2020 US Election Polls

[bloom 286]

Wait! Guys! I thought CNN was bias against Bernie and was working with Elizabeth Warren to end his campaign??? What HAPPENED?!?! Weigh in, Bros!

[LibraLove 1,281]

39 minutes ago, PoshLife said:

Another day, another example of Bernie Bros cherry-picking data.

Bernie Sanders is most assuredly not "climbing everywhere."

In Nevada - the third state to vote in our primary - his 19% polling average is statistically unchanged from his 18% average in August. (Source)

In South Carolina - the fourth state to vote - his paltry 15% polling average is the same as it's always been. (Source)

Those are polling averages. Every single poll of those states - the ones you like, and the ones you don't - are baked in. No cherry-picking, just actual trendlines.

It's entirely possible he wins in both Iowa (where he'll do very well because it's a white caucus state) and New Hampshire (where he'll do well because he basically has the home-state advantage). I'd even argue that his "surge" in New Hampshire is actually a regression towards the mean after various other candidates, including Buttigieg and Biden, experienced their own surges there over the past few months. (Source)

And to the Twitter user who thinks winning Iowa means winning the nomination: ask Ted Cruz in 2016 or Rick Santorum in 2012 whether they won the nomination. Winning Iowa doesn't mean you'll win the nomination, because Iowa increasingly doesn't reflect the diversity of our party across the country. Nate Silver has written extensively that Biden is the one candidate best-positioned to win the nomination even if he loses both Iowa and New Hampshire because of his strong support in Nevada, South Carolina, and most of the Super Tuesday states.

Not many polls have been done in either Nevada or South Carolina. A few weeks ago, a local SC paper had him jump ahead of Warren to within 7 points of Biden - that's climbing. I recently saw an internal poll done by Andrew Yang's campaign that had Bernie at 29% and Biden at 28% - that's climbing. He gained 12 points since December in a New Hampshire poll - that's climbing. Two recent polls come out from Iowa showing he's jumped ahead of everyone and a CNN national poll has him in the lead ahead of Biden - that's climbing. 

 

Don't let your weird, unfounded disdain for Sanders cloud your vision, because he has been and is most definitely going up in the recent polls.

[LibraLove 1,281]

8 hours ago, Halsey said:

Donald Trump has been re elected in a historic election against self proclaimed socialist Bernie Sanders and his Twiter cult

Lol. Like nominating the centrist person that is literally the Democratic version of Trump (calling people names, challenging voters to stamina tests, yelling at reporters, pointing fingers in women's faces, groping women, etc.) who can't form a coherent sentence is such a winning strategy. We already tried it. Centrism doesn't work. How is Madame President Hillary Clinton doing in her third year?

[Eighteen 5,430]

if bernie gets the nomination i just hope he can pull it through in the general. the fact that trump wants him to win the nomination kinda scares me

[lego 44,165]

 

 

 

[Shaney 5,515]

1 hour ago, PoshLife said:

Lol. I notice Bernie Bros only care about civility when it's their opponents not being kind. But whenever I post anything on this God-forsaken forum I get 5 "lmao" reactions and 3 "sad" reactions. That's kind and intelligent? Give me a break. The only reason you don't see how toxic the political corner of GGD is, is because you agree with the majority here. Try having an unpopular opinion and let me know how wonderful everyone acts towards you.

The Bernie supporters on GGD are not kind. Don't lie.

Again, you’re using the Bernie Bro stuff after I explained to you why it’s problematic. That’s cool.

Every time I mention my support for Tulsi Gabbard people freak out too. I’m easily in a minority there. 

She’s my close second behind Bernie

[President Biden 5,898]

33 minutes ago, LibraLove said:

Lol. Like nominating the centrist person that is literally the Democratic version of Trump (calling people names, challenging voters to stamina tests, yelling at reporters, pointing fingers in women's faces, groping women, etc.) who can't form a coherent sentence is such a winning strategy. We already tried it. Centrism doesn't work. How is Madame President Hillary Clinton doing in her third year?

Sis you clearly aren’t an American voter or very informed. Biden & Clinton are VERYYY different candidates. And neither identify with centrism, they are further to the left than that. Biden is actually more liberal leaning than Clinton, he actually tried to persuade Clinton/Obama against military involvement on multiple occasions, was pro LGBT before many Democrats, and is very pro labor/union (who have endorsed him extensively).

[Brainiac 11,171]

52 minutes ago, ode said:

Get off the pollercoaster!

And trust in MAMA:

 

She lost me completely when she decided to completely stab her so-called friend in the back with an untrue smear. No thanks!

1 minute ago, Halsey said:

Sis you clearly aren’t an American voter or very informed. Biden & Clinton are VERYYY different candidates. And neither identify with centrism, they are further to the left than that. Biden is actually more liberal leaning than Clinton, he actually tried to persuade Clinton/Obama against military involvement on multiple occasions, was pro LGBT before many Democrats, and is very pro labor/union (who have endorsed him extensively).

Socially, sure Clinton and Biden are leftists. Fiscally, they are center-right if ANYTHING. Joe Biden is the reason I'm shackled with my student loan debt for the rest of my life even if I file for bankruptcy!

[Pennywise 36,080]

This American election is getting more and more fun 

Y'all are gonna implode and it is so fun to watch that from the Middle East, where, you know, your imperialistic ass government has ruined many futures.

(especially considering y'all's country also meddled in many foreign elections in specifically socialist countries)

I guess you truly get what you deserve 

the schadenfreude is real

[RAMROD 117,066]

1 minute ago, littlefreakster said:

This American election is getting more and more fun 

Y'all are gonna implode and it is so fun to watch that from the Middle East, where, you know, your imperialistic ass government has ruined many futures.

(especially considering y'all's country also meddled in many foreign elections in specifically socialist countries)

I guess you truly get what you deserve 

the schadenfreude is real

Nope. I might get even worse for you when that orange is winning 2nd term, and likely will, get ready.

 

[Pennywise 36,080]

Just now, RAMROD said:

Nope. I might get even worse for you when that orange is winning 2nd term, and likely will, get ready.

 

I accepted the fact that this place will be a shithole forever tbh so I don't even care anymore, it's not like I will remain here for too long anyway 

[PartySick 172,545]

40 minutes ago, lego said:

 

Where does Pete get that he's in the best position to beat Trump? If he can't even come in third in the primary then why would he win the general?

[Shaney 5,515]

12 minutes ago, Halsey said:

Sis you clearly aren’t an American voter or very informed. 

 

[REALITY 80,166]

9 hours ago, Halsey said:

Donald Trump has been re elected in a historic election against self proclaimed socialist Bernie Sanders and his Twiter cult

Just out of curiosity, why exactly do you support Biden over Sanders?

Because when it comes to every issue, I don't see how someone could reasonably want to vote for pretty much any other candidate other than Sanders. 

[ItsTommyBitch 12,640]

Trump + co laughing at the idea of Biden running is... telling  

Y'all should listen to progressives more sometimes tbh, we've been in this fight for a longer time and know what the hell we're talking about - even Trump knows Bernie has a chance against him, and hes apparently an idiot