Sanders Leads In Latest NH Poll (Emerson)

[Marilyn MonHoe 11,011]

Enjoying a national upswing this week—including a return to second place in the Real Clear Politics poll average and in a new poll out Wednesday—Sen. Bernie Sanders also now leads in the key early state of New Hampshire, according to a new state survey.

According to the Emerson poll released Tuesday, Sanders is now in first place with 26% followed by South Bend, Indiana Mayor Pete Buttigieg in second with 22%, and former Vice President Joe Biden and Sen. Elizabeth Warren tied for third with 14% each.

 

Dramatic in the results of the tracking poll was the swing among the top four candidates since it was last conducted in September, with Sanders up 13 points and Buttigieg up 11 points, while Warren and Biden dropped 6 and 10 points respectively.

Spencer Kimball, director of Emerson Polling, said “the Democratic voters have taken a look at Joe Biden and Elizabeth Warren and they appear unsatisfied at this time which brought some voters back to Bernie Sanders while others are now moving to a fresh face in Pete Buttigieg, this demonstrates the fluidity of the race.”

According to Emerson:

Sanders has retaken a strong lead among those under 50 in New Hampshire, now leading with 38% support among that group. Following him among younger voters is Warren at 16%, Buttigieg at 12% and Biden at 8%. Buttigieg leads with those 50 and over with 32% support, followed by Biden with 19%, Sanders with 15% and Warren with 11%.

Sanders holds a stronger lead among registered Democrats as he garners 31% support among this group, followed by Buttigieg and Biden with 17%, and Warren with 15%. Among independents, Buttigieg leads with 29% support, followed by Sanders with 21%, Warren with 12% and Biden with 10%.

Looking within ideology, Sanders leads within those who are very liberal with 47% support, followed by Warren with 18%, Buttigieg with 12%, and Biden with 7%. Among those self-described as somewhat liberal, Buttigieg leads with 28% support, followed by Sanders with 25%, Warren with 18% and Biden with 12%. Among moderate/conservative voters, Buttigieg leads with 23% support, followed by Biden with 18%, Sanders with 17% and Gabbard with 11%.

A new CNN poll conducted by SSRS released Wednesday showed Biden in the lead with 28% followed by Sanders in second place with 17% percent of support among registered Democrats and Democrat-leaning independents. Warren holds the third spot with 14% while Buttigieg comes in last among the top tier with 11%.

Notably, as CNN points out, Sanders enjoys the trust of most voters when it comes to the key issues of the climate crisis and healthcare:

On health care, 28% say Sanders—an advocate of “Medicare for All” and the elimination of private health insurance—would best handle the issue. That’s about even with the 26% who choose Biden, who has argued against moving to a completely government-run system. Another 19% say they prefer Warren’s approach, which ultimately results in government health coverage for all, while 7% choose Buttigieg, and no other candidate has the backing of more than 3% on the issue.

Sanders leads the way more clearly on handling the climate crisis: 27% favor his approach, followed by 21% who prefer Biden and 15% Warren.

In an edition of the Sanders campaign’s Bern Notice newsletter sent Tuesday, Sirota noted that his candidate is now surging nationally but also pointed to the early voting states where, in addition to New Hampshire, Sanders is gaining ground.

“A new poll shows that since early October, Bernie has gained a whopping 9 points in the early primary and caucus states that could play a pivotal role in the 2020 election,” Sirota wrote. “As of today, Bernie is at 23 percent—and just 3 points behind Joe Biden—in Morning Consult’s tracking poll of Democratic voters in Iowa, New Hampshire, South Carolina, and Nevada.”

Source: https://www.truthdig.com/articles/bernie-sanders-surges-in-latest-polls/

 

Hope y'all are ready to vote for the first Jewish president

[Marilyn MonHoe 11,011]

Also, according to the Morning Consult, Bernie has the highest favorability ratings than everyone else as well

 

https://morningconsult.com/2020-democratic-primary/

[ALGAYDO 35,074]

Our future president killing it like he’ll kill the greedy pharmaceutical industry 

[Marilyn MonHoe 11,011]

50 minutes ago, ALGAYDO said:

Our future president killing it like he’ll kill the greedy pharmaceutical industry 

Also we can see that Bernie has the most devoted base of supporters, suggesting that his turnout will be the biggest amongst all the nominees:

When asked if there’s a chance they could change their mind before the primary, a majority (55%) of Democratic primary voters indicate they are open to a different candidate, and 45% are set in their current choice. Sanders supporters are the most committed to their candidate, with 65% saying they will definitely vote for the Vermont Senator. Warren supporters follow, with 47% pledging their vote to her. Buttigieg is next with 40%, and Biden trails behind, with only 36% saying they are committed to him.  
 

https://emersonpolling.reportablenews.com/pr/new-hampshire-2020-sanders-jumps-to-lead-buttigieg-surges-while-warren-and-biden-falter

 

Looks like Bernie is the most electable to me 

[Marilyn MonHoe 11,011]

@TheQueenLG @HorusRa2 @OG Gaga Stan @AndyDWUW 

[HorusRa2 5,005]

Annnnd also posted the day of/day before. 

