Ladle Ghoulash 55,280 Posted October 22, 2024 Share Posted October 22, 2024 1 hour ago, PartySick said: His prediction is meaningless to me He still considers incumbency to be a strength and that's just not the case anymore tbh He also only has the predictive track record he has because he changed the criterion multiple times. When Gore lost, he changed the criterion to, “The Keys only predict the popular vote, not necessarily the outcome,” and then when Trump won, he magically decided that his prediction was because the system had actually always been about the outcome/Electoral College We have forgotten our public MANNERS Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
GregJA 5,604 Posted October 22, 2024 Share Posted October 22, 2024 1 hour ago, HelloHangoverz said: Are polls still neck and neck? edit: just checked, a 1.7 lead in national polls? (My knowledge of current US politics is what I get from surface level googling)....that's good I suppose but still mind boggling given who she's up against. The only thing was Biden was up 7.5 at this point and Hillary was up 6.2 so 1.7 is abysmal BUT they may have improved their polling technique Mr. No Award Winner 2020 Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cameltoe Chariot 15,310 Posted October 22, 2024 Share Posted October 22, 2024 2 hours ago, ALGAYDO said: I’m so nervous I’ve been queefing through my ass all day and gonna continue so until the final count. you kill me sis Worst case scenario I've got a couch in Canada if you need to get out! Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
PartySick 174,197 Posted October 22, 2024 Share Posted October 22, 2024 13 minutes ago, Ladle Ghoulash said: He also only has the predictive track record he has because he changed the criterion multiple times. When Gore lost, he changed the criterion to, “The Keys only predict the popular vote, not necessarily the outcome,” and then when Trump won, he magically decided that his prediction was because the system had actually always been about the outcome/Electoral College I've never looked that deep into it tbh I thought he was only "wrong" when Gore "lost" (he didn't ). Didn't he predict a Trump win? Whimsical bitch Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
PartySick 174,197 Posted October 22, 2024 Share Posted October 22, 2024 7 minutes ago, GregJA said: The only thing was Biden was up 7.5 at this point and Hillary was up 6.2 so 1.7 is abysmal BUT they may have improved their polling technique THE POLLS ARE BOGUS That average includes all the skewed and ridiculous polling from people like Trafalgar, Atlas, Patriot, etc. It's literally worthless Whimsical bitch Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
GregJA 5,604 Posted October 22, 2024 Share Posted October 22, 2024 2 minutes ago, PartySick said: THE POLLS ARE BOGUS That average includes all the skewed and ridiculous polling from people like Trafalgar, Atlas, Patriot, etc. It's literally worthless Daaaaddd stop shaking me Mr. No Award Winner 2020 Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
PartySick 174,197 Posted October 22, 2024 Share Posted October 22, 2024 1 minute ago, GregJA said: Daaaaddd stop shaking me Don't call me dad omg Whimsical bitch Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
GregJA 5,604 Posted October 22, 2024 Share Posted October 22, 2024 1 minute ago, PartySick said: Don't call me dad omg Mr. No Award Winner 2020 Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ladle Ghoulash 55,280 Posted October 22, 2024 Share Posted October 22, 2024 19 minutes ago, PartySick said: I've never looked that deep into it tbh I thought he was only "wrong" when Gore "lost" (he didn't ). Didn't he predict a Trump win? He predicted a Trump win, but given he switched to Keys = PV victory after what happened with Gore, he was technically wrong because Trump only won the EC. Basically, he retconned him being right about Trump by changing the basis of his prediction. Also he needs to a refund from whoever sold him this hairpiece because GIRL We have forgotten our public MANNERS Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
LateToCult 42,098 Posted October 22, 2024 Share Posted October 22, 2024 Republicans have taken the lead in Nevada. It may actually be Joever in that state. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
GregJA 5,604 Posted October 22, 2024 Share Posted October 22, 2024 5 minutes ago, Ladle Ghoulash said: He predicted a Trump win, but given he switched to Keys = PV victory after what happened with Gore, he was technically wrong because Trump only won the EC. Basically, he retconned him being right about Trump by changing the basis of his prediction. Also he needs to a refund from whoever sold him this hairpiece because GIRL Order me 16 of these wigs Mr. No Award Winner 2020 Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ladle Ghoulash 55,280 Posted October 22, 2024 Share Posted October 22, 2024 2 minutes ago, GregJA said: Order me 16 of these wigs They’re called “Flattened Porcupine Units” and they’re sold on www.wewearroadkill.com/q-pine. Use discount code, “GHOULASH” for 30% off your first purchase! We have forgotten our public MANNERS Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
sarahb 17,243 Posted October 22, 2024 Share Posted October 22, 2024 Reminder that Trump has been encouraging early voting for his base this time around Do you feel him sir? Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ladle Ghoulash 55,280 Posted October 22, 2024 Share Posted October 22, 2024 1 hour ago, LateToCult said: Republicans have taken the lead in Nevada. It may actually be Joever in that state. EDIT: The closest reference point we have for post COVID early voting is 2022, which was only D+2, but when all was said and done, the Dems still won 3 out of 4 House seats and flipped the Senate, so with a few days of early voting left and some Dem heavy counties yet to be counted (as well as not knowing how indies broke), an 8k def is by no means insurmountable. We have forgotten our public MANNERS Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ladle Ghoulash 55,280 Posted October 22, 2024 Share Posted October 22, 2024 1 minute ago, sarahb said: Reminder that Trump has been encouraging early voting for his base this time around And we’re not the in the middle of a global pandemic in which one party was more likely than the other to vote absentee/early. We have forgotten our public MANNERS Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
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