US Election Voting Tracker

[sarahb 17,185]

Here have a dose of hopium

https://www.threads.net/@keithedwards/post/DBfdogNOeu7

Dunno if those percentages are normal but hey can't hurt

[PartySick 172,427]

2 hours ago, sarahb said:

Here have a dose of hopium

https://www.threads.net/@keithedwards/post/DBfdogNOeu7

Dunno if those percentages are normal but hey can't hurt

Not the world's largest sausage party haha

Have some more hopium. This guy's sentiments on the face pretty much match my own:

You only really need to watch the first 10 minutes or so.

And disclaimer, Idk who this dude it, YouTube is auto playing political videos so sorry if he's like a whack job or something but...I still agree with what he says

[PartySick 172,427]

GUYS

GUYS 🚨 🚨 🚨

My DEEPLY MAGA pilled uncle and I are at the hospital right now and we were just chatting. He's always been more reasonable to talk to about stuff in spite of his support for Trump so the election came up.

HE VOTED FOR KAMALA 

He even called Trump a "piece of sh*t", it was the veteran stuff that finally got through to him 'cause he's a vet 

I mean, he also voted for Rick Scott and no on the weed and abortion amendments but STILL

I'm stunned

[Bronco 24,802]

4 hours ago, sarahb said:

Here have a dose of hopium

https://www.threads.net/@keithedwards/post/DBfdogNOeu7

Dunno if those percentages are normal but hey can't hurt

Does suggest a similar voting story to 2022.

The Roe wave so to speak.

[Morphine Prince 109,649]

This is going to be a nail biter. 

Part of me feels NC could go blue and NV could go red. 

 

[Ayesha Erotica 1,924]

Trump's upcoming victory is made possible by the fact that young democrat-leaning (d-l) people (defined as up to 29 years old) who are originally from one of the swing states, have moved to and now live in Los Angeles, other Cali big city, Chicago and New York City or nearby New Jersey.

And now their vote is missing in the swing states and is instead in New York State, California and Illinois, where their vote is superfluous because these states are democratic anyway. By moving, these people's votes are effectively wasted and not strategically used. Of course, I don't blame anyone for (not) moving just to be able to vote strategically, there are more important things in personal life  but we are now seeing the tremendous consequences of that.

Let us take a closer look on the map and see where the swing states are. Wisconcin and Michigan basically are around Illinois and close to Chicago.

Metropolitan New York is sandwiched by Pa. and North Carolina and draws democrat-leaning people from there, effectively turning Pa. and NC into Republican states.

Same for California which drawing d-l people from nearby Arizona and Nevada.

Georgia is the only state where no Republican advantage moving is observed.

As I've written moving to a strong Dem state is effectively wasting a vote. "Illinois is a Democratic stronghold in presidential elections and one of the "Big Three" Democratic strongholds alongside California and New York. It is one of the most Democratic states in the nation with all state executive offices and both state legislative branches held by Democrats."

I know some people for whom the next biggest city in their state isn't good enough, it has to be NYC, LA or another super big city. And then they leave their states, well, then their vote is lost there and that's how Trump wins because every percentage matters in the swing states but not in NY.

Ironically, it is the Big Three Democratic states New York, Cali and Illinois, above all New York City that make Trmup the winner by strategically shifting votes in Trump's favor, by accumulating democratic votes from neighbouring states in the greater region, therefore depriving them of their democratic %.

I know some very progressive liberals who look down on their rural home states like there's nothing there and consider those states as a rural wasteland that is boring, and they're so pro-Harris and feel as if there are first-class because they are now very urban, but those same people are ultimately to blame for Trump winning.

[PartySick 172,427]

44 minutes ago, AyeshaErotica said:

Trump's upcoming victory is made possible by the fact that young democrat-leaning (d-l) people (defined as up to 29 years old) who are originally from one of the swing states, have moved to and now live in Los Angeles, other Cali big city, Chicago and New York City or nearby New Jersey.

And now their vote is missing in the swing states and is instead in New York State, California and Illinois, where their vote is superfluous because these states are democratic anyway. By moving, these people's votes are effectively wasted and not strategically used. Of course, I don't blame anyone for (not) moving just to be able to vote strategically, there are more important things in personal life  but we are now seeing the tremendous consequences of that.

Let us take a closer look on the map and see where the swing states are. Wisconcin and Michigan basically are around Illinois and close to Chicago.

Metropolitan New York is sandwiched by Pa. and North Carolina and draws democrat-leaning people from there, effectively turning Pa. and NC into Republican states.

Same for California which drawing d-l people from nearby Arizona and Nevada.

Georgia is the only state where no Republican advantage moving is observed.

As I've written moving to a strong Dem state is effectively wasting a vote. "Illinois is a Democratic stronghold in presidential elections and one of the "Big Three" Democratic strongholds alongside California and New York. It is one of the most Democratic states in the nation with all state executive offices and both state legislative branches held by Democrats."