Did New Hampshire Fall Out of Love With Bernie Sanders?

New Hampshire is as close to a must-win state as Mr. Sanders has, and, despite his overwhelming victory against Hillary Clinton in 2016, winning is far from a sure thing right now.

https://www.nytimes.com/2019/11/25/us/politics/bernie-sanders-new-hampshire-2020.html

 

 

somebody tell me the media isn’t biased against Sanders 

[Marilyn MonHoe 11,011]

1 hour ago, HorusRa2 said:

Annnnd also posted the day of/day before. 

Did New Hampshire Fall Out of Love With Bernie Sanders?

New Hampshire is as close to a must-win state as Mr. Sanders has, and, despite his overwhelming victory against Hillary Clinton in 2016, winning is far from a sure thing right now.

https://www.nytimes.com/2019/11/25/us/politics/bernie-sanders-new-hampshire-2020.html

 

 

somebody tell me the media isn’t biased against Sanders 

Some people would dismiss this and say that you have a victim complex... but those people are dishonest when it comes to Bernie.

Shocking I know 

[HorusRa2 5,005]

14 minutes ago, Marilyn MonHoe said:

Some people would dismiss this and say that you have a victim complex... but those people are dishonest when it comes to Bernie.

Shocking I know 

Lol. Don’t “whisper”such sweet nothings to me. I’ll just have to “Keep on Berning.” 

 

but to be on topic, if you include this into the aggregate of polling, NH is now most definitely in play for Bernie from a pills perspective. I also recommend using the below instead of realclearpolitics - which likes to cherry pick polls they include. The below gives a much more balanced look at where the race is overall. 

https://primarytracker.org/

[Lilmonzter 2,864]

Unless the dnc f*cks him over, papa Bernie's got this! 

[ALGAYDO 35,074]

1 minute ago, Lilmonzter said:

Unless the dnc f*cks him over, papa Bernie's got this! 

Inb4 the DNC and Obama sabotage his whole campaign 

[Curunir 7,510]

God, America (and the world) needs Bernie to win so bad 

[Marilyn MonHoe 11,011]

12 minutes ago, ALGAYDO said:

Inb4 the DNC and Obama sabotage his whole campaign 

We know that the establishment views Bernie as the biggest threat because of all of these billionaires entering the race and with Obama talking about how he would try to stop Bernie if he won the nomination 

[PoshLife 17,019]

Sanders is from the state next door so we should expect him to poll well here. He carried the state in the 2016 primary, as well (I guess the DNC didn't sabotage that...*rolls eyes*). It's pretty rough that Warren is polling so much lower despite also being from next door - but it's just one poll.

A lot of Biden's support comes from the African American community (a poll this week found that nationally he gets about 43% of black Dem voters), so we'd expect to see him poll lower in a state as white as Wonder Bread. Same goes for Iowa.

Buttigieg continues to show that his star is rising - but again, that's mostly confined to states with larger white populations.

Note that Gabbard gets 6% in this poll but it's not on the DNC's list of qualifying pollsters so it won't help her make the sixth Dem debate in December. She's been growing here over the past month - is she on the ground there a lot, and/or airing ads in the state?

[HorusRa2 5,005]

5 minutes ago, PoshLife said:

Sanders is from the state next door so we should expect him to poll well here. He carried the state in the 2016 primary, as well (I guess the DNC didn't sabotage that...*rolls eyes*). It's pretty rough that Warren is polling so much lower despite also being from next door - but it's just one poll.

A lot of Biden's support comes from the African American community (a poll this week found that nationally he gets about 43% of black Dem voters), so we'd expect to see him poll lower in a state as white as Wonder Bread. Same goes for Iowa.

Buttigieg continues to show that his star is rising - but again, that's mostly confined to states with larger white populations.

Note that Gabbard gets 6% in this poll but it's not on the DNC's list of qualifying pollsters so it won't help her make the sixth Dem debate in December. She's been growing here over the past month - is she on the ground there a lot, and/or airing ads in the state?

New Hampshire is an open primary state and has a lot more independent type democrats. Plus Tulsi has spent lots of time there. You can expect Tulsi to overperform in open primary states and do more poorly in closed primary states. Same with Bernie. 

[Hybrid AT 78]

Good poll for Bernie.

And with this poll, Pete now takes the lead in NH according to the RCP average. Cheers.  

@JusKeepBreathin @RAMROD @En_Sabah_Nur @Bonkers @SKANK @Whispering

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2020/president/nh/new_hampshire_democratic_presidential_primary-6276.html

He's also leading the field in Iowa by a huge margin of 6 points.

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2020/president/ia/iowa_democratic_presidential_caucus-6731.html