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US Charts Discussion (Gaga single tracking: August)


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but I'm still looking forward to your posts to see the chart before the official comes out or at least to see your predictions so you should totally keep doing it!

I agree tbh, keep doing it.

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Album sales predictions for next week:

Taylor Swift (Big Machine) 325-340k

* Meek Mill (Maybach/Warner Bros.) 165-180k

* Rod Stewart (Verve) 75-80k

Kendrick Lamar (Aftermath/Interscope) 65-70k

Jason Aldean (Broken Bow) 65-70k

* Toby Keith (Show Dog) 45-50k

Mumford & Sons (Glassnote) 40-45k

* Neil Young & Crazy Horse (Reprise) 30-35k

* Trans Siberian Orchestra (Lava/Republic) 24-27k

Pink (RCA) 20-23k

Little Big Town (Capitol Nashville) 18-21k

Tony Bennett (Columbia) 17-20k

Lady Antebellum (Capitol Nashville) 17-20k

* Flyleaf (A&M/Octone) 17-20k

Carrie Underwood (19/Arista Nashville) 15-18k

* Debuts

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? That table was from 3 days before the actual Hot 100 was announced before final airplay changes. The estimates look more like this now

#1 138 + 191 + 84 = 404 Maroon 5 One More Night (=)

#2 237 + 70 + 95 = 386 PSY Gangnam Style (=)

but I feel doing Hot 100 estimations is pointless now, as it is all somewhat rigged by the industry, who control what the airplay is that is too dominant a proportion. As someone else pointed out it is the Digital Songs chart that is the real chart.

I COMPLETELY agree with you, but I still think your predictions are mostly accurate. Plus, it's good for us to see what songs "should" have been #1 when Billboard chooses where songs place :) If it weren't for you then most of us would be clueless what Billboard was doing.
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heavymlover

But didn't one of her managers or something say sometime after the release of Born This Way that he wanted her to give her next album away for free? Or am I making that up?

Yeah, I think Vince Herbert said something about it, but behind him and Gaga there's a whole marketing and sales team, so at the end of the day, as much as Gaga wants to give away music, I don't think she has enough power to do so. Never say never though, she might surprise us one day.

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? That table was from 3 days before the actual Hot 100 was announced before final airplay changes. The estimates look more like this now

#1 138 + 191 + 84 = 404 Maroon 5 One More Night (=)

#2 237 + 70 + 95 = 386 PSY Gangnam Style (=)

but I feel doing Hot 100 estimations is pointless now, as it is all somewhat rigged by the industry, who control what the airplay is that is too dominant a proportion. As someone else pointed out it is the Digital Songs chart that is the real chart.

Lol... either way it's still near the top & pissing people off.

& I know... I don't like how they control it. :nails:

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Here for one more week at the top for One More Night! And Maroon 5's new single, Daylight, sounds great too! :party:

I'm here for that too... Just to proove the world how irrelevant Billboard has become. And Maroon 5 won't win any awards because nobody care about them and we will all forget this basic song in 2 months, just like nobody remember Move Like Jagger !

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Gangham Style will go go down in chart history as the first single to prove how irrelevant radio had become in the digital age, Dominating M5 for weeks and weeks regardless of airplay..

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boysboysboys

my medonsters dont curr abut saels rite????? :(

We do, but it's all good with or without :)

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BB Hot 100 calculations for the week based on 5 days of itunes bars, current airplay and a streaming estimate

#position, sales (000's) + Mediabase airplay (A.I. millions) + streaming (Ks x 10%) = points, artist, song, (change on Hot 100)

#1 140 + 191 + 84 = 406 Maroon 5 One More Night (=)

#2 246 + 69 + 95 = 394 PSY Gangnam Style (=)

#3 115 + 145 + 72 = 323 Fun. Some Nights (=)

#4 108 + 143 + 74 = 316 Taylor Swift WANEGBT (+7)

#5 150 + 93 + 70 = 303 Ke$ha Die Young (-1)

#6 131 + 109 + 69 = 299 Rihanna Diamonds (-1)

#7 162 + 81 + 36 = 275 Bruno Mars LOOH (=)

#8 61 + 146 + 60 = 261 Justin Bieber ALAYLM (-2)

#9 60 + 130 + 61 = 244 Alex Clare Too Close (-1)

#10 63 + 128 + 40 = 228 Ne-Yo LMLY (-1)

#11 56 + 118 + 51 = 220 Chris Brown Don't Wake Me Up (-1)

#12 118 + 64 + 20 = 201 Flo Rida I Cry (+3)

#13 83 + 75 + 35 = 189 Phillip Phillips Home (+1)

#14 34 + 121 + 34 = 187 P!nk Blow Me 1LK (-2)

#15 48 + 91 + 48 = 181 Owl City + Carly Rae Jepsen GT (-2)

#16 68 + 58 + 57 = 174 Kanye West + Jay Z Clique (=)

#17 76 + 43 + 58 = 168 The Lumineers Ho Hey (+2)

#18 28 + 79 + 62 = 160 Ellie Goulding Lights (-1)

#19 77 + 61 + 23 = 159 Carrie Underwood Blown Away (+4)

#20 103 + 33 + 18 = 152 Alecia Keys GOF (+8)

#21 27 + 91 + 34 = 148 Miguel Adorn (-3)

#22 86 + 47 + 15 = 147 Florida Georgia Line Cruise (+2)

#23 31 + 75 + 46 = 146 Neon Trees Everybody Talks (-2)

#24 56 + 63 + 25 = 142 Train 50WTSGB (-1)

#25 77 + 34 + 33 = 139 Hunter Hayes Wanted (+16)

*points = 100% x sales/K + 104% x Mediabase airplay (A.I. millions) + 8% x on demand streaming/K

Radio has GS done for

WANEGBT recovering from last week's complete my album effect

Approx week's sales for Gaga: PF 4.6, JD 4.0K, TEOG 4.0K; BR 3.8K; BTW 3.8K, Y+I 3.6K.

Gangham Style will go go down in chart history as the first single to prove how irrelevant radio had become in the digital age, Dominating M5 for weeks and weeks regardless of airplay..

... and with it the Hot 100 becomes irrelevant

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BB Hot 100 calculations for the week based on 5 days of itunes bars, current airplay and a streaming estimate

#position, sales (000's) + Mediabase airplay (A.I. millions) + streaming (Ks x 10%) = points, artist, song, (change on Hot 100)

#10 63 + 128 + 40 = 228 Ne-Yo LMLY (-1)

#11 56 + 118 + 51 = 220 Chris Brown Don't Wake Me Up (-1)

*points = 100% x sales/K + 104% x Mediabase airplay (A.I. millions) + 8% x on demand streaming/K

Radio has GS done for

WANEGBT recovering from last week's complete my album effect

Approx week's sales for Gaga: PF 4.6, JD 4.0K, TEOG 4.0K; BR 3.8K; BTW 3.8K, Y+I 3.6K.

... and with it the Hot 100 becomes irrelevant

I'm still in shock these two songs made it to the top 10
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