Official Discussion Thread: U.S Presidential Election 2020

[caulixtla 2,170]

1 minute ago, Brad said:

Not so much a gift, but more of a "symbiosis" of two energies. I suppose that could mean a "gift" but it isn't my first thought.

OK, I think I means 2♦ in my system them—sorry I forget how poker suits translate to tarot suits. Can “two pentacles” mean “letter”? Maybe indicates a victory by mail-in votes.

The polls were so bad I’m learning the Tarot on election night.

[FATCAT 60,888]

1 minute ago, caulixtla said:

Needle is now 62% GA. Come on, come on, come on, come on... https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/11/03/us/elections/results-georgia.html

And, yes, from now on, guys, I’m predicting presidential elections with cards, not polls (2018 did poll accurately).

I made my predictions based solely on when Joe Scarborough or Kasie Hunt on MSNBC give there "behind the scenes, off the record" comments & it's proving to be pretty accurate haha

[Sloansabbith 136]

Biden will win. It’s just going to be a bit painful. 
 
He doesn’t need Georgia and never planned to get Florida.

Ohio would have been good insurance but it’s okay without it. 
 

[FATCAT 60,888]

The County rn:

 

GGD:

 

[caulixtla 2,170]

1 minute ago, Sloansabbith said:

Biden will win. It’s just going to be a bit painful. 
 
He doesn’t need Georgia and never planned to get Florida.

Ohio would have been good insurance but it’s okay without it. 
 

From your lips to God’s ears. If we get GA we don’t need WI, which is probably the hardest one to get right now.

[Butters Stotch 5,379]

1 minute ago, FATCAT said:

The County rn:

 

GGD:

 

OMG!!! 

[FATCAT 60,888]

1 minute ago, caulixtla said:

From your lips to God’s ears. If we get GA we don’t need WI, which is probably the hardest one to get right now.

WI is going blue, I'm pretty sure.

[ZiggyZiggs 30,067]

Bro wtf is happening. I woke up hoping to see a blue wave why is trump leading. I can’t believe he won Florida and Texas **** this 

[Brad 2,499]

5 minutes ago, caulixtla said:

OK, I think I means 2♦ in my system them—sorry I forget how poker suits translate to tarot suits. Can “two pentacles” mean “letter”? Maybe indicates a victory by mail-in votes.

The polls were so bad I’m learning the Tarot on election night.

You're fine! When you say letter do you mean like a message being delivered? Because I think 2 of Cups and 2 of Wands can show love and complimentary energies (which can be seen as a message of love), while 2 of Pentacles and 2 of Swords are more "decision" cards (so a message being delivered to show what someone needs to do)

4 minutes ago, FATCAT said:

The County rn:

 

GGD:

 

LMAO DONT COME FOR ME LIKE THIS 

Actually, let's add a new member category. "GGD Tarot Reader" 

[Luc 4,776]

 

12 minutes ago, FATCAT said:

There is definitely an east coast polling discrepancies for sure, 2016-2020 has shown that. Problem is even after deep dives no one can figure out the discrepancies. It could just be that people are lying to the pollsters, which is unavoidable. 

The "high-quality" pollsters use live-callers, live-caller polls are more likely to (a) get socially desirable answers and (b) more likely to misrepresent how minorities and white non-college educated people vote (because the people with more trust in society are more likely to pick up, and more likely to vote Biden). Even after correcting for education, race and everything, you'll still misrepresent these people, especially the independents. A mix of live-caller, online and at-the-door would work best. Take 1000 people from voting files, and make sure >90% of those actually respond. Don't take 10k people and be content that 1k picked up the phone. The Republican pollsters were also incorrect, they had similar methodologies but put weird stuff in their crosstabs (like 70-30 for black people) to make it seem like Republicans were doing better, but they also don't know how to poll these people.

 

Pollsters should take a look at Europe and see what works. France so far has the best track record on correctly polling far-right white people. We have 27 countries in the EU, and there's other countries like the UK and Australia which behave similarly to the US as well, pretty much all of them by now have a far-right or at least anti-immigration party, so that's over 27 elections every four years where they can check how different polling methodologies work. At some point you might just have to say 'okay, we get these results, let's just add +5 R to it despite what our sample says'.

[TWICE on hatius 4,746]

1 minute ago, ZiggyZiggs said:

Texas

The ocean will turn red before that state turns blue. 

[Guest]

Nevada, Maine and Arizona are now projected to become blue which means only one Rustbelt state could mean victory for dems

edit: sorry two but Michigan and Pennsylvania are giving us hope

[Sloansabbith 136]

3 minutes ago, FATCAT said:

WI is going blue, I'm pretty sure.

It is. 
Georgia would be cool, but not needed. 

[caulixtla 2,170]

2 minutes ago, Brad said:

You're fine! When you say letter do you mean like a message being delivered? Because I think 2 of Cups and 2 of Wands can show love and complimentary energies (which can be seen as a message of love), while 2 of Pentacles and 2 of Swords are more "decision" cards (so a message being delivered to show what someone needs to do)

LMAO DONT COME FOR ME LIKE THIS 

2♦ means exchanges and partnerships, and in Italian Cartomancy systems, it can also means “written letter” based on that. So maybe that’s what going on here—this nightmare will end, it will be determined by written letters, and Trump will get his judgment.

[littlepotter 76,613]

3 minutes ago, ZiggyZiggs said:

I can’t believe he won Florida and Texas **** this 

You're actually surprised that Trump won florida and texas?