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US Charts Discussion (Gaga single tracking: August)


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Arturo

Still, the remixes aren't exactly lighting it up . . . is there anyway Kesha or PSY could sneak in there?

PSY's done. Radio killed him :)

Ke$ha might get #1 but for like 1 week. It won't be a dominant #1

What song would Riri even release for her second pop radio single? I'm not seeing any standouts. Plenty for R&B stations though. I just hope Ke$ha or Bruno cuts Rihanna off from a long Hot 100 command.

Apparently Nicky Romero, the co-producer of Right Now, said that he was happy to have the song he produced picked as the 2nd single so...

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What song would Riri even release for her second pop radio single? I'm not seeing any standouts. Plenty for R&B stations though. I just hope Ke$ha or Bruno cuts Rihanna off from a long Hot 100 command.

Right Now. The Guetta song.

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APPLAUSE4YOU

PSY's done. Radio killed him :)

Ke$ha might get #1 but for like 1 week. It won't be a dominant #1

Apparently Nicky Romero, the co-producer of Right Now, said that he was happy to have the song he produced picked as the 2nd single so...

How do you think that one will perform? I don't see it performing stronger than Diamonds is.

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Arturo

How do you think that one will perform? I don't see it performing stronger than Diamonds is.

Hm a Rihanna + Guetta track.....

Two artists that have dominated radio with their solo songs....

It looks like it might flop :usrs:

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APPLAUSE4YOU

Hm a Rihanna + Guetta track.....

Two artists that have dominated radio with their solo songs....

It looks like it might flop :usrs:

Guess you're right. I just don't get a really strong vibe from it personally. Just hoping Ke$ha squeezes in a #1 week somewhere soon.

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BB Hot 100 calculations for the week based on all 7 days of itunes bars, mediabase airplay and a streaming estimate

#position, sales (000's) + Mediabase airplay (A.I. millions) + streaming (Ks x 10%) = points, artist, song, (change on Hot 100)

#1 172 + 146 + 96 = 390 Rihanna Diamonds (+1)

#2 120 + 192 + 83 = 374 Maroon 5 One More Night (-1)

#3 138 + 135 + 89 = 340 Ke$ha Die Young (=)

#4 153 + 116 + 55 = 310 Bruno Mars LOOH (+2)

#5 90 + 147 + 81 = 298 Fun. Some Nights (-1)

#6 162 + 36 + 86 = 263 PSY Gangnam Style (-1)

#7 72 + 142 + 53 = 254 Ne-Yo LMLY (+1)

#8 128 + 71 + 68 = 250 The Lumineers Ho Hey (+5)

#9 70 + 116 + 74 = 242 Taylor Swift WANEGBT (-2)

#10 108 + 93 + 39 = 230 Phillip Phillips Home (+4)

#11 108 + 87 + 42 = 226 Flo Rida I Cry (-1)

#12 49 + 127 + 58 = 220 Alex Clare Too Close (-3)

#13 47 + 112 + 51 = 197 Chris Brown Don't Wake Me Up (-2)

#14 47 + 96 + 60 = 188 Justin Bieber ALAYLM (-2)

#15 67 + 63 + 61 = 175 Kanye West + Jay Z Clique (=)

#16 81 + 61 + 33 = 167 Florida Georgia Line Cruise (+2)

#17 42 + 93 + 32 = 159 P!nk Blow Me 1LK (-1)

#18 121 + 29 + 5 = 154 Adele Skyfall (+15)

#19 25 + 99 + 34 = 150 Miguel Adorn (-2)

#20 45 + 47 + 64 = 140 Kendrick Lamar Sw.Pools (=)

#21 53 + 36 + 66 = 139 Imagine Dragons It'sTime (+2)

#22 68 + 46 + 31 = 137 Justin Bieber ft Minaj BAAB (+16)

#23 36 + 71 + 41 = 138 Owl City + Carly Rae Jepsen GT (-4)

#24 46 + 58 + 37 = 129 Ed Sheeran The A Team (+2)

#25 40 + 61 + 39 = 130 Neon Trees Ev.Talks (-3)

#26 64 + 59 + 8 = 129 Nicki Minaj Va Va Voom (+20)

#27 23 + 62 + 56 = 127 Ellie Goulding Lights (-3)

*points = 100% x sales/K + 100% x Mediabase airplay (A.I. millions) + 7.5% x on demand streaming/K

OK for this week but next week will be interesting because the 'complete my album' effect on Diamonds will probably push it off #1

Approx week's sales for Gaga: PF 4.5, JD 3.8K, TEOG 3.8K; BR 3.7K; BTW 3.5K, Y+I 3.5K

Rihanna isn't really falling

I mean, she is, but it's not a fall because of a decrease in popularity. It's just Complete My Album doing its job.

