Sarah H 4,386 Posted November 3, 2020 Share Posted November 3, 2020 I'm not gonna get my hopes up yet. It is 2020 after all. But wishing more than anything Trump gets dumped Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
sarahb 17,213 Posted November 3, 2020 Share Posted November 3, 2020 Just now, Sarah H said: I'm not gonna get my hopes up yet. It is 2020 after all. But wishing more than anything Trump gets dumped My state (in Australia) re-elected a left wing government the other day. Good things can still happen this year Do you feel him sir? Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
caulixtla 2,170 Posted November 3, 2020 Share Posted November 3, 2020 3 hours ago, Red said: What did they say in 2016? 22% Trump would win in 2016. They’re saying Trump only has a 10% chance this time around. Even with 2016’s polling error, Biden wins. 2016 was hard to poll for because a lot of undecided voters pulled the lever for Trump at the last minute. My music: https://caulixtla.com/music Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
G U C C I 5,578 Posted November 3, 2020 Share Posted November 3, 2020 2 hours ago, Glojuice said: They gave Trump a 30% chance of a win which is a lot higher than what some other places were saying. They also showed the narrowing trend for Trump towards the end of the election cycle. Don't forget that 65-70% of people have already voted. An election day surprise result is less likely with only a third of the population left to vote. Yes early voting in various forms (absentee, provisional, mail in, etc) has already been done but that doesn't mean that each of those votes will be counted within the next 48 hours or that all of those have even been returned. FL had huge mail in ballot requests but a large portion of them have yet to be returned! This could easily go either way but I am prepared for Trump to win again. I hope Gaga and her camp is too after the video and rally in PA. She had built so much credibility for herself on her talent alone the past several years. Deranged Trumpers and local Republicans alike will not be swayed by her vocals or performances for a while after this I'm afraid. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gagaloo911 12,959 Posted November 3, 2020 Share Posted November 3, 2020 3 hours ago, ZiggyZiggs said: not believing any sort of polls, we also have to remember that there are way too many secret trump voters. This is fake news, there is absolutely zero evidence indicating a shy Trump voter phenomenon, and even more importantly if there is then statistically speaking there would also be shy voters for Biden. In essence, there's no trend or evidence that should shy voters be out there that they'd skew one way or the other. 3 hours ago, Married the Night said: They also predicted a Hillary landslide in 2016. Don’t get your hopes up. Please get your facts straight and research before spewing lies and fake news. They did no such thing and were in fact one of the few places as ayijg Trump had a path to win. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Married the Night 3,955 Posted November 3, 2020 Share Posted November 3, 2020 1 hour ago, Gagaloo911 said: This is fake news, there is absolutely zero evidence indicating a shy Trump voter phenomenon, and even more importantly if there is then statistically speaking there would also be shy voters for Biden. In essence, there's no trend or evidence that should shy voters be out there that they'd skew one way or the other. Please get your facts straight and research before spewing lies and fake news. They did no such thing and were in fact one of the few places as ayijg Trump had a path to win. There is no need to be so freaking HOSTILE. The had Trump 28% chance of winning. They were dead wrong. I did my research. I also followed the polls in 2016. So back up. https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/ Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Argentum 1,705 Posted November 3, 2020 Share Posted November 3, 2020 paws up little pollsters Spoiler plz vote "Δεν είσαι αγάπη. Δεν είσαι αγάπη. Είσαι οφθαλμαπάτη. Η τέλεια οφθαλμαπάτη" - Λαίδη Γκάγκα, 2016 Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
27monster27 15,924 Posted November 3, 2020 Share Posted November 3, 2020 Remember to not ease your pushes by listening to the polls! You have to still vote! he/him/his Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gagaloo911 12,959 Posted November 3, 2020 Share Posted November 3, 2020 19 minutes ago, Married the Night said: There is no need to be so freaking HOSTILE. The had Trump 28% chance of winning. They were dead wrong. I did my research. I also followed the polls in 2016. So back up. https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/ A 28% chance of winning is more than a 1 in 4 chance of winning, and considering the polling was off by a few points in a few states last time around for Trump, that ended up working out in his favor. So how exactly is that "dead wrong" when they were one of the few pollsters that actually said he had a chance? Unlike other places that gave Hillary a 98% chance of winning. Make it make sense! Cause your argument doesn't. FiveThirtyEight was one of the only polling organizations that said he could win and that he had a path, so saying they were "dead wrong" is just dead wrong itself Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
GregJA 5,555 Posted November 3, 2020 Share Posted November 3, 2020 I’m afraid he will become the most ... ‘unreliable very soon Mr. No Award Winner 2020 Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Married the Night 3,955 Posted November 3, 2020 Share Posted November 3, 2020 11 minutes ago, Gagaloo911 said: A 28% chance of winning is more than a 1 in 4 chance of winning, and considering the polling was off by a few points in a few states last time around for Trump, that ended up working out in his favor. So how exactly is that "dead wrong" when they were one of the few pollsters that actually said he had a chance? Unlike other places that gave Hillary a 98% chance of winning. Make it make sense! Cause your argument doesn't. FiveThirtyEight was one of the only polling organizations that said he could win and that he had a path, so saying they were "dead wrong" is just dead wrong itself Sites predicting a Hillary win were wrong no matter how you slice it. If that doesn’t make sense I don’t know what else to tell you. They were wrong. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
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