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Official Discussion Thread: U.S Presidential Election 2020


Jase

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sarahb

So apparently Georgia is gonna have everything counted by 3am ET

*googles current ET time*

Sh*t

Do you feel him sir?
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TWICE on hatius

It really is "election week" :toofunny:. Lord.

But AZ is still blue and we will win this. :hor:

Please ignore the spelling in username. I am a Beyonce stan afterall.
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caulixtla
12 minutes ago, The Clown said:

Okay, so we're looking at another day for AZ.

What about GA, PA and NV. Are those coming in any time soon?

No one is going to spill more tea for seven hours, when GA releases more results. Go to sleep everyone.

I wish I knew how many ballots were left in GA. If we have under 50k ballots left in GA, it’s Trumps. 50-100k, can go either way, depending on proportion of voters, More than 100k ballots left: We have GA.

In terms of AZ, they are saying Trump isn’t getting enough votes to win it. e.g.

 

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Gabi001

Why does the counting take so long? There are not enought people counting? I'm European and I'm used to that election counting takes few hours, not few days :messga:

I'm not having fun tonight.
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littlepotter
28 minutes ago, caulixtla said:

Arizona’s remaining vote in more detail: https://www.azcentral.com/story/news/politics/elections/2020/11/04/latest-batch-trump-gets-share-votes-he-would-need-reclaim-arizona-next-rounds-present-challenges/6169183002/

Summary 530,000 left to count in AZ. With Biden’s current lead, the remaining votes need to be 56% Trump or better for AZ to flip red. I can see why Nate Silver thinks thinks that, while Biden will get it, it’s not in the bag to the point networks can call it.

So biden needs 44% of the 530k to win?

(Please god let me not be a math flop again)

If those 530k are mail in, doesn't it mean it's easy for him to secure that? 

chaeri pls
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bionic
Just now, Gabi001 said:

Why does the counting take so long? There are not enought people counting? I'm European and I'm used to that election counting takes few hours, not few days :messga:

Because, for whatever reason, in the USA the counters suddenly stop and decide to go to bed. And double check, triple check, audit, quadruple check, and authenticate votes

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bionic

Until votes are authenticated, the information we have is basically from journalists harassing election officials into telling them how the count is going

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Prostitute Barbie
Just now, Gabi001 said:

Why does the counting take so long? There are not enought people counting? I'm European and I'm used to that election counting takes few hours, not few days :messga:

It's not coincidence that the states taking so long are the ones that actually matter. They want us to be in the dark this long so Trump can claim rampant fraud took place and steal this election. That being said, this election is effectively over 

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Jonathanholland
2 minutes ago, Gabi001 said:

Why does the counting take so long? There are not enought people counting? I'm European and I'm used to that election counting takes few hours, not few days :messga:

The count of mail-in-ballots is really time consuming. Unpacking the envelope, checking the stamp etc. 

Before there was love, there was silence
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FATCAT

What's the state of the race? State - ETA for updates

Arizona - 24 HoursThere is still outstanding vote in Maricopa county & how the chips will fall is still unclear. Trump has to over-perform in urban cities to take the lead, so there is a chance he could eek it out, however it is unlikely.

Georgia - Thursday Morning - There's around 90k votes outstanding in GA & a majority of it will come from Fulton county, an ATL Metro county, so expectations are that Biden could get upwards of 70% of the remaining vote, so he could easily take the lead if the margin ends up reflecting the 80/20 he's been getting on Fulton Mail-in ballots.

Nevada - Noon Thursday - Next set of results are expected in around 12 hours of this posting, results should pull out for Biden. AFAIK there's not much expectation this will go red after the votes are all counted.

Pennsylvania - Friday+ - Trump leads by 182,561 in Pennsylvania with 1,066,963 mail ballots still uncounted. This is expected to be at least 60% democratic, which would point towards Biden being able to take the lead. It's very possible that Biden gets more than 60% of the remaining vote as well, so this will most likely go blue.

North Carolina - Week+ - We won't know for some time, as the state allows votes to be received and counted as long as they are post-marked on or before election day. Most likely, barring any wild plays, this will be red.

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Supersonic
5 minutes ago, Gabi001 said:

Why does the counting take so long? There are not enought people counting? I'm European and I'm used to that election counting takes few hours, not few days :messga:

German efficiency has trickled down a tiny bit I assume via the EU :ally:

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FATCAT
3 minutes ago, Chic said:

Is that good?

Its probably that they could reach 80/20 margins, so very good

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