FATCAT 60,899 Posted February 3, 2020 Share Posted February 3, 2020 5 minutes ago, PoshLife said: RCP's commentary is usually too conservative for my blood, but I think this is a good read in terms of what the plausible outcomes tonight are, and how it would affect how people view the top-tier candidates in the weeks to come: https://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/2020/02/03/four_scenarios_for_tonights_caucuses_142298.html The summary is basically that unless Biden wins or finishes in a strong second, it will be much harder for him to make the electability case (duh) and weed out the other centrist candidates to ensure he maintains a viable path to the nomination. Particularly if Klobuchar surprises. I really hope she does surprise us (with a strong 3rd or 2nd) because I think she's more down to earth than Pete or Biden. This kitten over here (meow) Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
HorusRa2 5,005 Posted February 3, 2020 Share Posted February 3, 2020 13 minutes ago, PoshLife said: RCP's commentary is usually too conservative for my blood, but I think this is a good read in terms of what the plausible outcomes tonight are, and how it would affect how people view the top-tier candidates in the weeks to come: https://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/2020/02/03/four_scenarios_for_tonights_caucuses_142298.html The summary is basically that unless Biden wins or finishes in a strong second, it will be much harder for him to make the electability case (duh) and weed out the other centrist candidates to ensure he maintains a viable path to the nomination. Particularly if Klobuchar surprises. I can agree with this. Biden getting 3rd or 4th could unhinge his entire campaign especially if Bernie wins iowa as he's running away with NH at the current moment. In that scenario, we end up getting a bloomberg vs bernie head to head by super tuesday. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
derpmonster 22,412 Posted February 3, 2020 Share Posted February 3, 2020 1 hour ago, Florin said: Caucus is so stupid. Who invented it? Its 2020. Bernie and Biden are the favourites, but that 15% that the candidates must get to be eligible makes this so unpredictable. Caucuses used to be the original system. In fact, there was a time when the DNC would have a closed door meeting, pick a nominee, and announce. Without any primaries whatsoever. Until as recently as the 70s. People rioted and they were forced to change. There should be a tiered semi-open primary where all registered Democrats and independents can vote. They can select their preferences and list Top 3 candidates, so votes can go to other candidate if their top drops out. Check out iTunes data & graphs at CHARTPOP.live Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
HorusRa2 5,005 Posted February 3, 2020 Share Posted February 3, 2020 https://twitter.com/elainejgodfrey/status/1224414966280867842?s=20 Another satelitte caucus result. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morphine Prince 109,738 Posted February 3, 2020 Share Posted February 3, 2020 Nate Silver’s final numbers. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
HorusRa2 5,005 Posted February 3, 2020 Share Posted February 3, 2020 Another satellite caucus! Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
derpmonster 22,412 Posted February 3, 2020 Share Posted February 3, 2020 11 minutes ago, HorusRa2 said: Another satellite caucus! God caucuses are so messy Check out iTunes data & graphs at CHARTPOP.live Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bt1 5,213 Posted February 3, 2020 Share Posted February 3, 2020 Where u can see the total delegates each candidate gets in real time? Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bt1 5,213 Posted February 3, 2020 Share Posted February 3, 2020 Lol. This is all over the place. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy 5,686 Posted February 3, 2020 Author Share Posted February 3, 2020 7 minutes ago, Florin said: Where u can see the total delegates each candidate gets in real time? https://features.desmoinesregister.com/news/politics/iowa-caucuses-results-alignment/ Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harris Walz 2024 1,451 Posted February 3, 2020 Share Posted February 3, 2020 Go Liz ! Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morphine Prince 109,738 Posted February 3, 2020 Share Posted February 3, 2020 This new satellite caucus thing all the way in Paris is so bizarre lmao Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maleficent 6 Posted February 3, 2020 Share Posted February 3, 2020 american political systems are so confusing damn Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shaney 5,515 Posted February 3, 2020 Share Posted February 3, 2020 Bernie is going to win. I think Joe Biden is going to do a lot worse than predicted. 2 minutes ago, Maleficent said: american political systems are so confusing damn They make it like that on purpose. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morphine Prince 109,738 Posted February 3, 2020 Share Posted February 3, 2020 This caucus in Florida is TRAGIC for Bernie. Literally ONE card for him Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
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