Luc 4,775 Posted September 18, 2016 Share Posted September 18, 2016 Video effect on Applause: 18-08: 0.2854 19-08: 0.3607 20-08: 0.4049 21-08: 0.3821 22-08: 0.3531 23-08: 0.3429 (after this, VMA effect steps in) if we apply this to Perfect Illusion, it means it would go back to the top 15 after 2 days and then stabilise around #35 (if it's dropped to #70 before video release). But times have changed, and the video effect may be bigger or smaller. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
ViviLittleM 3 Posted September 18, 2016 Share Posted September 18, 2016 where is the guy who predict on atrl? can he predict with the new airplay plz Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
OBEY 57,109 Posted September 18, 2016 Share Posted September 18, 2016 35 minutes ago, ViviLittleM said: well, maybe no stadiums or arenas for Gaga... so joke i thought you meant movie theaters and i was like "omg gaga has a perfect illusion promo in cinemas?" Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paper Gangsta 6,693 Posted September 18, 2016 Share Posted September 18, 2016 3 minutes ago, ViviLittleM said: where is the guy who predict on atrl? can he predict with the new airplay plz he predicted it with 28m on mediabase Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paper Gangsta 6,693 Posted September 18, 2016 Share Posted September 18, 2016 4 minutes ago, Luc said: Video effect on Applause: 18-08: 0.2854 19-08: 0.3607 20-08: 0.4049 21-08: 0.3821 22-08: 0.3531 23-08: 0.3429 (after this, VMA effect steps in) if we apply this to Perfect Illusion, it means it would go back to the top 15 after 2 days and then stabilise around #35 (if it's dropped to #70 before video release). But times have changed, and the video effect may be bigger or smaller. well its easier to jump from smaller sales than bigger ones Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
ViviLittleM 3 Posted September 18, 2016 Share Posted September 18, 2016 3 minutes ago, Torturo said: he predicted it with 28m on mediabase wasn't it 20m? (the last update) Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paper Gangsta 6,693 Posted September 18, 2016 Share Posted September 18, 2016 Just now, ViviLittleM said: wasn't it 20m? (the last update) i think it was 22m and that's nielsen that he got by adjusting mediabase one Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Luc 4,775 Posted September 18, 2016 Share Posted September 18, 2016 What if they want to replicate the Applause era in terms of (US) airplay? First week: radio optimistic Second, third, fourth week: radio doesn't think it will be a big hit. Song rises from 25 to 35M AI. Fifth, sixth, seventh week: radio sees they made the wrong decision, >2M updates for 3 weeks straight. Eighth, Ninth, Tenth, Eleventh week: song stabilises on radio with >100M AI. Ensures the song stays played on radio throughout the holidays season. Second single in January. I can't imagine them having planned on a second single before January, tbh. PI was probably supposed to last a little over 3 months, right in time for december, and so they could perform the second single at the GRAMMYs. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Supersonic 49,376 Posted September 18, 2016 Share Posted September 18, 2016 Haven't been in here in two days, who got institutionalized over iTunes positions? Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Supersonic 49,376 Posted September 18, 2016 Share Posted September 18, 2016 Joanne first weeks sales predictions: 1. Supersonic 100k pure sales, 115k SPS Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
davidmonster 1,292 Posted September 18, 2016 Share Posted September 18, 2016 from ATRL : "Yeah, but is this much different to the ARTPOP era? Applause release: August 12th Applause music video: August 19th (7 day wait) Applause VMA performance: August 25th (6 day wait) Swinefest: September 1st (6 day wait) Applause GMA performance: September 9th (7 day wait) Plus, in the first week, there were loads of radio interviews as well and there was also that Kia hamsters advert that always played during big TV shows. Like, apart from it taking a while for the music video to release, this album release seems better and more sustainable." Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fizzy 2,217 Posted September 18, 2016 Share Posted September 18, 2016 Joanne first weeks sales preditions: 1. Supersonic 100K Pure Sales, 115K SPS 2. Fizzy 150K Pure Sales, 170k SPS “The scars on my mind are on Replay” Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
davidmonster 1,292 Posted September 18, 2016 Share Posted September 18, 2016 spins update : 520 Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fizzy 2,217 Posted September 18, 2016 Share Posted September 18, 2016 POP RADIO 23 (+2). Perfect Illusion - Lady Gaga +299 Spins (3251) +1.011 Audience (15.841) HAC RADIO 23 (=). Perfect Illusion - Lady Gaga +157 Spins (1521) +0.500 Audience (8.847) “The scars on my mind are on Replay” Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
BenG 19,908 Posted September 18, 2016 Share Posted September 18, 2016 The GP just isn't here for this song. It has reasonable spins but it's just freefalling on iTunes Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
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