I know some people for whom the next biggest city in their state isn't good enough, it has to be NYC, LA or another super big city. And then they leave their states, well, then their vote is lost there and that's how Trump wins because every percentage matters in the swing states but not in NY.

Ironically, it is the Big Three Democratic states New York, Cali and Illinois, above all New York City that make Trmup the winner by strategically shifting votes in Trump's favor, by accumulating democratic votes from neighbouring states in the greater region, therefore depriving them of their democratic %.

I know some very progressive liberals who look down on their rural home states like there's nothing there and consider those states as a rural wasteland that is boring, and they're so pro-Harris and feel as if there are first-class because they are now very urban, but those same people are ultimately to blame for Trump winning.

You speak as if Trump is on track to win and he's not

[sarahb 17,185]

https://x.com/blankslate2017/status/1849469028084920628?t=36Img1oTqEJbIO8q6rpBBg&s=19

Marist polling of early voters:

AZ: Harris 55 Trump 44

NC: Harris 55 Trump 43

GA: Harris 54 Trump 45. 

[Bronco 24,802]

31 minutes ago, sarahb said:

https://x.com/blankslate2017/status/1849469028084920628?t=36Img1oTqEJbIO8q6rpBBg&s=19

Marist polling of early voters:

AZ: Harris 55 Trump 44

NC: Harris 55 Trump 43

GA: Harris 54 Trump 45. 

Best news (non-gaga) all week. That suggests a very very good Never Trump vote in key states

[Morphine Prince 109,649]

She’s winning PA if things continue like this. 

[Bronco 24,802]

7 minutes ago, Morphine Prince said:

She’s winning PA if things continue like this. 

Honestly I feel like the Rust Belt is locked in for Harris. 

Arizona, NC, Nevada & Georgia are the main ones to watch imo. 

My gut says she carries Az & NC. Georgia will be a knife edge & I think Nevada is a lost cause given the Trump campaign is putting extra effort in there. 

She hits 2070 exactly if she carries Pa, Wi, Mn & Michigan so getting any of the others just bolsters her win (which will be needed for the shenanigans Trump will try sadly). 

Its definitely not settled yet. But I feel like Trump has a narrower path to victory given the states he needs to flip where as Kamala atm has the stronger path of defending leads in key states.

[PartySick 172,427]

39 minutes ago, Bronco said:

Honestly I feel like the Rust Belt is locked in for Harris. 

Arizona, NC, Nevada & Georgia are the main ones to watch imo. 

My gut says she carries Az & NC. Georgia will be a knife edge & I think Nevada is a lost cause given the Trump campaign is putting extra effort in there. 

She hits 2070 exactly if she carries Pa, Wi, Mn & Michigan so getting any of the others just bolsters her win (which will be needed for the shenanigans Trump will try sadly). 

Its definitely not settled yet. But I feel like Trump has a narrower path to victory given the states he needs to flip where as Kamala atm has the stronger path of defending leads in key states.

I agree with all of this except for Nevada. I'm still not sold on the idea of it flipping red just yet but I acknowledge it as a possibility.

Either way, I'm more and more sure Kamala's winning this election.

[Bronco 24,802]

42 minutes ago, PartySick said:

I agree with all of this except for Nevada. I'm still not sold on the idea of it flipping red just yet but I acknowledge it as a possibility.

Either way, I'm more and more sure Kamala's winning this election.

That's fair. Nevada is still a toss up state, I just feel like the metrics have been more consistently trending Red in the state this year where as the other toss up states have been consistent toss ups or recent Rep lean to toss up conversions. 

[sarahb 17,185]

3 hours ago, Bronco said:

Best news (non-gaga) all week. That suggests a very very good Never Trump vote in key states

According to the poll even boomers are breaking for her

"While members of Gen X divide (51% for Harris to 48% for Trump), Harris has majority support among GenZ/Millennials (53%) and among Baby Boomers/the Silent-Greatest Generations (55%)."

https://maristpoll.marist.edu/polls/the-u-s-presidential-contest-october-16-2024/

[PartySick 172,427]

6 minutes ago, sarahb said:

According to the poll even boomers are breaking for her

"While members of Gen X divide (51% for Harris to 48% for Trump), Harris has majority support among GenZ/Millennials (53%) and among Baby Boomers/the Silent-Greatest Generations (55%)."

https://maristpoll.marist.edu/polls/the-u-s-presidential-contest-october-16-2024/

I wonder how many of those gen x'ers and boomers are going to the polls thinking stuff like "abortion, queer rights, civil rights, fascism, Nazism - we fought that sh*t before so our kids wouldn't have to and here were are again"

There's two things I can't get out of my head.

The first is that older lesbian, whose name I don't remember, back in 2016 after Trump won basically telling all of us young LGBTQ people that her generation fought, bled, and died to create a better world for us but we have to fight now too.

The other is how all these women keep repeating "we live in a country where my daughters have fewer rights than I did".

It just shows us not to get complacent no matter what we achieve. Trump has walked this country back by half a century or more over the last 8 years