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Charts Discussion - 5 weeks until Chromatica


ViviLittleM

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messybottom
11 minutes ago, OBEY said:

I think they'll release the second single on album release week with a video to boost it on the BB200 and maybeĀ pushing that song willĀ kill Stupid Love on radios and streaming... or not! with Ariana on it maybe they'll try to make radios spin SL AND the collab at the same time? Idk,Ā I really want SL to shine, it's showing potential on radios... Ngl from a chart perspective I'm not a fan of dropping the album on April 10th, but we'll see..Ā :poot:Ā 

thatā€™s what Iā€™m saying. That album is coming wayyy too early. Shouldā€™ve been scheduled for a May/June release.Ā Shocked she didnā€™t follow a similar strategy to Dua to try and maximize the amount of hits she could milk before album release. Once the albums out, itā€™s so hard for new singlesĀ released afterwards to take off :/

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Spanish Eyes
1 minute ago, Arturo said:

Imo the earliest SL will return to the Top 10 of Billboard is week 4. Radio is following a good trajectory. Even taking the rolling effect into account sheā€™s looking to outdo first week radio predictions.

I'm seeing SL in the same stratosphere as TEOG - not earth-shattering, but all-around great reception.Ā 

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ConnorFilm
1 minute ago, Arturo said:

Imo the earliest SL will return to the Top 10 of Billboard is week 4. Radio is following a good trajectory. Even taking the rolling effect into account sheā€™s looking to outdo first week radio predictions.

Praying that this happens. I don't want this to debut in the top 10 and just fall off and never recover.Ā 

Twitter: @ConnorBehrens/Instagram: @ConnorBehrens
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Arturo
Just now, ConnorFilm said:

Praying that this happens. I don't want this to debut in the top 10 and just fall off and never recover.Ā 

Great HAC support and good Pop support looks almost guaranteed. Even with mediocre streams and okish sales thatā€™ll be enough for Top 10.Ā I say almost cause Iā€™m just waiting for the day after the rolling effect (Sunday morningā€™s update)

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Arizona Sky

The least amount it would need to stay in the top 20 next week is 150 points:

15k sales / 10m paid streams / 4m free streams / 35m airplay

That should be on lock. To stayĀ top 10 (185 points) it would be like this:

25k sales / 11mĀ paid streamsĀ / 5m free streaks / 37mĀ airplay

Somewhere in between that seems likely. I think itā€™ll stay Top 15.

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Thrasher
4 minutes ago, Arturo said:

Imo the earliest SL will return to the Top 10 of Billboard is week 4. Radio is following a good trajectory. Even taking the rolling effect into account sheā€™s looking to outdo first week radio predictions.

ThatĀ will be Abel release week though. Heartless and After Hours could steal a couple of Top 10 spots.Ā 

ā€œCome over, when youā€™re soberā€
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ConnorFilm
1 minute ago, Arizona Sky said:

The least amount it would need to stay in the top 20 next week is 150 points:

15k sales / 10m paid streams / 4m free streams / 35m airplay

That should be on lock. To stayĀ top 10 (185 points) it would be like this:

25k sales / 11mĀ paid streamsĀ / 5m free streaks / 37mĀ airplay

Somewhere in between that seems likely. I think itā€™ll stay Top 15.

It'll debut at #3 and fall to #13 the next week.Ā 

Twitter: @ConnorBehrens/Instagram: @ConnorBehrens
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vedetegomes
Just now, Arturo said:

Great HAC support and good Pop support looks almost guaranteed. Even with mediocre streams and okish sales thatā€™ll be enough for Top 10.Ā I say almost cause Iā€™m just waiting for the day after the rolling effect (Sunday morningā€™s update)

She's doing 700 spins right now. On the second day she didĀ  434. I think she maybe rise 1.000 on SundayĀ 

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Gypsy Life

The 2nd week drop will be brutal on the Hot100 :rip: but it's still too early for that conversation.

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derpmonster

What happened to that SZA and JT song on radio? :air:Ā -10m AI. Rollover effect?

Check out iTunes data & graphs at CHARTPOP.live
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Genuine Guy 09

Why couldn't G.U.Y of had this level of management and supportĀ :giveup:

Stare at the Chartster in the mirror they talk to me too. #StreamFunTonight
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derpmonster
Just now, Gypsy Life said:

The 2nd week drop will be brutal on the Hot100 :rip: but it's still too early for that conversation.

I'm really hoping radio cushions us and she has a radio tour planned for Week 2.

Check out iTunes data & graphs at CHARTPOP.live
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Arturo
1 minute ago, Gypsy Life said:

The 2nd week drop will be brutal on the Hot100 :rip: but it's still too early for that conversation.

You really think itā€™ll be out of the Top 20? I donā€™t think so... :huh:Ā 

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emig09

I see the song stable... Who is releasing tomorrow? (that can competeĀ :huntyga:

gay engineer
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Arturo
3 minutes ago, vedetegomes said:

She's doing 700 spins right now. On the second day she didĀ  434. I think she maybe rise 1.000 on SundayĀ 

Nah 700 is really good but an abnormal update. Once the first week is over we should be expecting 200-300+ spin updates as being good.

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