The 'complete my album' effect does not show up on itunes positions, it's only when digital sales are finally computed. Usually the effect on a lead single the week of album release is around -20% of the album sales; in the case of Taylor it made WANEGBT's sales negative for one week (though for BB Hot 100 position the sales were treated as zero, not negative).

PSY's done. Radio killed him :)

PSY is done on the Hot 100 but not digitally or culturally; it will pass One More Night's total sales in a few weeks.

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Hitsdailydouble seems to think that Rihanna will overperform.

DIAMONDS ARE FOREVER: Rihanna’s whirlwind, globe-trotting 777 Tour, hitting seven cities in seven days, ends tomorrow night in New York, following stops in Mexico City, Toronto, Stockholm, Paris, Berlin and London. The promo gambit was created to support Ri Ri’s new Def Jam/IDJ longplayer Unapologeticâ€â€not that it needs any help. The album looks like it will over-perform, powered by her hit single “Diamonds,†with major props going to IDJ topper Steve Bartels and to her manager, Roc Nation’s Jay Brown, who helped Rihanna A&R the project. (11/19a)

Other major releases this week are Phillip Phillips' debut album, AC/DC live album, and Kid Rock. Taylor Swift and 1D will also get a boost from the holiday sales so there's a good chance they'll do over 200k too.

Hits predicted 275k for Riri a few weeks ago but I highly doubt she'll end up selling that much.

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nick4bty

Rih getting 275,000? Since when did people get interested in buying her album? We Found Love was huge but that didn't affect TTT sales at all. Weird.

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Ray of Light

Hits predicted 275k for Riri a few weeks ago but I highly doubt she'll end up selling that much.

What? :toofloppy:

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Rih getting 275,000? Since when did people get interested in buying her album? We Found Love was huge but that didn't affect TTT sales at all. Weird.

They predicted that a few weeks ago so it may not be accurate. Keep in mind they also predicted 125k for Xtina :rip:

What? :toofloppy:

Rihanna's highest debut was 207k with Loud, TTT sold 197k coming off of WFL. I don't see how she'd suddenly sell close to 300k with this album.

I kinda hope she does get #1 though. I want to see how many hashtags she uses when she tweets about it :derpga:

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nick4bty

They predicted that a few weeks ago so it may not be accurate. Keep in mind they also predicted 125k for Xtina :rip:

Rihanna's highest debut was 207k with Loud, TTT sold 197k coming off of WFL. I don't see how she'd suddenly sell close to 300k with this album.

I kinda hope she does get #1 though. I want to see how many hashtags she uses when she tweets about it :derpga:

Good point about XTina . . . oh her numbers are so pathetic. I feel bad for her, not even being able to crack 100K.

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Arturo

I hope Rihanna gets that #1 album and Diamonds go #1 on hot 100

Well there's no doubt about Diamonds. It has the top spot on lock for sure :)

Unapologetic on the other hand, that will be worth watching :popcorn:

I'll actually be happy for Ri if she tops the Billboard 200. It's a good album and deserves the top spot for at least 1 week.

The 'complete my album' effect does not show up on itunes positions, it's only when digital sales are finally computed. Usually the effect on a lead single the week of album release is around -20% of the album sales; in the case of Taylor it made WANEGBT's sales negative for one week (though for BB Hot 100 position the sales were treated as zero, not negative).

PSY is done on the Hot 100 but not digitally or culturally; it will pass One More Night's total sales in a few weeks.

Oh I see, I didn't know that. Either way, singles sales is the last thing on the Navy's mind. They don't care if Diamonds goes out of the Hot 100 next week due to CMA. They just want that BB 200 #1 :toofunny:

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