Trump Narrowly Leads Recent CNN's Presidential Election Polls

[RAMROD 117,017]

With presidential primaries underway and a 2020 general election rematch seemingly the most likely outcome, a new CNN poll conducted by SSRSshows former President Donald Trump narrowly ahead of President Joe Biden in what’s shaping up to be a close contest nationally.

The poll highlights voters’ conflicted feelings about the leading candidates. Broad majorities of Democrats and Republicans say they’d be satisfied if their party’s candidate won such a rematch. Still, a sizable minority of voters express a desire for another option if Biden and Trump are the nominees.

Overall, 49% of registered voters say they would back Trump if an election between the two were held today, while 45% support Biden and 5% say they’d vote for someone else. Those numbers are identical to CNN polling on the contest in the fall, and the demographic dynamics of the contest appear to be steady – with a wide education gap among the most notable demographic divides, and smaller differences by age or race than in other recent presidential elections.

Biden’s support among traditionally Democratic-leaning blocs such as younger voters and voters of color has not grown since the fall: Voters younger than 35 remain about evenly split, 49% back Biden and 46% Trump, while voters of color break 57% Biden to 35% Trump.

Most voters on both sides of the hypothetical matchup continue to be more likely to say their choice is about Trump than that it is about Biden (68% of Biden supporters say they’d be voting against Trump rather than for Biden, while 60% of Trump supporters say they’d be voting more for him than against Biden).

A month into the election year, there are few signs of movement in how the public views either candidate. Both Trump and Biden continue to be deeply underwater in favorability ratings (59% of Americans hold an unfavorable view of Biden and 55% have a negative take on Trump), and many say that Biden does not deserve reelection (66%). Americans largely see Trump’s views and policies as “too extreme” (63%), while most see Biden’s views and policies as “generally mainstream” (61%).

The poll finds that a victory by either candidate would leave most of the nation dissatisfied and a substantial share upset.

Voters in the poll were asked whether they would like to see another candidate from within the party they’re closest to run as an independent if Biden were the Democratic nominee and Trump the Republican. Among Democrats and Democratic-leaning independents, 43% say they’d want to see another Democrat make an independent bid alongside a Biden-Trump matchup, while 40% of Republicans and Republican-leaning independents say they would want a Republican candidate to run as an independent in that scenario.

Polling consistently shows that the idea of a third party or independent candidate for president is popular, but in reality, third-party bids rarely generate as much support as pre-election polling would suggest.

 

https://amp.cnn.com/cnn/2024/02/01/politics/cnn-poll-trump-biden-election-2024/index.html
 

Please don't make this rotten orange got back to office again, people!!! The fact it's only narrowly, means we still have a chance! Persuade your boomer & Gen X parents and uncles and aunts to vote for Biden!!

[Didymus 34,380]

Voting for either of those two is dramatically insane and inhumane at this point.

[peto flex 2,641]

42 minutes ago, Didymus said:

Voting for either of those two is dramatically insane and inhumane at this point.

Basically every president nominee for 30 years 🤢🤮

[palma 8,909]

I fully expect Trump to win, and if only he were not a complete monster I would say good riddance to the Dems. If I could vote I'd still vote Biden but lbr he had a terrible term. 

[bionic 50,111]

Father is winning, I know it

[Ayesha Erotica 1,924]

It will be exciting!

we will still have to wait until August, though, until polls become decisive because milliions of Americans make their choice just in the last 4 months or change their mind

[Ghost Face 6,236]

[27monster27 15,850]

PACT act.

Chips and Science Act.

Attempted to relieve student loans.

Is expected to sign an executive order to punish Israeli settlers that hurt Palestinians.

Capping insulin costs for the elderly.

Etc.

----

He doesn't have a clean slate but let's not act like Biden has been terrible. I would still prefer an alternative, but let's be realistic here.

[socotra 3,357]

20 minutes ago, 27monster27 said:

PACT act.

Chips and Science Act.

Attempted to relieve student loans.

Is expected to sign an executive order to punish Israeli settlers that hurt Palestinians.

Capping insulin costs for the elderly.

Etc.

----

He doesn't have a clean slate but let's not act like Biden has been terrible. I would still prefer an alternative, but let's be realistic here.

exactly – the (horribly misnamed) Inflation Reduction Act was the single biggest climate bill in US history, and that passed because of Biden specifically (his unique relationship with WV Senator asshole Joe Manchin)

Biden isn't my first choice, but let's not act like he isn't worlds away from Trump 

[Bronco 24,914]

4 hours ago, RAMROD said:

A month into the election year, there are few signs of movement in how the public views either candidate. Both Trump and Biden continue to be deeply underwater in favorability ratings (59% of Americans hold an unfavorable view of Biden and 55% have a negative take on Trump), and many say that Biden does not deserve reelection (66%). Americans largely see Trump’s views and policies as “too extreme” (63%), while most see Biden’s views and policies as “generally mainstream” (61%).

The poll finds that a victory by either candidate would leave most of the nation dissatisfied and a substantial share upset

This is the important data imo. 

Atm I think the deciding factor in the election is going to be turnout as voter groups are massively enthused. 
I think the Republicans put themselves at risk with the constant focus on voter fraud nonsense - all that does is tell people their votes won't matter. 
But Biden isn't a candidate who inspires people to go out and vote. Democrats need to be smart in battleground states and where possible combine election day with voting days on turn out drivers like abortion measures 

[Nemo 4,410]

This is why polls are bullshit these days.

3 hours ago, RAMROD said:

Americans largely see Trump’s views and policies as “too extreme” (63%), while most see Biden’s views and policies as “generally mainstream” (61%).

This is the only part of the poll that actually makes sense, and it ought to be determinative. The most ridiculous part is

4 hours ago, RAMROD said:

voters of color break 57% Biden to 35% Trump

It's ridiculous for that last number to be anything above zero, and regardless how anybody feels (rightly or wrongly) about Biden, I'd like to remind prospective voters of color that TRUMP HATES YOU. Seriously, it's like, his whole thing. (That and tax cuts for the rich, of course.)

[Creyk 18,636]

Why can't there be a third option?

[Karl 3,575]

People not wanting to vote for either is wild to me, like you have potentially the end of American democracy on one hand or a elderly dude that isn't great on the other, by not voting for either you are dooming trump to win, potentially for longer than 4 years if he gets his way, and will more than likely bring in life changing laws for the queer community, non whites and women. I get that biden isn't ideal and has problems in his own ways but at least he supports continued democracy and won't try to stay in power if he loses! 

[jacs vs looser 5,122]

Trump's winning for sure. The only way I see him loosing is if by some miracle Joe Biden doesn't run, but that's not gonna happen . 

[Ladle Ghoulash 52,629]

4 minutes ago, jacs vs looser said:

Trump's winning for sure. The only way I see him loosing is if by some miracle Joe Biden doesn't run, but that's not gonna happen . 

Sure, Jan 🤣