PartySick 172,496 Posted October 3, 2020 Share Posted October 3, 2020 https://www.politico.com/news/2020/10/03/polls-biden-leads-trump-in-florida-pennsylvania-after-debate-425843 There's the article if you're interested. The polls come out of Florida and Pennsylvania where Biden holds a 5 and 7 point lead respectively. They're done by the Siena College and New York Times. I'll summarize Florida since that's my state and what I find most interesting. Trump cannot win without Florida and it looks like his chances keep slipping away. Florida: Margin of error is 5 points, Biden's lead is 4 points across the state Voters under 30 - Biden 62, Trump 25 Voters over 55 - Biden 47, Trump 45 Latino voters - Biden 58, Trump 34 Democrats - Biden 93, Trump 3 () Independents - Biden +12 Republicans - Biden 11 (Trump's number isn't mentioned in the article but it's likely in the mid-80s at least). For comparison, here's Florida in 2016: Voters under 30 - Clinton +18 (Biden is +37) Voters over 55 - Trump +17 (Biden is +2) Latino voters - Clinton +27 (Biden is +24) The take away here is that Trump won over a bit of the Hispanic/Latino vote in South Florida but due to his failure with covid, seniors in the state lost total faith in him and his 17 point lead among FL seniors has now become a 2 point deficit. Biden's also doubled Hillary Clinton's lead in young FL voters like myself. Biden has a really good chance to take Florida, basically And white suburbia in Pennsylvania is throwing its weight behind Biden. There's no room for complacency but I feel confident that Biden will win this. I just got my ballot in the mail today too. Whimsical bitch Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jill 31,812 Posted October 3, 2020 Share Posted October 3, 2020 3 minutes ago, PartySick said: Margin of error is 5 points, Biden's lead is 4 points Former First Lady of the United States. Now card-carrying member of the Communist Party of China (CPC). Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Archduchess 2 Posted October 3, 2020 Share Posted October 3, 2020 biden biden biden biden biden Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
PartySick 172,496 Posted October 3, 2020 Author Share Posted October 3, 2020 2 minutes ago, Lionel Hutz said: That's why these states are swing states But his leads in the demographics are what's important. They'll inform his campaign's final strategy of attack. It looks like hitting seniors, moderates, and taking advantage of Trump's eroding support will be the winning play here. Whimsical bitch Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jill 31,812 Posted October 3, 2020 Share Posted October 3, 2020 Just now, PartySick said: It looks like hitting seniors will be the winning play here. Is Biden getting a little too progressive? Former First Lady of the United States. Now card-carrying member of the Communist Party of China (CPC). Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
PartySick 172,496 Posted October 3, 2020 Author Share Posted October 3, 2020 2 minutes ago, Lionel Hutz said: Is Biden getting a little too progressive? Idk, Trump has been attacking him as a leftist puppet and slave to the radical left for months (I have the stack of junkmail from Trump to prove it) and Biden still gained enough seniors to lead I don't think they're falling for it tbh. Or if they are, the fear of covid and them having their retirement years stolen by a poorly managed pandemic outweighs their fear of *gasp* affordable healthcare!! Don't forget, Obama won Florida twice so it only makes sense that his VP would have a strong showing here too. Whimsical bitch Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jill 31,812 Posted October 3, 2020 Share Posted October 3, 2020 Just now, PartySick said: Idk, Trump has been attacking him as a leftist puppet and slave to the radical left for months (I have the stack of junkmail from Trump to prove it) and Biden still gained enough seniors to lead I don't think they're falling for it tbh. Or if they are, the fear of covid and them having their retirement years stolen by a poorly managed pandemic outweighs their fear of *gasp* affordable healthcare!! Don't forget, Obama won Florida twice so it only makes sense that his VP would have a strong showing here too. I was joking because it reads like Biden's strategy is to literally hit senior people but yes, no progressivism is too much for me honestly Former First Lady of the United States. Now card-carrying member of the Communist Party of China (CPC). Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
PartySick 172,496 Posted October 4, 2020 Author Share Posted October 4, 2020 9 minutes ago, Lionel Hutz said: I was joking because it reads like Biden's strategy is to literally hit senior people but yes, no progressivism is too much for me honestly Oop my bad. I have a wicked fever rn so I'm really dumb. Like, more than usual Yeah, he's trying to be the balanced voice which is what we need as a president imo. Whimsical bitch Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
REALITY 80,162 Posted October 4, 2020 Share Posted October 4, 2020 Are these statistics only for mail in voting, or for early in-person voting as well? 𝔗𝔥𝔢 𝔪𝔬𝔫𝔰𝔱𝔢𝔯 𝔱𝔬𝔯𝔢 𝔞𝔴𝔞𝔶 𝔦𝔱𝔰 𝔪𝔞𝔰𝔨 𝔞𝔫𝔡...𝔦𝔱𝔰 𝔣𝔞𝔠𝔢 𝔴𝔞𝔰 𝔪𝔦𝔫𝔢. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
PartySick 172,496 Posted October 4, 2020 Author Share Posted October 4, 2020 40 minutes ago, M Monstre said: Are these statistics only for mail in voting, or for early in-person voting as well? I'm assuming it's just likely voters We just got our ballots today and early voting doesn't start until Oct 24th in FL Whimsical bitch Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
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