US Election Voting Tracker

[Morphine Prince 109,683]

I’m really hating the leftists on Twitter saying they want Harris to lose. These people are insufferable and it’s a reason I don’t want to be associated with them even though I have a lot of leftist views tbh. 

[Shadow 6,697]

Harris has 4-point lead over Trump in final PBS News/NPR/Marist election poll

https://www.pbs.org/newshour/politics/harris-has-4-point-lead-over-trump-in-final-pbs-news-npr-marist-election-poll

[Ladle Ghoulash 53,270]

One of my favorite trends in this thread is that folks who aren’t following the race or the polling at all will occasionally come in for a drive-by doomer post, usually based on nothing lmao. 

[sarahb 17,188]

17 minutes ago, Morphine Prince said:

I’m really hating the leftists on Twitter saying they want Harris to lose. These people are insufferable and it’s a reason I don’t want to be associated with them even though I have a lot of leftist views tbh. 

Some people really need to learn the phrase "don't let perfect be the enemy of good"

[sarahb 17,188]

From Victory Insights, a Republican firm:

FLORIDA @VictoryPolling poll:

🔴 Trump 51% (+4)

🔵 Harris 47%

Senate:

Scott (R-Inc) 51% (+4)

Mucarsel-Powell (D) 47%

400 LV, 11/1-2

 

Blorida, Blorida, Blorida

[LateToCult 41,863]

Wait. Why do people suddenly think there’s a shift to Trump? Who shot up the Taco Bell?

[Bronco 25,209]

7 minutes ago, LateToCult said:

Wait. Why do people suddenly think there’s a shift to Trump? Who shot up the Taco Bell?

Its the Peanut Squirrel vote

49 minutes ago, Shadow said:

Harris has 4-point lead over Trump in final PBS News/NPR/Marist election poll

https://www.pbs.org/newshour/politics/harris-has-4-point-lead-over-trump-in-final-pbs-news-npr-marist-election-poll

https://x.com/IanSams/status/1853488490102583651?t=2JSxjsHgRLSkZOnnVY6AEA&s=19

Also from the Marist poll.

Trump down from a +16% lead among male voters to just +4%. 

Harris leading with women by +11%.

[LateToCult 41,863]

2 hours ago, chromaticainmyhead said:

How many seats do Dems need to hold in order to keep the senate?

Well, it’s a little trickier to show the math for the Senate because not every seat is up for grabs, but essentially these are the important states:

Michigan - we think we can win

Wisconsin - we think we can win

Arizona - we think we can win

Nevada - we think we can win, even if we lose the state.

Pennsylvania - we think we can win even if we lose the state

Ohio - we think we can win even though we are going to lose the state, but it could be close.

Those 6 competitive seats get to 49. To go 50/50 in the senate and have Walz break tie votes, we need 1 more seat and that where the math gets tricky. We need at least one of the four seats:

Nebraska: Super Republican seat BUT the independent candidate is in a dead heat against the Republican. If he wins, he may caucus with Democrats. Unfortunately, this is looking like our best shot.

Texas: Ted Cruz is VERY unpopular in the state but it may not be enough to finally flip the state blue. Texas is just a little too red still. It would be kind of surprising if the Democrat wins here. Not impossible, but I don’t like our chances.

Montana: The incumbent is actually a Democrat and has won in this Republican state before. Unfortunately he’s behind in the polls because this is a year when Trump is on the ballot and Republicans are going to be voting down the ballot. Extremely unlikely that he keeps his seat. Still, not impossible.

Florida: There was a glimmer of hope that Democrats could take the seat because Rick Scott is unpopular. Early voting data is showing that Republicans are showing up to vote, so very unlikely that the Dems can flip the seat. Again, not impossible but highly unlikely.

[LateToCult 41,863]

9 minutes ago, Bronco said:

Its the Peanut Squirrel vote

Oh, well that actually could be a bit of a spoiler because it’s a story that targets young  men. The group we’re hoping stays home. The last thing we need is a Harambe moment tied to government overreach. 

[Lucas 31,135]

2 hours ago, Rahrahbitchson said:

I see a lot of news predicting/saying that Trump is gonna win, what is going on  

Well, Trumpists are showing polls of Trump winning and Democrats are showing polls of Kamala winning. At this point polls we see online on social are probably mostly biased. We'll never know the real answer until the votes are in AND IF TRUMP DOESNT OVERTURN ELECTION...

[Ladle Ghoulash 53,270]

Jon Ralston (a veteran voter data analyst in Nevada) predicts a narrow Harris victory in the state. 

Prediction: Harris, 48.5 percent; Trump 48.2 percent; others and None of These Candidates, 3.3 percent.

 

https://thenevadaindependent.com/article/editor-jon-ralstons-2024-nevada-election-predictions

[Ladle Ghoulash 53,270]

10 minutes ago, LateToCult said:

Oh, well that actually could be a bit of a spoiler because it’s a story that targets young  men. The group we’re hoping stays home. The last thing we need is a Harambe moment tied to government overreach. 

Ngl the only people I’ve heard talk about this are deep (and I’m talking DEEP) into conservative echo chambers on Twitter.

[LateToCult 41,863]

Ralston predicts that there will be a lot of late mail in Clark county that will favor Harris. He thinks she will win Nevada by 0.2%.
 

Important to note that Ralston isn’t the best at predicting the winner this far out. He shines on Election Day and after when he sees votes coming in.  

[Ladle Ghoulash 53,270]

Just now, LateToCult said:

Ralston predicts that there will be a lot of late mail in Clark county that will favor Harris. He thinks she will win Nevada by 0.2%.
 

Important to note that Ralston isn’t the best at predicting the winner this far out. He shines on Election Day and after when he sees votes coming in.  

He predicted 0.3% (not that it’s that huge of a difference, but still lol) 

[Lucas 31,135]

Y'all this election is so important. As you all know the extreme right party in France which was created by a Nazi and currently being run by neo-nazis fans of Hitler, Putin and Trump are rising.

I'm on TikTok and these dumb****s of neo-nazi people are saying that Trump being a 34 times felon, 26 times sexual assaulter, 2 times impeached president etc... is fake and just propaganda. These people are denying FACTS in the most casual way it is SCARY how dumb some people can be.

I simply do not understand why SO MANY MEN suddenly started WORSHIPPING this douchebag.