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Mayhem Requiem
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2020 US Election Polls


LadariousGarage

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5 minutes ago, ThatBinch said:

I don't get how this happened? I thought Biden was the frontrunner and leaps ahead of the others in terms of polling chances. :selena:

Biden only polled high because most none voters, undecided voters, and people who know nothing about politics will answer Biden. But none of them will go out of their way to support his campaign financially or by voting.

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Mister G

I don’t care enough for him, but I’ll commend Pete for being an openly gay man making it this far in the race. 

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27 minutes ago, Spanish Eyes said:

Can I give you a hug for saying it?

 

Y'all out here supporting Pete literally because he's gay. He's a center-right, billionaire-backed queer traitor. 

giphy.gif

boom 

 

 

 

*hug*

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Morphine Prince

Surging after the media allowed him to declare a fake victory. 

Wouldn't be surprised if he does better in NH than what was expected.

After that I'm not sure he's competitive. 

Anything could happen. 

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Arturo

Love how people of color and especially women of color handed Bernie the popular vote win in Iowa. Pete’s candidacy will go nowhere beyond New Hampshire. :heart:

Enjoy your last couple of weeks supporting this centrist liar.

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HorusRa2

Since we want to go back and forth about polls: 

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2020/president/ia/iowa_democratic_presidential_caucus-6731.html

The Iowa polls were relatively accurate. The only people who were off by like more than 3 or so points was actually Pete/Biden. The answer to why is very simple. The pollsters over polled the oldest of voters, less of those people showed up and the people who came for biden in the precincts he was not viable, a disproportionate amount of his support went to Pete in the second alignment. In terms of popular vote, the polls accurately showed Bernie winning first choice vote by about 3 and a half points as indicated in the above average of polls. 

 

Why do I mention this? The story in NH shows that Bernie is in the lead by about 5 points. Since this is a primary and doesn't have alignment changes like the caucus system, the more likely scenario is that Iowa gave Pete the boost in order to be viable in NH but not enough to take it from Sanders. We'll see on Tuesday night. 

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2020/president/nh/new_hampshire_democratic_presidential_primary-6276.html

 

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Arturo
1 minute ago, Maleficent said:

When are Biden and Amy gonna drop? Does anyone think Pete will choose Warren as his running mate? 

Biden wouldn’t until after Super Tuesday. Him losing Texas and Virginia would be a done deal. I expect Amy to drop after NH. 
 

If Warren were to accept that she would lose any credibility she has left of being a progressive.

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Just now, Arturo said:

If Warren were to accept that she would lose any credibility she has left of being a progressive.

idk i always saw warren as pretty centre (especially her economic policy).

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HorusRa2
3 minutes ago, Maleficent said:

When are Biden and Amy gonna drop? Does anyone think Pete will choose Warren as his running mate? 

Biden is going to keep going until SC unless he hits like 4th place again. I do know they cancelled some ads for SC and changed it to go to NV instead. So it's clear that they realize they have to do better or the campaign is over. Let's see how they do in NH. 

Amy will drop out soon. Once she hits a state where she only gets single digits that'll happen. I don't know that'll happen in NH but likely NV. 

IDK who Pete will choose but I doubt it would be Warren. The more likely scenario would be that Pete makes a deal to give Warren a spot in the administration (Sec of Treasury or something) if she drops out and endorses him (giving him her delegates as well). If she goes this route, she would do this after SC and before Super Tuesday so she doesn't get pummeled in her home state of MA by Bernie. It'll risk her looking weak if she did and that could mean somebody chooses to primary her. She would be cautious to go all in and keep campaigning when she does't know if Pete is going to be the nominee. 

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JusKeepBreathin
57 minutes ago, Arturo said:

Love how people of color and especially women of color handed Bernie the popular vote win in Iowa. Pete’s candidacy will go nowhere beyond New Hampshire. :heart:

Enjoy your last couple of weeks supporting this centrist liar.

Until an Obama endorsement.:kiss:

"Nothing in the world is more dangerous than sincere ignorance and conscientious stupidity." -Martin Luther King Jr.
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HorusRa2
12 minutes ago, JusKeepBreathin said:

Until an Obama endorsement.:kiss:

I don't think an Obama endorsement has the kind of clout that it would have back in 2016. I could be wrong but to think and to expect that people of color would just jump on a candidate who has been very bad to POC in his city of south bend just because Obama said so is to treat POC as a monolith and I just don't think that's something that makes sense to me. 

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StarstruckIllusion

Too bad he’s racist, has no POC support and won’t exist past Whiteowa and New Colonizre 😳😳 The way Low Info voters exist 🙃

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StarstruckIllusion
29 minutes ago, JusKeepBreathin said:

Until an Obama endorsement.:kiss:

in 2020, that’s not something to be proud of luv x

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hankhatesyouall

Wow, it looks like he's going to win NH at this point. 

He wasn't even a frontrunner in the latest Iowa polls. 

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