily up for Dems in elections before, instead it went comfortably blue and it was this year. According to him after Roe polls have been critically underestimating Dems. Just look at the midterms. Don't know how legit he is though. 

[TylerMedeiros 850]

17 minutes ago, chromaticainmyhead said:

this is also what Lichtman has been saying. According to him polls even predicted a special 2024 race (when the George Santos seat was vacant) on the day of its election going red in a district that wasn't very easily up for Dems in elections before, instead it went comfortably blue and it was this year. According to him after Roe polls have been critically underestimating Dems. Just look at the midterms. Don't know how legit he is though. 

I don’t care about polls. America will decide on Election Day. I’m optimistic that Trump will be in our past.

 

i am worried tho that he wasn’t the first joker, but someone else way worse will take over the GOP. 
 

We have never been a perfect nation, but It is time for Americans to unite. Trump it’s dangerous, there’s literally no comparison between the two. 

Mic drop, now serve me one of those mamala sandwiches, Don 🤣

[Ladle Ghoulash 52,535]

23 minutes ago, chromaticainmyhead said:

this is also what Lichtman has been saying. According to him polls even predicted a special 2024 race (when the George Santos seat was vacant) on the day of its election going red in a district that wasn't very easily up for Dems in elections before, instead it went comfortably blue and it was this year. According to him after Roe polls have been critically underestimating Dems. Just look at the midterms. Don't know how legit he is though. 

Although I’m not a huge fan of his, I do also tend to believe that the polls seem to be undercounting Dem support post Roe, so hopefully that pans out 🤞

[sarahb 17,185]

33 minutes ago, Morphine Prince said:

Please GOD 

A lot of those people are wearing blue clothes 

[Bronco 24,802]

1 hour ago, Morphine Prince said:

Please GOD 

I'd kill for Texas to flip or the Cruz to lose at minimum

But I can't get optimistic because I remember this exact feeling with Beto's campaign..

[Monstermilo 5,471]

god help us all if he wins again 

project 2025 is the most terrifying thing the right has pushed in the last 30 years. 

idk if i can handle another trump admin

[Bronco 24,802]

55 minutes ago, Ladle Ghoulash said:

Although I’m not a huge fan of his, I do also tend to believe that the polls seem to be undercounting Dem support post Roe, so hopefully that pans out 🤞

Its been a consistent thing since the fabled Red wave of 2022 was killed by the surf breakers that Dem support is undercounted. 

And pro choice campaigners have done a good job again this year getting abortion on the ballot 

[Max 22,003]

10 hours ago, PartySick said:

They do change but with increasing polarization we're looking at the same states more often now. Those are:

Michigan

Wisconsin

Pennsylvania

Nebraska's 2nd district

Arizona

Nevada

Georgia

North Carolina

If Kamala wins Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin, and Nebraska's 2nd then she wins the election. She's got Nebraska's 2nd on lock pretty much and she's leading in both the polls and voting in the three states, usually grouped together as "the Rust Belt" or "Blue Wall" states.

She's likely winning Nevada as well but it'll be tighter than usual it seems.

I'm still confident she'll eek out a victory in Arizona too. A Democrat is winning their senate race and there's an abortion referendum on the ballot. Republican voters lead Democrats so far but anywhere from 5% to 10% of Republicans are defecting to Kamala and due to Trump's strategy this time, these early votes could just be a sign of him cannibalizing his election day votes. In other words, Republican votes may be front loaded more now than they were in 2020 or 2022.

Things are looking ok in North Carolina but I'll be surprised if Kamala takes that one.

Georgia may be a lost cause but we won't know until it's over.

Classically, Republicans used to do better with early voting and Democrats did better on election day. That swapped in 2020 and now we have this weird amalgamation of the two. Nobody really knows what to expect as far as turnout but so far it's looking pretty good for Kamala

This explanation ended me so hard I didn’t come online for 10 hours. Thank you lots… rooting for you guys for Kamala to win it! 

[PartySick 172,427]

4 hours ago, TylerMedeiros said:

i am worried tho that he wasn’t the first joker, but someone else way worse will take over the GOP. 

It's likely someone even worse will come along but they'll be sorely lacking the charisma to build the kind of cult of personality Trump has.

Project 2025 doesn't go away, it just becomes Project 2029. That's why we have to continue crushing Republicans until they learn Americans don't want this extremist bullsh*t. We want REAL conservatives to bounce progressive ideals off of so we can form pragmatic solutions to very real problems.

Like the border bill! It was heavily conservative leaning but in addition to securing the southern border it opened the door to real immigration reform to make it easier for people to become legal residents or even citizens. That's a win-win. But when the right stops saying "secure the border" and starts saying "put immigrants in concentration camps, I don't care if they're legal"...you can't negotiate with that.

[Morphine Prince 109,649]

The TX update  51% Rep, 40% Dem

I am not sure how they're getting this data as in TX you don't register under any party. 

[Morphine Prince 109,649]

Only 22% of the electorate being under 50 years old is what's wrong with this country. I don't understand why Gen X, Millennials, and Gen Z are just letting older people take control of OUR future. 

[djBuffoon 12,235]

Something to keep in mind: a LOT of Republicans will be voting blue this year. 

[Bronco 24,802]

56 minutes ago, Morphine Prince said:

Only 22% of the electorate being under 50 years old is what's wrong with this country. I don't understand why Gen X, Millennials, and Gen Z are just letting older people take control of OUR future. 

Relax, early voting figures rarely post high young person turnout. Younger voters typically turn out on Election day rather than in advance.