Morphine Prince 109,656 Posted October 25, 2024 Author Share Posted October 25, 2024 The streets are saying New Hampshire could flip for Trump…. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bronco 25,122 Posted October 25, 2024 Share Posted October 25, 2024 19 minutes ago, Morphine Prince said: The streets are saying New Hampshire could flip for Trump…. He's cut her lead. But she's still ahead by +3. I think the polls are going to have a bad year just like they did in 2022 & 2016 tbh. There's no way in this final stretch Trump & Harris have done anything to move the needle the way the pollsters are suggesting. The gays know how to party Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
27monster27 15,859 Posted October 25, 2024 Share Posted October 25, 2024 4 hours ago, Bronco said: So Lancaster County, PA has just foiled a voter fraud scheme. News Conf on it coming at 11.30am local time for PA. Not entirely sure how strong the sources are for the following tweets. But they are suggesting it was a Republican scam - appears to have targeted Amish voters. This is the second one in PA I'm hearing about. The first was in Bucks, now in Lancaster. This is concerning. he/him/his Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Posted October 25, 2024 Share Posted October 25, 2024 53 minutes ago, Morphine Prince said: The streets are saying New Hampshire could flip for Trump…. Source? Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
phantasmas 12,366 Posted October 25, 2024 Share Posted October 25, 2024 my state of California has sent out about 23 million ballots and only 3 million have been cast the low voter participation every cycle always shocks me but doesnt surprise me Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morphine Prince 109,656 Posted October 25, 2024 Author Share Posted October 25, 2024 7 minutes ago, chromaticainmyhead said: Source? Latest polling has Harris only up 3 points Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Posted October 25, 2024 Share Posted October 25, 2024 50 minutes ago, Bronco said: He's cut her lead. But she's still ahead by +3. I think the polls are going to have a bad year just like they did in 2022 & 2016 tbh. There's no way in this final stretch Trump & Harris have done anything to move the needle the way the pollsters are suggesting. From a gut feeling I'll say Harris is indeed losing ground but at the same time reports are saying ground game for Democrats is much better than Republicans who outsourced it. I'm almost certain that the large turnout is in favor for Democrats yet I cannot put my finger on which scenario makes more sense bc the turnout records by Republicans is also existent and if it's true that these people feel enthusiastic by Trump to early vote, I doubt they'll vote for Democrats lol Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Posted October 25, 2024 Share Posted October 25, 2024 19 minutes ago, phantasmas said: my state of California has sent out about 23 million ballots and only 3 million have been cast the low voter participation every cycle always shocks me but doesnt surprise me Is it bc it is not a swing state? Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
PartySick 172,535 Posted October 25, 2024 Share Posted October 25, 2024 1 hour ago, Morphine Prince said: The streets are saying New Hampshire could flip for Trump…. Outlier poll tbh. All other polls have her at a near 10pt lead and the average is well outside the margin of error Whimsical bitch Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
JGD 12,098 Posted October 26, 2024 Share Posted October 26, 2024 59 minutes ago, phantasmas said: my state of California has sent out about 23 million ballots and only 3 million have been cast the low voter participation every cycle always shocks me but doesnt surprise me I plan on voting in person on Election Day Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
PartySick 172,535 Posted October 26, 2024 Share Posted October 26, 2024 1 hour ago, phantasmas said: my state of California has sent out about 23 million ballots and only 3 million have been cast the low voter participation every cycle always shocks me but doesnt surprise me Democrats take it for granted that CA is blue and Republicans figure "what's the point". There won't be a shift in that dynamic until CA has a close election. I'm watching New York. It's slowly been trending right but that's mostly due to higher GOP turnout and complacent Democrats. Also a Democratic state party that's more interested in squashing progressives than they are in beating Republicans Whimsical bitch Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
PartySick 172,535 Posted October 26, 2024 Share Posted October 26, 2024 Can I offer some hopium? Tl:dw - Republicans' early vote lead means nothing 'cause we don't know how much it's just cannibalizing their election day turn out. 2024 is not 2020. However, if you compare it to 2020, Biden won with 51% of the vote. If trends continue as they are, Kamala will win ~53% of the vote or more which would be a blow out giving her every swing state. Take that with a grain of salt of course 'cause nobody knows for sure how turnout breaks over the next two weeks. Just saying, that's the trend. Kamala is not in the low-80% with black voters like the polls say. She will win 90%+ of them. The independents and people who say "I need to know more about her" will break for her over Trump because voters will not support a candidate they know and hate over a candidate they don't know well. She's run her numbers up with white voters, specifically suburban women. Democrats have not lost an election in two years and Kamala has everything going for her. A better convention, a better debate performance, the economic data is exceeding expectations, more endorsements from not only her own party but from her opponent's party, and a more energetic campaign. Trump has former staff abandoning him or actively campaigning against his reelection, he's cancelling interviews and comes off as unhinged and senile on stage, he's having new scandals thrown at him, and something the video didn't mention in this section is he's outsourced his ground game to a lazy billionaire and volunteers who aren't even doing 25% of the work they say they are. The early vote is a mutated red mirage and Democrats are catching up in every state that they're behind in and maintaining or expanding leads where we're ahead. Almost a hundred Republican or right wing pollsters have dumped garbage polls into the averages with the intention of giving Trump an out on Nov 5th where he'll declare victory at 9pm regardless and say "the polls have me ahead bigly, either I won or it's stolen". He'll throw his little fit and try to start a legal battle over the election results but the joke's on him. Elections used to be run on good faith but now there's actual laws surrounding certifications and how you challenge results. Trump is losing. Kamala is winning. That's my feelings at least these men with decades of experience make an incredibly compelling case for cautious optimism. Whimsical bitch Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morphine Prince 109,656 Posted October 26, 2024 Author Share Posted October 26, 2024 “Florida is in play” dying a slow death every day. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
PartySick 172,535 Posted October 26, 2024 Share Posted October 26, 2024 1 hour ago, Morphine Prince said: “Florida is in play” dying a slow death every day. "I'm"* Instead of "he's" Whimsical bitch Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
PartySick 172,535 Posted October 26, 2024 Share Posted October 26, 2024 I hope Democrats turn tf out in Florida on election day just to prove y'all wrong! Whimsical bitch Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
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