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Charts Discussion - 'A Star Is Born' Out Now


ViviLittleM

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Arturo
1 minute ago, BloodyMonster said:

So you're expecting it to do 35M streams at the bare minimum? Can I see your figures breakdown?

Shallow is going to do close to 8 million streams alone this week from Spotify and Apple Music unless it absolutely bombs out of nowhere which doesn't look like it will happen.
27m from the other 18 tracks isn't really outrageous. 


Plus she's higher on Apple Music (and should stay like that for the week) than Eminem (36k SEA last week), Post Malone (42k SEA LW), and Juice World (33k SEA LW)

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Arturo

Dark Green UK

 

1 Lady Gaga & Bradley Cooper - Shallow

 1.0000 1.0000 

2 Calvin Harris, Sam Smith - Promises

 0.8060 0.8289

nearly 20% lead.

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WildAmerican
Just now, Kara Brasil said:

17M views

:applause:

Is this doing better than PI did two years ago? Certainly better on YT than MR or the Cure

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Arturo

these are the predictions for the chart posted on Tuesday from last tracking week (they're old predictions)

 

1 Mona Lisa       285   (debut)

2 Girls Like You       284  (-1)

3 Lucid Dreams       276  (-1)

4 Don't Cry       229  (debut)

5 Better Now       225  (-2)

6 Sicko Mode       203  (=)

7 Youngblood       197  (+3)

8 Happier       197  (+7)

9 Fefe       195  (-1)

10 In My Feelings       194  (-6)


If Shallow does 85k sales / 650 = 131 pt
8m paid streams / 160k = 50 pt
4m YT / 260k = 15 pt
Radio...lol 1 pt
Total: 197 points

did u get something similar earlier today @Gypsy Life

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ArtGagaPop
3 minutes ago, WildAmerican said:

Is this doing better than PI did two years ago? Certainly better on YT than MR or the Cure

PI did better first days but i dont think it was this stable 1 week into it's release. PI did 21M first week but only 23M next month.

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Biagio2103

Idk if AP but AC

59 (+2). Million Reasons - 142 spins (+3), 1.659 audience (+0.131)

Overall radio

512 (+13). Million Reasons - 142 spins (+3) 1.659 audience (+0.131)

I'm only good at being bad
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Gypsy Life
7 minutes ago, Arturo said:

these are the predictions for the chart posted on Tuesday from last tracking week (they're old predictions)

 

1 Mona Lisa       285   (debut)

2 Girls Like You       284  (-1)

3 Lucid Dreams       276  (-1)

4 Don't Cry       229  (debut)

5 Better Now       225  (-2)

6 Sicko Mode       203  (=)

7 Youngblood       197  (+3)

8 Happier       197  (+7)

9 Fefe       195  (-1)

10 In My Feelings       194  (-6)


If Shallow does 85k sales / 650 = 131 pt
8m paid streams / 160k = 50 pt
4m YT / 260k = 15 pt
Radio...lol 1 pt
Total: 197 points

did u get something similar earlier today @Gypsy Life

Yeah. Had sales at 85k as well, but streams at 44 points only. The paid vs free thing gives me headaches though. Are we really supposed to / by 260? I do it by 480 :triggered:

Not all of Spotify's streams are paid though so you have to consider that. I have it at 5.5m paid and 4.5m free.

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Arizona Sky
13 minutes ago, Arturo said:

these are the predictions for the chart posted on Tuesday from last tracking week (they're old predictions)

 

1 Mona Lisa       285   (debut)

2 Girls Like You       284  (-1)

3 Lucid Dreams       276  (-1)

4 Don't Cry       229  (debut)

5 Better Now       225  (-2)

6 Sicko Mode       203  (=)

7 Youngblood       197  (+3)

8 Happier       197  (+7)

9 Fefe       195  (-1)

10 In My Feelings       194  (-6)


If Shallow does 85k sales / 650 = 131 pt
8m paid streams / 160k = 50 pt
4m YT / 260k = 15 pt
Radio...lol 1 pt
Total: 197 points

did u get something similar earlier today @Gypsy Life

Isn't sales divided by 750?

I got 85k sales / 9.45m streams (5.25M On-Demand, 4.2M YouTube) / 3M AI which gave me 176 points. (182 using your formula)

Still not sure where you're getting 8M paid streams from, that seems too high.

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Arturo
1 minute ago, BloodyMonster said:

Isn't sales divided by 750?

I got 85k sales / 9.45m streams (5.25M On-Demand, 4.2M YouTube) / 3M AI which gave me 176 points.

Still not sure where you're getting 8M paid streams from, that seems too high.

If Shallow jumps into the 50's on Spotify at the very least and stays there for the week those songs do 3.7m - 4m streams a week from Spotify alone. 

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Arturo
4 minutes ago, Gypsy Life said:

Yeah. Had sales at 85k as well, but streams at 44 points only. The paid vs free thing gives me headaches though. Are we really supposed to / by 260? I do it by 480 :triggered:

Not all of Spotify's streams are paid though so you have to consider that. I have it at 5.5m paid and 4.5m free.

I saw the 260k number on ATRL a while ago when they changed the formula in like July or something. 480k seems like a lot :rip: 

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