US Election Voting Tracker

[LateToCult 41,861]

Republicans now have a 40k ballot lead in Nevada. Don’t think independents are going to break for Kamala. It just doesn’t make sense for Indy voters to show up early for her but not Democrats. If we don’t see big changes in the next few days I think the state is lost. 

[PartySick 172,545]

1 hour ago, sarahb said:

https://xcancel.com/SethAbramson/status/1851092122004300089

Seth Abramson@SethAbramson

BREAKING: I've been writing all day about the first polls coming out in *non*-battleground red states and showing how many of them are indicating Harris at 40%+. Nebraska, Montana, South Carolina, Missouri, Alaska. I was waiting for the first Kansas poll and... ...holy sh*t?

🧑🏿‍🔬Sabio Scientist, MPH, MBA 🧬🧫🔬🦠@SabioScientist

Replying to @SethAbramson

For reference, Kansas went 56%-57% for Trump in 2016(+21%) and 2020(+15%), Trump only winning by +5% with 48% is HUGELY telling in favor of Democrats to say the absolute least.

 

Oh yeah, Kansas has always been one of the states people have watched. "Blansas" (Blue Kansas) has been a thing for a while  

I'm excited to see the last poll out of Iowa as well

[PartySick 172,545]

43 minutes ago, Morphine Prince said:

Holy… 

W...wow, guys!  look at all the Republicans in Florida that are definitely breaking for Harris

Fl...Florida's so in play! Love my Sunshine State!  

[sarahb 17,188]

Less dooming more blooming 

[sarahb 17,188]

https://www.threads.net/@kamalaharris/post/DBsJbbQCVcm?hl=en

[PartySick 172,545]

46 minutes ago, sarahb said:

Less dooming more blooming 

¡Bendito Boricua!

[PartySick 172,545]

Trump's campaign said the Puerto Rico joke (and other racist comments) "don't reflect the views of the former president"

"They don't reflect his views in the same way a mirror doesn't reflect a vampire's image, but it still exposes it for what it is" - bars from a YouTube comment 🔥 

[SpadesToStart 3,810]

2 hours ago, sarahb said:

https://xcancel.com/SethAbramson/status/1851092122004300089

Seth Abramson@SethAbramson

BREAKING: I've been writing all day about the first polls coming out in *non*-battleground red states and showing how many of them are indicating Harris at 40%+. Nebraska, Montana, South Carolina, Missouri, Alaska. I was waiting for the first Kansas poll and... ...holy sh*t?

🧑🏿‍🔬Sabio Scientist, MPH, MBA 🧬🧫🔬🦠@SabioScientist

Replying to @SethAbramson

For reference, Kansas went 56%-57% for Trump in 2016(+21%) and 2020(+15%), Trump only winning by +5% with 48% is HUGELY telling in favor of Democrats to say the absolute least.

 

This continues to suggest that the swing state polls have been twisted to high hell by even reputable pollsters to avoid underestimating Trump. Somehow Harris is outperforming 2020 Biden by 10 points in Kansas, yet falling short of 2020 Biden in the swing states? I call BS.

Vote! Let’s put some pollsters out of business on November 5th. 

 

[Morphine Prince 109,683]

6 hours ago, HelloHangoverz said:

Is this normal? And is that the final count of Florida's early votes or is counting ongoing?

Yes, Trump won Florida in 2016 and 2020.

Election Day isn't until Nov 5 lol. This is early voting data, these are also votes based on party registration not necessarily who they voted for but this is data that can be used to make a guess on how it will actually go. 

[Morphine Prince 109,683]

6 hours ago, LateToCult said:

Republicans now have a 40k ballot lead in Nevada. Don’t think independents are going to break for Kamala. It just doesn’t make sense for Indy voters to show up early for her but not Democrats. If we don’t see big changes in the next few days I think the state is lost. 

I think NV will be the real flip the election as they haven't gone red since 2004. 

I also think AZ is gone.

I'm counting on the Blue Wall + GA and NC is looking favorable so far for Harris. 

[Ladle Ghoulash 53,185]

This data has probably been shared elsewhere on this thread, but this was my daily dose of hopium 

 

 

 

[Bronco 25,158]

8 hours ago, LateToCult said:

Republicans now have a 40k ballot lead in Nevada. Don’t think independents are going to break for Kamala. It just doesn’t make sense for Indy voters to show up early for her but not Democrats. If we don’t see big changes in the next few days I think the state is lost. 

I disagree. 
To register as non-party affiliated/independent already is a step more politically concious than the average voter. To then register for early voting as a non alligned voter again is a higher level of political engagement than average. 

So at that point it's not crazy to think independents could be a bigger EV turn out than more casual voters who put off/ignore EV registrations even if they identify as Rep or Dem. 

[Bronco 25,158]

2 hours ago, Morphine Prince said:

I also think AZ is gone.

 

There's abortion access related provisions on the ballot in AZ, don't rule out a similar trend in voting as what we saw in 2022. 

[Ladle Ghoulash 53,185]

1 hour ago, Bronco said:

There's abortion access related provisions on the ballot in AZ, don't rule out a similar trend in voting as what we saw in 2022. 

Not to mention the GOP nominee for Senate is very very unpopular (and is trailing Trump in the polls). Decent possibility that the final count narrows the projected distance between Trump and Lake and erodes Trump’s lead if even a fraction of Gallego’s hypothetical split ticket voters decide to vote down ballot Dem instead.

[Bronco 25,158]

48 minutes ago, Ladle Ghoulash said:

Not to mention the GOP nominee for Senate is very very unpopular (and is trailing Trump in the polls). Decent possibility that the final count narrows the projected distance between Trump and Lake and erodes Trump’s lead if even a fraction of Gallego’s hypothetical split ticket voters decide to vote down ballot Dem instead.

Yeah last I saw Lake was posting about 41%. Well behind Trump and would absolutely drag a ticket down